GrantNKY Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Couple different scenarios: - Undefeated Wisconsin or 2 Loss Auburn? - 1 Loss TCU or Undefeated Wisconsin? - 1 Loss Washington or Undefeated Wisconsin? - Outside of Auburn (who plays 1 and 2) which 2 loss team has best chance to get in? USC/ Michigan State/ Ohio State/ Penn State Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 8, 2017 Author Share Posted November 8, 2017 - Auburn - TCU - Wisconsin - USC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LIPTON BASH Posted November 8, 2017 Share Posted November 8, 2017 Even though their schedule is a joke an undefeated Wisconsin gets in. But I don't think they go undefeated and more than likely have 2 or 3 losses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 8, 2017 Author Share Posted November 8, 2017 Even though their schedule is a joke an undefeated Wisconsin gets in. But I don't think they go undefeated and more than likely have 2 or 3 losses. I think Wisconsin loses 3 games as well. I don't see them beating Iowa, Michigan, or whoever comes out of the East. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyalWildcat Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 My hopes are Alabama, Georgia, Miami, and Oklahoma/TCU, but it will probably be Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, and either Georgia or Oklahoma. I don't think the Big10 will get a team in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UKMustangFan Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 In those scenarios: Auburn TCU Wisconsin Michigan State Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 9, 2017 Author Share Posted November 9, 2017 My hopes are Alabama, Georgia, Miami, and Oklahoma/TCU, but it will probably be Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, and either Georgia or Oklahoma. I don't think the Big10 will get a team in. In the bottom scenario the Alabama vs Heisman Winner in the semis would be too appealing to put Georgia in over Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RoyalWildcat Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 In the bottom scenario the Alabama vs Heisman Winner in the semis would be too appealing to put Georgia in over Oklahoma. In the bottom scenario it would most likely be Alabama vs Clemson in Semi’s for rematch of last year and then Georgia vs Notre Dame for rematch of regular season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 9, 2017 Author Share Posted November 9, 2017 In the bottom scenario it would most likely be Alabama vs Clemson in Semi’s for rematch of last year and then Georgia vs Notre Dame for rematch of regular season. I don't see Georgia getting in over Oklahoma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jumper_Dad Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 Couple different scenarios: - Undefeated Wisconsin or 2 Loss Auburn? - 1 Loss TCU or Undefeated Wisconsin? - 1 Loss Washington or Undefeated Wisconsin? - Outside of Auburn (who plays 1 and 2) which 2 loss team has best chance to get in? USC/ Michigan State/ Ohio State/ Penn State 538 projects Wisconsin would get in in each of the first three scenarios. Penn St has almost no path to the playoffs, IMO, has an 80% chance of winning out however. Ohio St has a 38% chance if they win out and I think that is a good number for them, has a 34% chance of winning out. USC has a 30% chance if they win out...has a 24% chance of winning out. Michigan St has a 31% if they win out...but they only are given a #5 chance of winning out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 9, 2017 Author Share Posted November 9, 2017 538 projects Wisconsin would get in in each of the first three scenarios. Penn St has almost no path to the playoffs, IMO, has an 80% chance of winning out however. Ohio St has a 38% chance if they win out and I think that is a good number for them, has a 34% chance of winning out. USC has a 30% chance if they win out...has a 24% chance of winning out. Michigan St has a 31% if they win out...but they only are given a #5 chance of winning out. I will be curious to see how accurate the 538 projections turn out to be. I have my doubts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jumper_Dad Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 I will be curious to see how accurate the 538 projections turn out to be. I have my doubts. Nevermind :lol2: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jumper_Dad Posted November 9, 2017 Share Posted November 9, 2017 FWIW 538 only gives Alabama a 32% chance of winning out against their schedule and possible SEC title game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 9, 2017 Author Share Posted November 9, 2017 Nevermind :lol2: I must be a little slow today because I'm confused. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GrantNKY Posted November 9, 2017 Author Share Posted November 9, 2017 FWIW 538 only gives Alabama a 32% chance of winning out against their schedule and possible SEC title game. Seems about right to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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