November 8, 20178 yr Couple different scenarios: - Undefeated Wisconsin or 2 Loss Auburn? - 1 Loss TCU or Undefeated Wisconsin? - 1 Loss Washington or Undefeated Wisconsin? - Outside of Auburn (who plays 1 and 2) which 2 loss team has best chance to get in? USC/ Michigan State/ Ohio State/ Penn State
November 8, 20178 yr Even though their schedule is a joke an undefeated Wisconsin gets in. But I don't think they go undefeated and more than likely have 2 or 3 losses.
November 8, 20178 yr Author Even though their schedule is a joke an undefeated Wisconsin gets in. But I don't think they go undefeated and more than likely have 2 or 3 losses. I think Wisconsin loses 3 games as well. I don't see them beating Iowa, Michigan, or whoever comes out of the East.
November 9, 20178 yr My hopes are Alabama, Georgia, Miami, and Oklahoma/TCU, but it will probably be Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, and either Georgia or Oklahoma. I don't think the Big10 will get a team in.
November 9, 20178 yr Author My hopes are Alabama, Georgia, Miami, and Oklahoma/TCU, but it will probably be Alabama, Notre Dame, Clemson, and either Georgia or Oklahoma. I don't think the Big10 will get a team in. In the bottom scenario the Alabama vs Heisman Winner in the semis would be too appealing to put Georgia in over Oklahoma.
November 9, 20178 yr In the bottom scenario the Alabama vs Heisman Winner in the semis would be too appealing to put Georgia in over Oklahoma. In the bottom scenario it would most likely be Alabama vs Clemson in Semi’s for rematch of last year and then Georgia vs Notre Dame for rematch of regular season.
November 9, 20178 yr Author In the bottom scenario it would most likely be Alabama vs Clemson in Semi’s for rematch of last year and then Georgia vs Notre Dame for rematch of regular season. I don't see Georgia getting in over Oklahoma.
November 9, 20178 yr Couple different scenarios: - Undefeated Wisconsin or 2 Loss Auburn? - 1 Loss TCU or Undefeated Wisconsin? - 1 Loss Washington or Undefeated Wisconsin? - Outside of Auburn (who plays 1 and 2) which 2 loss team has best chance to get in? USC/ Michigan State/ Ohio State/ Penn State 538 projects Wisconsin would get in in each of the first three scenarios. Penn St has almost no path to the playoffs, IMO, has an 80% chance of winning out however. Ohio St has a 38% chance if they win out and I think that is a good number for them, has a 34% chance of winning out. USC has a 30% chance if they win out...has a 24% chance of winning out. Michigan St has a 31% if they win out...but they only are given a #5 chance of winning out.
November 9, 20178 yr Author 538 projects Wisconsin would get in in each of the first three scenarios. Penn St has almost no path to the playoffs, IMO, has an 80% chance of winning out however. Ohio St has a 38% chance if they win out and I think that is a good number for them, has a 34% chance of winning out. USC has a 30% chance if they win out...has a 24% chance of winning out. Michigan St has a 31% if they win out...but they only are given a #5 chance of winning out. I will be curious to see how accurate the 538 projections turn out to be. I have my doubts.
November 9, 20178 yr I will be curious to see how accurate the 538 projections turn out to be. I have my doubts. Nevermind :lol2:
November 9, 20178 yr FWIW 538 only gives Alabama a 32% chance of winning out against their schedule and possible SEC title game.
November 9, 20178 yr Author FWIW 538 only gives Alabama a 32% chance of winning out against their schedule and possible SEC title game. Seems about right to me.
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