Coronavirus

[Voice of Reason]

I read an article last night that estimated that 87%(possibly 88%) of people who were placed on ventilators never recovered. A lot of the media coverage seems to be focused on a vaccine, which is probably wishful thinking right now. We really need to establish an effective way to treat the virus at this point.

 

I had heard 80% of CV19 ventilator patients did not recover. The normal rate I heard is 50% of all ventilator patients do not recover, so even worse for CV19 patients.

 

On the treatment/therapeutic news front, a report leaked out saying Gilead's Remidisvar treatment has not produced good results. That isn't an official report. Hopefully the report is wrong. If not, we lose out on another option, as we did with the poor results on the malaria drug.

[Bluegrasscard]

Oh, I completely agree. My wife and I are both still working, because we're considered "essential" AND our employers have done what they could to help alleve some of dangers we might be facing. Without those features in place, we'd have had a much, much tougher decision.

 

But, with what some people are wanting in this re-opening of the economy...if a manufacturer needs 10 different people at various stages on an assembly line, and 6 of them don't feel like it's safe to return...what does the manufacturer do? (Or down the line, substitute a restaurant and their wait staff.) If they absolutely want to open, then they have to hire 6 new people. So, what happens then when the original 6 DO feel it's safe to return? Do they get their jobs back? Do they have to wait to be "re-hired" once an opening occurs? Do they still get to collect UI while they're staying at home waiting for things to clear up, or do they forfeit that once the plant/restaurant re-opens and they "had an opportunity to work"?

 

There is a difference in the loss of your income versus the loss of your job, in my opinion. Neither one is desirable, but the loss of income can be managed a whole lot better than losing your job completely.

 

Companies are having to deal with the risks of re-opening. Most are reviewing existing and recent mandated laws and rules and looking liability in conjunction with their insurance providers and other entities.

 

Even if government says "open" each entity will still have decisions to make and may have to stay closed until they sort the issues of 'the new world' out and have plans and new insurance policies, etc.

[Bluegrasscard]

NY requires nursing homes to admit or re-admit residents - regardless of COVID-19 status.

 

 

Link:

 

http://paltc.org/sites/default/files/AMDA-AHCA-NCAL%20Statement%20on%20State%20Advisories%20FINAL.pdf

 

We are deeply concerned with the recent New York State order, which states:

 

“No resident shall be denied re-admission or admission to the NH solely based on a confirmed or suspected diagnosis of COVID-19. NHs are prohibited from requiring a hospitalized resident who is determined medically stable to be tested for COVID-19 prior to admission or readmission.”

 

...

 

In New York, requiring all New York nursing homes state-wide to accept all patients regardless of their COVID-19 status,even from hospitals that are not at capacity,will likely cause many more hospitalizations,...

[theguru]

I am to the end of my rope on warning people for political posts. We have had 15 violations in the last three days for people posting about politics. I don't see any other choice but to suspend members that persist with posting about politics. This is your last warning.

 

Again that means nothing about any governors (or use of the word Governor), Andy, President, Trump, Cuomo, Putin, Beshear, Kim Jong-un, Obamacare, Boris Johnson, Rand Paul, etc. We have had all those in the last few days.

[Bluegrasscard]

ER doctor in Bakersfield California. Numbers, analysis, a lot of comparisons - other countries, flue, secondary effects.

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xfLVxx_lBLU

[Beechwoodfan]

NY requires nursing homes to admit or re-admit residents - regardless of COVID-19 status.

 

 

Link:

 

http://paltc.org/sites/default/files/AMDA-AHCA-NCAL%20Statement%20on%20State%20Advisories%20FINAL.pdf

 

We are deeply concerned with the recent New York State order, which states:

 

“No resident shall be denied re-admission or admission to the NH solely based on a confirmed or suspected diagnosis of COVID-19. NHs are prohibited from requiring a hospitalized resident who is determined medically stable to be tested for COVID-19 prior to admission or readmission.”

