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Hurricane Eta

Featured Replies

  • Author

The storm continues to weaken. It must have gotten ahold of that dry air Dennis Philips was taking about. 

 

235226_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

  • Author

It's an absolutely beautiful day here in the Tampa Bay area after 3 days of bluster and rain. 

 

174900_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

  • Author

And now it starts to swing back. ?

235313_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

  • Author
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1000 PM EST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Eta was 
located near latitude 23.8 North, longitude 84.5 West. Eta is moving 
toward the north-northeast near 9 mph (15 km/h). A motion toward the 
north-northeast is forecast through Thursday. On the forecast track 
the center of Eta will move closer to but offshore of the southwest 
coast of Florida on Wednesday, approach the west-central coast of 
Florida Wednesday night, and move inland over the northern portion 
of the Florida peninsula on Thursday.

Data from a NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate that the maximum 
sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher 
gusts.  Some additional strengthening is forecast through Wednesday, 
and Eta could be near hurricane strength by Wednesday morning. 
Gradual weakening is expected to begin Wednesday night or early 
Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.

I wouldn't underestimate ETA. The eye of the storm reformed overnight and radar indicated winds are increasing at the mid-levels.  It still could make landfall as a hurricane.

  • Author

Like this? The cone tightened up some, too. 

114331_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

ETA has once again reach cat 1 status. The tracking cone has narrowed so we are getting a pretty good idea where this system will go.

29L_tracks_latest.thumb.png.41750527523124bb60ad3c291aa690b6.png

 

You can see that the eye is getting a little ragged. This means some dry air is getting mixed in so ETA might not get too much stronger.

 

goes16_vis_29L_202011111627_(1).thumb.gif.44ab1b5d0576c31129d7f97f6420562c.gif

 

29L_intensity_latest.png.abc64bde7ea2a2766a2eb16b8865db8d.png

BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Eta Advisory Number  46
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL292020
400 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2020

...AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT FINDS THAT ETA HAS
CHANGED LITTLE THIS AFTERNOON...
...HEAVY RAINS AND TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WIND GUSTS CONTINUE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL FLORIDA..

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Warning is in effect for...
* Bonita Beach to Suwanee River Florida, including Tampa Bay
and Charlotte Harbor

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Bonita Beach to Suwannee River Florida

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Steinhatchee River to Suwannee River Florida

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* North of the Suwannee River to Aucilla River Florida

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 6 to 12 hours.

A Storm Surge Warning means there is a danger of life-threatening
inundation, from rising water moving inland from the coastline, in
this case within 24 hours in the indicated locations. For a
depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather Service
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.
This is a life-threatening situation.  Persons located within these
areas should take all necessary actions to protect life and property
from rising water and the potential for other dangerous conditions.
Promptly follow evacuation and other instructions from local
officials.

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in this case within 24 hours. For a depiction of areas
at risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area.

Interests elsewhere along the Gulf Coast of Florida should monitor
the progress of Eta.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

083820WPCERO_sm.gif.b02f0cfe7ae8f262756221f5895b3621.gif

 

29L_tracks_latest.thumb.png.1e02aa12a205bc983c2e5b3618b31dd2.png

210013.png.6296ff475e04fc12b0ab3730ddd42565.png

 

29L_intensity_latest.png.d5ba510f67460f72535c11b25d9b07a0.png

 

Florida Radar

  • Author

The center is 60 miles WNW of Tampa. Just drove home from work. Blowing rain, but nothing to write home to Mom about.

025720_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

  • Author

Tree trash on the ground. Some water standing in the road. Not much more than a normal summer afternoon storm. 

115458_5day_cone_no_line_and_wind.png

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