BGP Severe Weather Alert Day #2 April 2, 2024

[TribeTime]

What time should we be expecting the main event and with the sun poking out, how bad does it look?

[nWo]

Just now, TribeTime said:

What time should we be expecting the main event and with the sun poking out, how bad does it look?

Not knowing where you are here, my thinking is from 2 pm into the evening. The storms are already firing up in western Kentucky.

[TheDeuce]

1 minute ago, TribeTime said:

What time should we be expecting the main event and with the sun poking out, how bad does it look?

In Louisville, the window for the worst is about Noon through 4pm. So adjust that accordingly as you move east. 

The more sun/heat, the higher the potential for significant severe weather.

[nWo]

 

This is the new, new to me, hourly mesoscale analysis model. It measures low-level (surface) and high-level vorticity (3 km about 2 miles up), twisting in the atmosphere. The red is 3 km up in the atmosphere. The blue represents the surface. Whenever they are one over another, the environment is favorable for supercells that could produce tornadoes. This is about 6 pm tonight. Not looking good.

 

[TheDeuce]

It’s cloudy again in Louisville. 

[TheDeuce]

 

[nWo]

The latest update maps from the Storm Prediction Center. It appears that the threat has increased from this morning.

 

 

 

[TheDeuce]

 

[TheDeuce]

UofL closing early this afternoon as a precaution. 

[nWo]

Please, everyone, do not let the showers and storms that came through this morning and early afternoon cause you to let your guard down. Everything was triggered by the warm front that moved through. Later today, the cold front still needs to pass. That is when the big show will happen. 

The modeling data shows that the low-pressure system associated with this system is strengthening. 

[TheDeuce]

Just now, nWo said:

Please, everyone, do not let the showers and storms that came through this morning and early afternoon cause you to let your guard down. Everything was triggered by the warm front that moved through. Later today, the cold front still needs to pass. That is when the big show will happen. 

The modeling data shows that the low-pressure system associated with this system is strengthening. 

Was just looking at some maps. It's about 64 in Louisville, but 76 in Paducah. That clearing/heating is moving to the NE. 

[TheDeuce]

 

[nWo]

8 minutes ago, TheDeuce said:

Was just looking at some maps. It's about 64 in Louisville, but 76 in Paducah. That clearing/heating is moving to the NE. 

Tornado Watches are being issued.

[sportsfan41]

Currently sitting on the runway at CVG.  

[Randy Parker]

30 minutes ago, TheDeuce said:

Was just looking at some maps. It's about 64 in Louisville, but 76 in Paducah. That clearing/heating is moving to the NE. 

How is it in Louisville right now?