October 21, 20169 yr I believe the race gets closer from here. I say by election day that the likelihood of Hillary winning is below 70%.
October 21, 20169 yr Saw a post on twitter last night that the projected points had the nominee been Rubio or Biden. Rubio would be leading Clinton by 5-7, and Biden would be leading Trump by 10-12. I personally wish we had Biden vs Kasich. Sanders/Rubio would have been my 2nd choices for each party.
October 21, 20169 yr How is this possible? HRC was leading in just about every poll at the beginning of the week, now it's nearly tied again? (These were all pulled from Real Clear Politics site) Friday [TABLE=class: sortable, width: 859] [TR=bgcolor: #E7E7E7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]IBD/TIPP Tracking[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 40, Trump 41, Johnson 8, Stein 4[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Trump +1[/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: alt, bgcolor: #F7F7F7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]IBD/TIPP Tracking[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 43, Trump 41[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Clinton +2[/TD] [/TR] [TR=bgcolor: #E7E7E7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]Rasmussen Reports[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 41, Trump 43, Johnson 5, Stein 3[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Trump +2[/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: alt, bgcolor: #F7F7F7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]LA Times/USC Tracking[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 44, Trump 45[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Trump +1[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Thursday [TABLE=class: sortable, width: 859] [TR=bgcolor: #E7E7E7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]LA Times/USC Tracking[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 44, Trump 44[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Tie[/TD] [/TR] [TR=class: alt, bgcolor: #F7F7F7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton vs. Johnson vs. Stein[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]IBD/TIPP Tracking[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 40, Trump 41, Johnson 7, Stein 5[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Trump +1[/TD] [/TR] [TR=bgcolor: #E7E7E7] [TD=class: lp-race]General Election: Trump vs. Clinton[/TD] [TD=class: lp-poll]IBD/TIPP Tracking[/TD] [TD=class: lp-results]Clinton 43, Trump 41[/TD] [TD=class: lp-spread]Clinton +2[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
October 21, 20169 yr Saw a post on twitter last night that the projected points had the nominee been Rubio or Biden. Rubio would be leading Clinton by 5-7, and Biden would be leading Trump by 10-12. I personally wish we had Biden vs Kasich. Sanders/Rubio would have been my 2nd choices for each party. Not a fan of Kasich and liked Rubio less and less the more he talked.
October 21, 20169 yr Not a fan of Kasich and liked Rubio less and less the more he talked. I agree. Rubio was the GOP version of Hil- way too rehearsed , almost robotic. Kasich seems like a sensible guy, for sure, but as J-Dad and I have said, he just had a very sour disposition. Not likeable at all.
October 24, 20169 yr A month ago 538 had Trump at 60% chance of winning Ohio. Now HRC is at 60% chance of winning Ohio. Florida has gone from Trump at 55% to HRC at 73% in that same time period.
October 24, 20169 yr Author Hillary-85.8% Donald-14.2% Candidate Trump has made a move in the last two days. Clinton 85.7% Trump 14.3%
October 24, 20169 yr Candidate Trump has made a move in the last two days. Clinton 85.7% Trump 14.3% Who did he make a move on this time?
October 26, 20169 yr This isn't 538 but I thought it was applicable to the discussion. This poll has the Electoral Map showing states that appear to be "in play" and how they break down. If accurate, Trump has to win every state "in play" to win the election. That's not impossible but highly unlikely I suppose. Electoral Map Possibilities: Trump & Clinton Path to 27
October 26, 20169 yr Candidate Trump has made a move in the last two days. Clinton 85.7% Trump 14.3% Moving on up....:lol2: Clinton 84.6 Trump 15.4
October 26, 20169 yr Moving on up....:lol2: Clinton 84.6 Trump 15.4 To a "Deluxe Apartment, in the skyyyyyy . . ."? :lol2:
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