4A RPI Rankings - 2025

[theguru]

1	Johnson Central	4A	6	6	-	0			6	1.02180	.78291	.68742	.83787
2	Franklin County	4A	4	6	-	0			6	1.16136	.43221	.73060	.77693
3	Boyle County	4A	7	4	-	1			5	.92909	.70392	.63657	.76252
4	Taylor County	4A	2	6	-	0			6	.99677	.55134	.66749	.74208
5	Logan County	4A	1	6	-	0			6	1.07882	.45100	.68301	.74034
6	Lincoln County	4A	7	5	-	1			6	.90842	.74757	.51336	.73361
7	Paducah Tilghman	4A	1	5	-	1			6	.91215	.60751	.63843	.72341
8	Highlands	4A	5	5	-	1			6	1.01972	.51010	.62125	.72181
9	Elizabethtown	4A	2	4	-	2			6	.77424	.54444	.60208	.64216
10	Corbin	4A	8	3	-	2			5	.69458	.59238	.61226	.63411
11	Covington Catholic	4A	5	4	-	2			6	.74548	.59760	.53385	.63023
12	Boyd County	4A	6	4	-	2			6	.66667	.68967	.51655	.62968
13	Ashland Blazer	4A	6	4	-	2			6	.72377	.59772	.53574	.62324
14	Spencer County	4A	4	4	-	2			6	.71672	.62792	.48258	.61540
15	Nelson County	4A	2	4	-	2			6	.66667	.51420	.61971	.59922
16	North Oldham	4A	3	5	-	1			6	.96221	.39587	.40892	.59800
17	Franklin-Simpson	4A	1	4	-	2			6	.74548	.48163	.53231	.58918
18	John Hardin	4A	2	3	-	3			6	.55006	.62533	.50397	.56258
19	Harlan County	4A	8	4	-	2			6	.60434	.52963	.54314	.55983
20	Marion County	4A	2	4	-	2			6	.58545	.50858	.58570	.55862
21	Valley	4A	3	5	-	1			6	.96594	.21467	.47239	.55493
22	Russell County	4A	7	3	-	3			6	.47829	.61154	.53390	.54161
23	Whitley County	4A	8	1	-	5			6	.16667	.77554	.53119	.48913
24	Calloway County	4A	1	4	-	2			6	.55263	.46301	.43881	.48712
25	Perry County Central	4A	8	2	-	3			5	.33158	.61736	.50579	.48387
26	Greenup County	4A	6	2	-	4			6	.31162	.60109	.52711	.47758
27	Wayne County	4A	7	2	-	4			6	.41215	.47679	.52345	.46817
28	Grant County	4A	4	3	-	3			6	.47829	.34526	.58579	.46398
29	Mason County	4A	5	2	-	3			5	.43003	.44102	.49116	.45222
30	Allen County-Scottsville	4A	1	0	-	6			6	.00000	.79619	.49071	.42588
31	Breckinridge County	4A	3	2	-	4			6	.31162	.47754	.34186	.37877
32	Warren East	4A	1	1	-	5			6	.22045	.42462	.50464	.37717
33	Harrison County	4A	5	1	-	5			6	.12606	.58387	.42791	.37685
34	Thomas Nelson	4A	2	1	-	5			6	.16667	.48078	.47093	.36789
35	Shelby County	4A	4	0	-	6			6	.00000	.61601	.48047	.35975
36	Western Hills	4A	4	1	-	5			6	.10965	.47409	.45365	.34041
37	Holmes	4A	5	1	-	4			5	.15127	.47848	.37319	.33237
38	Waggener	4A	3	1	-	4			5	.20000	.31502	.44297	.31315
39	Rowan County	4A	6	1	-	4			5	.17394	.32924	.43149	.30556
40	Doss	4A	3	0	-	6			6	.00000	.25520	.38776	.20565

[theguru]

I assume this means the CovCath/Highlands loser this week will be a road warrior in the playoffs.  Anyone?

[ATLCat]

13 minutes ago, theguru said:

I assume this means the CovCath/Highlands loser this week will be a road warrior in the playoffs.  Anyone?

Most likely and it is going to be a gauntlet.. CovCath has a strong chance to be guaranteed to be the lowest seed starting Round 3. 

