InItToWinIt Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Since Clyde officially handed Cch5432's torch to me, I thought I'd go and look at some of his posts. This is a thread that he started back in 2009. Let's say that I sit down at a table with 3 of my friends with a standard, 52-card deck that has been shuffled. I deal out 13 cards to each person, and I receive all 13 spades, from 2 to Ace. There is no video of me or anyone messing with the deck at any point. Using your powers of observation and logic, would you assume that: A) I randomly received all 13 spades. B) I took some action beforehand that made me deal 13 spades to myself. Let's hear your thoughts. Please play along and it will make sense. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rockmom Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I'm the person who thinks it was random. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bengal Maniac Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Random most likely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hasbeen Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I'm trusting. Random for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
spindoc Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Rigged. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BigVMan23 Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Not your target audience but will answer. Someone had a hand in that, it wasn't random. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKMustangFan Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 No question someone rigged it. The percentages of it happening randomly are so astronomically small that it would never happen if you spent your entire life shuffling and dealing, and repeating. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
theguru Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 If you repeat this process over billions of years I expect your result many many times over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
InItToWinIt Posted April 21, 2015 Author Share Posted April 21, 2015 Okay, so lets say it was random. The odds of this happening are 169,066,442 to 1. What if we sat down at the table again, and after shuffling, a perfect hand was dealt to all 4 players (each player received 13 cards of the same suit). The odds of that happening are 2,235,197,406,895,366,368,301,559,999 to 1. Still random or was the deck stacked? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clyde Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I'm tearing up a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CincySportsFan Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 Okay, so lets say it was random. The odds of this happening are 169,066,442 to 1. What if we sat down at the table again, and after shuffling, a perfect hand was dealt to all 4 players (each player received 13 cards of the same suit). The odds of that happening are 2,235,197,406,895,366,368,301,559,999 to 1. Still random or was the deck stacked? Someone can correct me if I'm wrong, but I came up with a much higher number... 635,013,559,600 to 1. (Of course, it's been years since I took a statistics course!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Colonels_Wear_Blue Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 If you repeat this process over billions of years I expect your result many many times over. It *can* happen, no doubt. But if it happens to ME, there's no question that I'm saying the deck is stacked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKMustangFan Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I think a better way of looking at it wouldn't be to ask if it were random or rigged, because either COULD happen. I think the better question is what is the more likely cause? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CincySportsFan Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 I think a better way of looking at it wouldn't be to ask if it were random or rigged, because either COULD happen. I think the better question is what is the more likely cause? The old "possibility" versus "probability" conundrum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKMustangFan Posted April 21, 2015 Share Posted April 21, 2015 The old "possibility" versus "probability" conundrum. The way I see it, anything is possible when it comes to the unknown. Even the most staunch atheist I would think would admit that there is a possibility that God exists. While the most religious can even admit that there is a possibility that nothing beyond this life exists. It's all about what's the more probable scenario IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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