 

...

 

In New York, requiring all New York nursing homes state-wide to accept all patients regardless of their COVID-19 status,even from hospitals that are not at capacity,will likely cause many more hospitalizations,...

 

That’s crazy. Most nursing homes have semi private rooms. They also work on a very tight budget, and are not set up for large scale infection control for something like this.

 

How would you like your mom’s new room mate to be a Covid patient?

[Voice of Reason]

Success stories. These countries are on track to eliminate the virus:

 

South Korea...........8 new cases yesterday

 

New Zealand......... 3 new cases yesterday

 

Australia................ 18 new cases yesterday

[Bluegrasscard]

Friday April 17th update for UK Healthcare - still 10 inpatients related to COVID.

 

Congratulations Kentucky - the curve was not only flattened. It never got out of the starting blocks.

 

 

As of today a number that was communicated was 8 or 9 patients in the hospital for COVID-19.

[Bluegrasscard]

Success stories. These countries are on track to eliminate the virus:

 

South Korea...........8 new cases yesterday

 

New Zealand......... 3 new cases yesterday

 

Australia................ 18 new cases yesterday

 

The virus likely still "exist" it will just have lost its impact. With human to human transmission (unlike MERS) this thing is now part of the environment.

[coldweatherfan]

Just heard on the radio that Hillsborough County officials are meeting right now to discuss reopening procedures for Tampa area.

 

There are only 35 hospitalized CV cases in the county. Roughly 1.5 million population.

[Voice of Reason]

New Zealand had 0 new cases yesterday and 5 new cases today. They are getting very close to eliminating it completely.

[Colonels_Wear_Blue]

Since Kentucky's first reported case of COVID-19, here's a comparison of how the Kentucky numbers compare to things nationally. There should be some lag, by nature, because the United States' index case was confirmed on January 15th and Kentucky' index case was confirmed 50 days later on March 6th.

 

March 6

KY - 1 case; 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 214 cases; 15 deaths (7.01% mortality rate)

 

March 7

KY - 1 case (00.00% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 279 cases (30.37% increase); 19 deaths (6.81% mortality rate)

March 8

KY - 4 cases (300.00% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 423 cases (51.61% increase); 22 deaths (5.20% mortality rate)

March 9

KY - 6 cases (50.00% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 647 cases (52.96% increase); 26 deaths (4.02% mortality rate)

March 10

KY - 8 cases (33.33% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 937 cases (44.82% increase); 30 deaths (3.20% mortality rate)

 

March 11

KY - 8 cases (0.00% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 1215 cases (29.67% increase); 38 deaths (3.13% mortality rate)

March 12

KY - 11 cases (37.50% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 1629 cases (34.07% increase); 41 deaths (2.52% mortality rate)

March 13

KY - 14 cases (27.27% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 1896 cases (16.39% increase); 48 deaths (2.53% mortality rate)

 

March 14

KY - 16 cases (14.29% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 2234 cases (17.83% increase); 57 deaths (2.55% mortality rate)

March 15

KY - 20 cases (25.00% increase); 0 deaths (0% mortality rate)

US - 3487 cases (56.09% increase); 69 deaths (1.98 mortality rate)

March 16

KY - 22 cases (10.00% increase); 1 death (4.55% mortality rate)

US - 4226 cases (21.19% increase); 87 deaths (2.06% mortality rate)

 

March 17

KY - 26 cases (18.18% increase); 1 death (3.85% mortality rate)

US - 7038 cases (66.54% increase); 110 deaths (1.56% mortality rate)

March 18

KY - 35 cases (34.62% increase); 1 death (2.56% mortality rate)

US - 10442 cases (48.37% increase); 150 deaths (1.44% mortality rate)

 

March 19

KY - 40 cases (14.29% increase); 2 deaths (5.00% mortality rate)

US - 15219 cases (45.75% increase); 206 deaths (1.35% mortality rate)