For whoever loses I could easily see:

Round 1- Host a pretty tough Boyd County

Round 2- at Johnson Central

Round 3- at Boyle County

Round 4- at Franklin County if they are now the top 1 seed remaining overall

Round 5- Tilghman or whoever beat you in the District.

 

[theguru]

2 minutes ago, ATLCat said:

Most likely and it is going to be a gauntlet.. CovCath has a strong chance to be guaranteed to be the lowest seed starting Round 3. 

For whoever loses I could easily see:

Round 1- Host a pretty tough Boyd County

Round 2- at Johnson Central

Round 3- at Boyle County

Round 4- at Franklin County if they are now the top 1 seed remaining overall

Round 5- Tilghman or whoever beat you in the District.

 

Ouch and gauntlet is how I would describe it too.  Thanks ATL.

[DragonFire]

So in terms of predicting matchups:

* Presume that Paducah Tilghman and Logan County advance to region final round.  I believe both are better than any in District 2.

* Absolute lock that North Oldham and Franklin County advance from District 3 & 4, respectively.

* Likely Highlands/CovCath winner advances over Ashland, then a toss-up between Johnson Central and the Highlands/CovCath loser

* Absolute lock that Boyle County and Corbin advance from District 7 & 8, respectively. 

That would leave round 3 matchups of:

Paducah Tilghman/Logan County loser at Paducah Tilghman/Logan County winner
North Oldham at Franklin County

If Johnson Central advanced
Corbin at Johnson Central 
Highlands/CovCath winner at Boyle County

(I'm presuming that if CovCath wins, it'll be a bump enough to move them ahead of Corbin in RPI, and Highlands is already ahead of them. Although, each plays an out of state team which may hurt.  So possible flip/flop or Corbin and the Highlands/CovCath survivor.  Ironically, Corbin probably wouldn't want that.)

If Johnson Central loses

Highlands/CovCath loser at Boyle County
Corbin at Highlands/CovCath winner

(Though again, it is possible Corbin would end up ahead in RPI of whoever wins District 5)

State semifinals get too tough to predict because of the toughness in the East.  I'm pretty confident Franklin County will be in the state semis, and as RPI stands now, Franklin County would host.  They need that win over Bowling Green at the end of the season. I feel like Paducah Tilghman or Logan County need Boyle County and Johnson Central off the board for them to get a host.  I don't see either losing before end of the regular season to allow them to close the gap. 

[theguru]

[9068]

Really surprising to me that Highlands RPI isn't higher. They've played a pretty good schedule.

[Rebel]

I don't see Johnson Central losing any to go 10-0 and remain #1.

Lincoln surprises me at #6 and ahead of Highlands.  

Boyle with St. X and Douglas.  Highlands with Cov Cath, Elder, and Scott County. Cov Cath with Highlands, and Cathedral, In.   There will be numerous losses between these 3 teams yet to come.  Who knows how The RPI will end up? 

Personally I wouldn't want to go to Johnson Central for a 2nd. round game.  Making this weekends game between Cov Cath and Highlands even bigger than it already is.     

 

[Statsdontlie]

If Boyle was to lose against Saint X, I wonder how far they would fall in the RPI. 

[Country]

10 hours ago, Statsdontlie said:

If Boyle was to lose against Saint X, I wonder how far they would fall in the RPI. 

Probably not far if any, since St. X is number 2 in 6A.

[gchs_uk9]

16 hours ago, Rebel said:

Lincoln surprises me at #6 and ahead of Highlands.

Playing and beating three 5A teams certainly helped the numbers for Lincoln. Danville and Estill having winning records in smaller classes probably didn't hurt, either. Besides an upset of Boyle, the Patriots probably don't have many chances to rise much higher.

