mcpapa Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 fivethirtyeight has probably proven to be the most reliable predictor of this stuff. We're now les than four weeks out. As of today: Clinton 86.9% Trump 13.1% http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
Hellcats Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I predict 90-10 by the weekend. Wiki leaks is going to have to work some magic to move the needle with the type of dirt coming out on Trump.
mcpapa Posted October 13, 2016 Author Posted October 13, 2016 Well she win by the larger margin ever? No. But I don't think it will be a nail-biter, either.
Clyde Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 Well she win by the larger margin ever? From an electoral vote it looks like Reagan in 84 had the most votes since the # of possible votes went to 538. He had 525.
B-Ball-fan Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I don't know... :idunno: Busken Bakery has never been wrong.... Trump leads in latest presidential cookie poll - Story Busken Bakery | Facebook Cincinnati, Ohio Bakery | Cakes. Cookies. Donuts. Schnecken. Busken
Hatz Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I don't know... :idunno: Busken Bakery has never been wrong.... Trump leads in latest presidential cookie poll - Story Busken Bakery | Facebook Cincinnati, Ohio Bakery | Cakes. Cookies. Donuts. Schnecken. Busken Cookies never lie! :thumb:
mcpapa Posted October 13, 2016 Author Posted October 13, 2016 If Florida stays blue, it's over early.
UKMustangFan Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 If Florida stays blue, it's over early. I was thinking the same. If Ohio & Florida are blue, it'll be over before polls close on the west coast.
Hatz Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I've long thought that the only hope Trump has was to win in the key states and probably lose the popular vote.
Jumper_Dad Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I was thinking the same. If Ohio & Florida are blue, it'll be over before polls close on the west coast. Yep it probably still comes down to those two and Pennsylvania, if Trump doesn't win at least 2 of the 3 it will be an early night for everyone. As bad as this has all been, if he managed to win those...he could win electoral college. I just don't see it happening.
Clyde Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 Trump needs low turnout. Saw a report using actual data from early voters (not who they voted for but, rather, their party affiliation) and it showed that early voting in states that allow it (more than I realized) show that turnout should be strong for the November election. Sidenote: In 2012 President Obama and Gov Romney tied % wise for the votes cast on election day. However, President Obama dominated early voting.
Clyde Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I said in other threads that this election is over. The next few weeks will see an onslaught of Trump attacks on the Clinton family/empire with no attempt to win the election.
StrongSide Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 I said in other threads that this election is over. The next few weeks will see an onslaught of Trump attacks on the Clinton family/empire with no attempt to win the election. This whole thing has been attack after attack after attack on each other. Who ever gets elected (Hillary) will have the easiest presidency ever because neither one has had to talk about what they plan on doing once they get elected.
Clyde Posted October 13, 2016 Posted October 13, 2016 My guess is we'll see more wiki leaks against HRC.
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