March 20

KY - 48 cases (20.00% increase); 3 deaths (6.25% mortality rate)

US - 18747 cases (23.18% increase); 255 deaths (1.35% mortality rate)

March 21

KY - 63 cases (31.25% increase); 3 deaths (4.76% mortality rate)

US - 24583 cases (31.13% increase); 301 deaths (1.22% mortality rate)

March 22

KY - 99 cases (57.14% increase); 3 deaths (3.03% mortality rate)

US - 33404 cases (35.88% increase); 400 deaths (1.19% mortality rate)

March 23

KY - 124 cases (25.25% increase); 4 deaths (3.23% mortality rate)

US - 44183 cases (32.27% increase); 544 deaths (1.23% mortality rate)

March 24

KY - 163 cases (31.45% increase); 4 deaths (2.45% mortality rate)

US - 54453 cases (23.24% increase); 737 deaths (1.35% mortality rate)

March 25

KY - 198 cases (21.47% increase); 5 deaths (2.52% mortality rate)

US - 68440 cases (25.69% increase); 994 deaths (1.45% mortality rate)

 

March 26

KY - 248 cases (25.25% increase); 5 deaths (2.01% mortality rate)

US - 85356 cases (24.72% increase); 1246 deaths (1.46% mortality rate)

March 27

KY - 302 cases (21.77% increase); 7 deaths (2.32% mortality rate)

US - 103321 cases (21.05% increase); 1668 deaths (1.61% mortality rate)

 

March 28

KY - 394 cases (30.46% increase); 7 deaths (1.78% mortality rate)

US - 122653 cases (18.71% increase); 2112 deaths (1.72% mortality rate)

 

March 29

KY - 439 cases (11.42% increase); 8 deaths (1.82% mortality rate)

US - 140904 cases (14.88% increase); 2405 deaths (1.71% mortality rate)

 

March 30

KY - 480 cases (9.34% increase); 11 deaths (2.29% mortality rate)

US - 163539 cases (16.06% increase); 2860 deaths (1.75% mortality rate)

 

March 31

KY - 591 cases (23.13% increase); 17 deaths (2.88% mortality rate)

US - 186101 cases (13.80% increase); 3603 deaths (1.94% mortality rate)

 

April 1

KY - 680 cases (15.06% increase); 20 deaths (2.94% mortality rate)

US - 213144 cases (14.53% increase); 4512 deaths (2.12% mortality rate)

 

April 2

KY - 780 cases (14.71% increase); 31 deaths (3.97% mortality rate)

US - 239279 cases (12.26% increase); 5443 deaths (2.27% mortality rate)

 

April 3

KY - 831 cases (6.54% increase); 37 deaths (4.45% mortality rate)

US - 277205 cases (15.85% increase); 6893 deaths (2.49% mortality rate)

 

April 4

KY - 917 cases (10.35% increase); 40 deaths (4.36% mortality rate)

US - 304826 cases (9.96% increase); 7616 deaths (2.50% mortality rate)

 

April 5

KY - 955 cases (4.14% increase); 45 deaths (4.71% mortality rate)

US - 330891 cases (8.55% increase); 8910 deaths (2.96% mortality rate)

 

April 6

KY - 1008 cases (5.55% increase); 59 deaths (5.85% mortality rate)

US - 374329 cases (13.13% increase); 12064 deaths (3.22% mortality rate)

 

April 7

KY - 1149 cases (13.99% increase); 65 deaths (5.66% mortality rate)

US - 395011 cases (5.53% increase); 12754 deaths (3.23% mortality rate)

 

April 8

KY - 1346 cases (17.15% increase); 73 deaths (5.42% mortality rate)

US - 427460 cases (8.21% increase); 14696 deaths (3.44% mortality rate)

 

April 9

KY - 1452 cases (7.88% increase); 79 deaths (5.44% mortality rate)

