Hurrican Ian

[LCDAWGS19]

On 9/26/2022 at 1:31 PM, theguru said:

Thanks.  I don't wish a hurricane on anyone but I do love when weather systems push in from the east and give us a nice, steady rain in NKY, it doesn't get much better than that. 

We host a marching band competition Saturday. This is our major fundraiser for a trip to DC next Memorial Day...it can DEFINETLY can get better than that. 

[theguru]

9 minutes ago, LCDAWGS19 said:

We host a marching band competition Saturday. This is our major fundraiser for a trip to DC next Memorial Day...it can DEFINETLY can get better than that. 

I understand, anytime we have something to do outside rain is a bummer. 

[swamprat]

[swamprat]

On 9/26/2022 at 1:58 PM, nkypete said:

@swampratWhat "zone" are you for evacuations?  Been watching the Weather Channel and learned how the Tampa area does it.  I just Zone A is mandatory and Zone B is optional.  I'm sure that will change.  Regardless, stay safe!

I just purchased a new place 3 miles from Indian Rocks Beach. We would have been evacuated, but we have not moved into the new place, yet. Still fixing it up and are currently staying with my sister who lives next door to where we used to live in the Westchase/Citrus Park area of Tampa.

 

.

[swamprat]

As of tomorrow morning, all of Pinellas County is under an evacuation order. 

[swamprat]

4 hours ago, theguru said:

Would they have been permitted to build it if it wasn't built to withstand a Cat 5?

Yes.

 

[nkypete]

13 minutes ago, swamprat said:

Actually, for us, I'll change the word "playing" to "praying".

[theguru]

Take cover rat!

[swamprat]

I am doing final prep work here at my primary employer. Tropical storm force winds are not expected to reach here until 2am tomorrow. I have to come back here around 11 this evening to get the local backup drives after incrementals are completed. We have everything in the cloud, but we maintain a local backup just incase we can't get to the cloud for some reason or another.

 

[nkypete]

I'm sure a lot of Florida companies are reviewing their business continuity plans today.

[nWo]

Tuesday evening 5 pm EDT update: 

Ian now intensified to a high end category 3 hurricane. I suspect it will be a category 4 by tomorrow morning. Wind speeds need to increase only 9 mph to acchieve the cat. 4 status

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number  19...Corrected
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092022
500 PM EDT Tue Sep 27 2022

Corrected Watches and Warnings for the Bahamas

...HURRICANE WARNING EXTENDED SOUTHWARD IN SOUTHWESTERN FLORIDA...
...LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING
EXPECTED WITH IAN IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.0N 83.2W
ABOUT 230 MI...375 KM S OF SARASOTA FLORIDA
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SSW OF THE DRY TORTUGAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES

At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located 
near latitude 24.0 North, longitude 83.2 West. Ian is moving toward 
the north near 10 mph (17 km/h). A turn toward the north-northeast 
with a reduction in forward speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday. 
On the forecast track, the center of Ian is expected to move over 
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico today, pass west of the Florida Keys 
later tonight, and approach the west coast of Florida within the 
hurricane warning area on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds remain near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Ian is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson 
Hurricane Wind Scale.  Re-strengthening is expected later today 
through Wednesday.  Ian is forecast to approach the west coast of 
Florida as an extremely dangerous major hurricane.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km)
from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to
140 miles (220 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches).

 

 

 

 

 

[nWo]

Ian is now a category 4 Hurricane.

BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number  22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL092022
500 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND IAN HAS STRENGTHENED INTO AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC
WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...

At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located
near latitude 25.6 North, longitude 82.9 West. Ian is moving toward
the north-northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h).  This general motion with
a reduction in forward speed is forecast today, followed by a turn 
toward the north on Thursday. On the forecast track, the center of 
Ian is expected to approach the west coast of Florida within the 
hurricane warning area this morning, and move onshore later today. 
The center of Ian is forecast to move over central Florida tonight 
and Thursday morning and emerge over the western Atlantic by late 
Thursday.

Very recent data from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft 
indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 140 
mph (220 km/h) with higher gusts.  Ian is a category 4 hurricane on 
the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.  Some fluctuations in 
intensity are possible before Ian reaches the coast of Florida.   
Ian is forecast to approach the west coast of Florida as an 
extremely dangerous major hurricane.  Weakening is expected after 
landfall.



Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 40 miles (65 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles
(280 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 942 mb (27.82 inches).

 

 

[nWo]

[swamprat]

Finished prepping my sister's house last night. Got the storm shutters in place, though it looks like Ian will make landfall south of us, now. I am working today, hunkered in at home.

nWo, you may want to post a new track. I just checked the NHC and it is up to 155 mph, 1 mph short of category 5.

 

[nWo]

The one I posted in my previous post at 5 am was the latest track. Here is the one from 7 am EDT.