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nWo

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About nWo

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    BGP Meteorologist

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    Richmond,KY

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    St. Louis Cardinals, Grand Kids

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  1. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 409 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 355 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Extreme northeast Kentucky Southern and eastern Ohio Southwest Pennsylvania Central and northern West Virginia * Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 355 PM until 1100 PM EDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms will continue to increase in coverage through the evening and pose a risk for scattered damaging winds and perhaps a tornado or two. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 55 statute miles north and south of a line from 40 miles north northwest of Huntington WV to 20 miles east northeast of Morgantown WV
  2. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    5 am 8/1/2020 update: From the National Hurricane Center:
  3. Strong to possibly severe storms are possible later this afternoon. A weak surface low is forecast to track along the Ohio River from western Kentucky into southwest Ohio by early evening. This along with other conditions could make thing conducive for locally enhanced supercells, and perhaps a tornado or two. Otherwise, damaging winds could accompany scattered thunderstorms that develop. These storms should start forming between 1-3 pm EDT.
  4. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    The latest GFS model shows Isaias hugging the eastern coast of Florida. The time covered from Saturday morning to Monday afternoon.
  5. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    The models are bringing the track of Isaias closer to the east coast of Florida. Here is the latest from the National Hurricane Center,
  6. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    BULLETIN Hurricane Isaias Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092020 1100 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2020 ...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA EAST COAST... ...SQUALLY WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS SPREADING INTO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS... A Hurricane Watch has been issued for portions of the Florida east coast from north of Deerfield Beach northward to the Volusia-Brevard County Line. A Tropical Storm Warning has been issued for portions of the Florida east coast from north of Ocean Reef northward to Sebastian Inlet and for Lake Okeechobee.
  7. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    Isaias overnight has grown into a category 1 Hurricane. It may even reach cat. 2 as it approaches the east coast of Florida. For now the forecast track is for the storm to remain off the coast of Florida but uncertainty still remains as to the exact track the storm will take.
  8. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    Isaias is now forecast to strengthen into a hurricane on Friday. For now the predicted track is for the system to stay just off the east coast of Florida. Those along the east coast should monitor this storm. The spaghetti tracks are narrowing so that could mean the models are starting to get a good feel for the direction this storm will go. This is the GFS run from Friday night to Sunday morning.
  9. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    Thanks for changing the title of this thread. At the moment I'm not able to do that.
  10. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    This system has been upgraded to a tropical storm with the name of Isaias. The following is from the National Hurricane Center. The spaghetti modeling data has shifted the possible track toward a more easterly track.
  11. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    Here are a couple of model ensembles that show there is still uncertainty on what track this system may take. The first one is the Global+Hurricane Ensembles The second one is the GFS Ensembles
  12. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    From the National Hurricane Center
  13. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    I was checking the latest data on this system. It is now Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine. Here's the latest from the National Hurricane Center: I plan on doing another update later this evening.
  14. nWo

    Hurricane Isaias

    Tuesday Morning update: Shower activity associated with a low pressure area located about 750 miles east of the Windward Islands is gradually increasing in organization. However, recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that the circulation remains broad and elongated, and the low does not yet have a well-defined center of circulation. Environmental conditions are expected to become somewhat more conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph and approaches the Leeward Islands. Both mid range models the Canadian and GFS are showing this system staying just off the coast of Florida over the weekend. The Canadian differs from the GFS by showing some strengthening. We are still about a week away and as we all know hurricane tracks can shift and are almost impossible to predict until we get closer to landfall. Here's the GFS model run from Friday to Sunday night. This is the Canadian Model. I will update again on Wednesday.
  15. Isolated to scattered strong to severe storms will be possible later today. This will be located mainly north of I-64. Conditions can be conducive to promote a few stronger/multi cell storm clusters. Locally gusty winds will be the main threat along with heavy downpours and cloud to ground lighting under the stronger storms. The timing is mainly from mid afternoon through early evening. The following HRRR radar is from 12-5 pm EDT.
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