US - 459165 cases (7.42% increase); 16752 deaths (3.65% mortality rate)

 

April 10

KY - 1694 cases (16.67% increase); 90 deaths (5.31% mortality rate)

US - 492416 cases (7.24% increase); 18559 deaths (3.77% mortality rate)

 

April 11

KY - 1840 cases (8.62% increase); 94 deaths (5.11% mortality rate)

US - 525704 cases (6.76% increase); 20468 deaths (3.89% mortality rate)

 

April 12

KY - 1963 cases (6.68% increase); 97 deaths (4.94% mortality rate)

US - 554849 cases (5.54% increase); 21942 deaths (3.95% mortality rate)

 

April 13

KY - 2048 cases (4.33% increase); 104 deaths (5.08% mortality rate)

US - 579005 case (4.35% increase); 22252 deaths (3.84% mortality rate)

 

April 14

KY - 2210 cases (7.91% increase); 115 deaths (5.20% mortality rate)

US - 605390 cases (4.56% increase); 24582 deaths (4.06% mortality rate)

 

April 15

KY - 2291 cases (3.67% increase); 122 deaths (5.33% mortality rate)

US - 632548 cases (4.49% increase); 31071 deaths (4.91% mortality rate)

 

April 16

KY - 2429 cases (6.02% increase); 129 deaths (5.31% mortality rate)

US - 661712 cases (4.61% increase); 33049 deaths (4.99% mortality rate)

 

April 17

KY - 2522 cases (3.83% increase); 137 deaths (5.43% mortality rate)

US - 690714 cases (4.38% increase); 35443 deaths (5.13% mortality rate)

 

April 18

KY - 2707 cases (7.34% increase); 144 deaths (5.32% mortality rate)

US - 720630 cases (4.33% increase); 37202 deaths (5.16% mortality rate)

 

April 19

KY - 2960 cases (9.35% increase); 148 deaths (5.00% morality rate)

US - 746625 cases (3.61% increase); 39083 deaths (5.23% mortality rate)

 

April 20

KY - 3050 cases (3.04% increase); 154 deaths (5.05% mortality rate)

US - 776093 cases (3.95% increase); 41758 deaths (5.38% mortality rate)

 

April 21

KY - 3227 cases (5.80% increase); 171 deaths (5.30% mortality rate)

US - 802583 cases (3.41% increase); 44575 deaths (5.55% mortality rate)

 

April 22

KY - 3373 cases (4.52% increase); 185 deaths (5.48% mortality rate)

US - 828441 cases (3.22% increase); 46379 deaths (5.59% mortality rate)

 

April 23

KY - 3481 cases (3.20% increase); 191 deaths (5.49% mortality rate)

US - 865585 cases (4.48% increase); 48816 deaths (5.64% mortality rate)

 

April 24

KY - 3779 cases (8.56% increase); 200 deaths (5.29% mortality rate)

US - 895766 cases (3.49% increase); 50439 deaths (5.63% mortality rate)

 

April 25

KY - 3905 cases (3.33% increase); 205 deaths (5.25% mortality rate)

US - 928619 cases (3.67% increase); 52459 deaths (5.65% mortality rate)

 

April 26

KY - 4074 cases (4.33% increase); 208 deaths (5.11% mortality rate)

US - TBD

 

DATA SOURCES:

United States Centers for Disease Control and Prevention https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/cases-updates/cases-in-us.html

 

Kentucky Department of Public Health https://govstatus.egov.com/kycovid19

[CincySportsFan]

New Zealand had 0 new cases yesterday and 5 new cases today. They are getting very close to eliminating it completely.

 

I'm curious, how many test results are they getting in each of those two days?

[Colonels_Wear_Blue]

[Colonels_Wear_Blue]

I'm curious, how many test results are they getting in each of those two days?

 

I haven't been able to find any daily figures....the latest I saw about testing in NZ was that as of 04/18/20 they had performed 83,859 tests in the country.