Hurricane Eta

[swamprat]

With the track showing the storm moving back out over warm water later in the week, this bad boy  could end up being a threat to the US after all. 

 

 

[swamprat]

[swamprat]

[nWo]

2. Eta is forecast to regain tropical storm strength before it
moves across portions of Cuba and approaches southern Florida this
weekend.  While it is too soon to determine the exact timing,
magnitude, and location of possible impacts from wind and rainfall,
interests in Cuba, southern Florida and the Florida Keys should
monitor the progress of Eta through the week.

 

 

 

ETA could be a cat. 2 storm by the time it nears Florida.

[swamprat]

[swamprat]

I am hoping the high out in the Atlantic combined with the low over the plains veers this sucker west. However, it looks like the my luck has finally run out. 

[nWo]

16 hours ago, swamprat said:

I am hoping the high out in the Atlantic combined with the low over the plains veers this sucker west. However, it looks like the my luck has finally run out. 

According to the mid range models this thing is going to meander around in the gulf before it starts its move towards the coast.

 

 

 

Eta is forecast to regain strength to become a tropical storm with in the next 24 hours. It is possible that Eta could become a hurricane once again by the end of the weekend or early next week.

 

 

 

 

[nWo]

At 600 AM CST (1200 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eta was
located near latitude 17.5 North, longitude 87.3 West. The
depression is moving toward the north near 7 mph (13 km/h).  A turn
toward the northeast is expected later today, with this motion
continuing through early Sunday.  On the forecast track, the center
of Eta will move across the northwestern Caribbean Sea today,
approach the Cayman Islands Saturday, and be near Cuba Saturday
night and Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher
gusts. Eta is forecast to become a tropical storm again later today,
with further strengthening likely through early Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[nWo]

At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eta was 
located near latitude 18.3 North, longitude 84.9 West. The 
depression is moving toward the east-northeast near 10 mph (17 
km/h). An east-northeast to northeast motion at a faster forward 
speed is expected through early Sunday. A turn toward the north and 
northwest are expected by Sunday afternoon. On the forecast track, 
the center of Eta will approach the Cayman Islands later today, be 
near central Cuba tonight and Sunday, and near the Florida Keys or 
south Florida Sunday night and Monday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Eta is forecast to become a tropical storm again later today,
with further strengthening likely through Sunday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).

 

 

 

 

[nWo]

At 400 PM EST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
located near latitude 20.4 North, longitude 80.7 West. Eta is moving
toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this motion is 
expected to continue tonight.  A turn toward the north and 
northwest at a slower forward speed is expected on Sunday and Sunday 
night, followed by a westward motion on Monday.  On the forecast 
track, the center of Eta will cross central Cuba tonight, approach 
south Florida and the Florida Keys on Sunday, and pass near or over 
south Florida and the Florida Keys Sunday night and Monday. 

Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is possible through Sunday night, and Eta could 
be near hurricane strength as it approaches Florida.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).
 

 

 

 

[nWo]

At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
located near latitude 21.5 North, longitude 79.3 West. Eta is moving
toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A turn toward the north
and northwest at a slower forward speed is expected later today and
tonight, followed by a westward motion on Monday. On the forecast
track, the center of Eta will move across central Cuba during the 
next few hours and then move into the Florida Straits later this 
morning. Eta is forecast to pass near or over the Florida Keys
tonight and early Monday and be over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico
late Monday and Tuesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher 
gusts. Some weakening is possible during the next few hours as Eta 
moves across Cuba, but the storm is forecast to be near hurricane 
strength when it moves near or over the Florida Keys.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 991 mb (29.27 inches).

 

 

 

This system needs to be watched by those who may be in the path of ETA.

[swamprat]

I've lived down here 40 years and this is the screwiest thing I've ever seen.

#2020

 

[nWo]

5 hours ago, swamprat said:

I've lived down here 40 years and this is the screwiest thing I've ever seen.

#2020

 

There maybe something brewing in the Caribbean sea apart from ETA.

[nWo]

At 400 AM EST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was
located near latitude 25.2 North, longitude 82.0 West. Eta is moving
toward the west-northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A west to west-
southwest motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected
later today and tonight. Little overall motion is expected on
Tuesday and a slow northward motion is forecast on Wednesday.  On
the forecast track, the center of Eta will gradually pull away from
the Florida Keys and south Florida today and be over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight through Wednesday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft and National Weather
Service Doppler radar indicate that the maximum sustained winds
remain near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening
is forecast during the next day or so, and Eta is forecast to become
a hurricane when it moves over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
observations is 992 mb (29.30 inches).

 

 

 

 

Eta is forecast to regain strength and become a hurricane in the next couple of days. It could even reach cat. 2.

[swamprat]

Now the forecast has completely changed. 

DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was 
located by an Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft and NOAA 
Doppler weather radars near latitude 24.6 North, longitude 83.4 
West. Eta is moving toward the southwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and 
this motion with some reduction in forward speed is expected to 
continue through tonight. Little overall motion is forecast on 
Tuesday and a slow northward motion is expected on Wednesday.  On 
the forecast track, the center of Eta will continue to move away 
from the Florida Keys and south Florida today, and will remain over 
the southeastern Gulf of Mexico tonight through Wednesday.

Data from the aircraft and Doppler radars indicate that maximum 
sustained winds have decreased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Little change in strength is expected today and tonight. 
Some slight strengthening is forecast on Tuesday into Wednesday, 
followed by gradual weakening thereafter.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles (240 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure based on reports from the
aircraft is 994 mb (29.36 inches).