Kentucky Windage Posted May 19, 2020 Share Posted May 19, 2020 I was looking at forecast models for river levels in Falmouth. As of right now, the models are expecting a crest of 43 feet. The models have been revised up twice since I looked last night. For reference, flood of 1997 the Licking River crested at 52 feet. This situation is worth keeping an eye on as it develops throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kentucky Windage Posted May 19, 2020 Author Share Posted May 19, 2020 River and Lake Levels - Licking River - Gauge FLMK2 This link updates river levels and forecasted river levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sportsfan41 Posted May 19, 2020 Share Posted May 19, 2020 Luckily there's not much rain in the forecast after the next 24 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mustang Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 Luckily there's not much rain in the forecast after the next 24 hours. This is the key factor. In '97 the area had been drenched with steady rain, and then on the day of the flood, with the ground already saturated, we had an hours long deluge, that created a major flash-flood, caused the river to come through as a major wall of water, and not only flooded the town, but moved homes and businesses off of their foundations because of the ferocity of the surge. Phase one, the saturation phase, has now taken place. Heavy steady rains that will cause the river to crest at 43 feet (hopefully), but there doesn't appear to be a major "second shoe" that would cause a torrent of water to rocket through the town creating the devastation experienced in '97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mustang Posted May 20, 2020 Share Posted May 20, 2020 Crisis seems to be averted today as they've called off evacuation orders and the river is receding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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