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Clinton vs. Trump - Track fivethirtyeight

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North Carolina is still up for grabs.

 

This may the first Presidential election that I can remember where the winner doesn't carry Ohio.

 

Kennedy was the last president elected without carrying Ohio.

I will be surprised if Hillary wins Ohio and a poll I just looked at gives Trump a solid lead in North Carolina.

So, I guess she has a chance... in KY. A 0.3% chance !!! This is one embarrassing state!!!!

I'd be more embarrassed if she had a chance in this state.

So, I guess she has a chance... in KY. A 0.3% chance !!! This is one embarrassing state!!!!

You have a choice to move elsewhere

I will be surprised if Hillary wins Ohio and a poll I just looked at gives Trump a solid lead in North Carolina.

 

Id say Trump will take Ohio.

 

Best case scenario for Trump is he takes Ohio, NC, Fla, Nev, and NH...

 

That will be a tough thing to do.

538 has HRC with a 54% in Florida. Same with NC. Has NV at 57%.

 

Says OH is almost assuredly in the Trump column.

 

Says it's possible NC and FL flip to Trump but not NV.

[ATTACH=CONFIG]59020[/ATTACH]

 

[ATTACH=CONFIG]59021[/ATTACH]

 

 

They must all be here:

 

 

IMG_1817.JPG

[ATTACH=CONFIG]59020[/ATTACH]

 

[ATTACH=CONFIG]59021[/ATTACH]

 

So if you do some quick math, 27% of the subscribers to USA Live News, the source of the Clinton stream logged in to watch.

 

23% of the subscribers to Right Side Broadcasting, logged in to watch Trumps stream.

 

Which source had a better turnout percentage wise?

 

The point is these sources weren't the only place to watch the live stream of these rallies. Easy to manipulate numbers and show the results you want. Pick a source with lots of subscribers for Trump, and do the opposite for HRC. And boom, you make it look like Trump is going to run away with the election, or is getting shafted.

So if you do some quick math, 27% of the subscribers to USA Live News, the source of the Clinton stream logged in to watch.

 

23% of the subscribers to Right Side Broadcasting, logged in to watch Trumps stream.

 

Which source had a better turnout percentage wise?

 

The point is these sources weren't the only place to watch the live stream of these rallies. Easy to manipulate numbers and show the results you want. Pick a source with lots of subscribers for Trump, and do the opposite for HRC. And boom, you make it look like Trump is going to run away with the election, or is getting shafted.

 

Actually I was waiting to see if anyone caught this after I found the other streams. There were 4 streams total for Springstieen show. Total was up to around 20K.

 

Screen Shot 2016-11-07 at 9.09.13 PM.png

 

The Trump rally peaked out at 60K - with no rock star.

 

Point is - external polls are specifically designed to manipulate. Today will tell.

 

Thank god this day has come, just so it can be done.

Screen Shot 2016-11-07 at 9.10.22 PM.png

Let's get this over with. Congress isn't going to work with whoever gets the job anyways.

Let's get this over with. Congress isn't going to work with whoever gets the job anyways.

 

You are exactly right.

Actually I was waiting to see if anyone caught this after I found the other streams. There were 4 streams total for Springstieen show. Total was up to around 20K.

 

[ATTACH=CONFIG]59031[/ATTACH]

 

The Trump rally peaked out at 60K - with no rock star.

 

Point is - external polls are specifically designed to manipulate. Today will tell.

 

Thank god this day has come, just so it can be done.

 

Or maybe the polls are right and Clinton supporters simply have better things to do than to watch a rally streamed online. If there is one thing that is clear is that Trump supporters are the most exuberant and passionate supporters I have ever seen in my life. It doesn't mean there are enough of them in the right places for him to get the electoral votes he needs to win. Not to mention there are just as many anti-Trump people that will vote for Clinton as there are anti-Clinton people that will vote for Trump. The anti-Trump voters aren't going to watch a Clinton rally. Hell, Jay-Z is the greatest rapper ever and I am not voting for Hillary and I still didn't want to watch his rally with Clinton. Watching the numbers of who is watching what rally is hardly a scientific way to determine if the polls are right or who has more support.

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^ Kinda like the yard sign theory.

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