[theguru]

1	Johnson Central	4A	6	7	-	0			7	1.01868	.80926	.65970	.83769
2	Boyle County	4A	7	5	-	1			6	.99470	.68886	.65181	.78479
3	Franklin County	4A	4	7	-	0			7	1.13831	.50106	.70062	.78397
4	Taylor County	4A	2	7	-	0			7	.99723	.56099	.65077	.74061
5	Paducah Tilghman	4A	1	6	-	1			7	.92470	.67204	.60315	.73980
6	Highlands	4A	5	6	-	1			7	1.01691	.56002	.60311	.73286
7	Lincoln County	4A	7	6	-	1			7	.92150	.70593	.50325	.72058
8	Logan County	4A	1	6	-	1			7	.92470	.54189	.61667	.69831
9	Elizabethtown	4A	2	5	-	2			7	.80649	.53581	.58121	.64417
10	Corbin	4A	8	3	-	3			6	.57882	.68152	.62616	.62896
11	Boyd County	4A	6	5	-	2			7	.71429	.60186	.55517	.62720
12	Ashland Blazer	4A	6	5	-	2			7	.76323	.53052	.53840	.61433
13	Franklin-Simpson	4A	1	5	-	2			7	.78184	.51432	.50839	.60617
14	Covington Catholic	4A	5	4	-	3			7	.63899	.63953	.52775	.60580
15	Spencer County	4A	4	4	-	3			7	.61434	.69958	.47577	.60260
16	North Oldham	4A	3	6	-	1			7	.96761	.37953	.43396	.60169
17	Nelson County	4A	2	4	-	3			7	.57143	.58517	.57570	.57752
18	John Hardin	4A	2	4	-	3			7	.56546	.58670	.53110	.56259
19	Harlan County	4A	8	4	-	2			6	.60434	.53873	.53845	.56161
20	Russell County	4A	7	3	-	3			6	.47829	.66737	.51465	.55537
21	Valley	4A	3	6	-	1			7	.97080	.19455	.47472	.55029
22	Marion County	4A	2	4	-	3			7	.50181	.54559	.54261	.52937
23	Whitley County	4A	8	1	-	5			6	.16667	.75838	.57513	.49630
24	Perry County Central	4A	8	2	-	4			6	.27631	.66315	.51836	.48432
25	Wayne County	4A	7	2	-	5			7	.35327	.56185	.53369	.48040
26	Calloway County	4A	1	4	-	3			7	.47368	.50050	.45115	.47631
27	Greenup County	4A	6	2	-	5			7	.26710	.61710	.49767	.45877
28	Mason County	4A	5	2	-	4			6	.35836	.52350	.48670	.45466
29	Warren East	4A	1	2	-	5			7	.33182	.36308	.52822	.40168
30	Grant County	4A	4	3	-	4			7	.40996	.30797	.49933	.40107
31	Breckinridge County	4A	3	2	-	5			7	.26710	.52618	.38078	.39188
32	Harrison County	4A	5	1	-	5			6	.12606	.57265	.47145	.38598
33	Allen County-Scottsville	4A	1	0	-	7			7	.00000	.65998	.49244	.37872
34	Shelby County	4A	4	1	-	6			7	.14286	.50419	.49554	.37513
35	Western Hills	4A	4	2	-	5			7	.23684	.45708	.43894	.37455
36	Thomas Nelson	4A	2	1	-	6			7	.14286	.48664	.49818	.36978
37	Rowan County	4A	6	1	-	5			6	.14495	.44867	.41286	.33163
38	Holmes	4A	5	1	-	5			6	.12606	.44236	.37120	.31031
39	Waggener	4A	3	1	-	5			6	.16667	.39193	.37844	.30904
40	Doss	4A	3	0	-	6			6	.00000	.27378	.38069	.21003

[DearToday]

Third round east likely scenarios:

 

JC beats Cov Cath: Corbin at JC, Highlands at Boyle

Cov Cath beats JC: Corbin at Boyle, CC at Highlands 

[DragonFire]

21 minutes ago, DearToday said:

Third round east likely scenarios:

 

JC beats Cov Cath: Corbin at JC, Highlands at Boyle

Cov Cath beats JC: Corbin at Boyle, CC at Highlands 

The speculation being that CovCath passes Corbin in the RPI prior to the end of the regular season? I am highly skeptical of that.  I think it's much more likely that if CovCath beats JC in the second round that CovCath will end up at Boyle County.

[Voice of Reason]

1 hour ago, DearToday said:

Third round east likely scenarios:

 

JC beats Cov Cath: Corbin at JC, Highlands at Boyle

Cov Cath beats JC: Corbin at Boyle, CC at Highlands 

How Are you getting to that? CCH has to pass Corbin in RPI for that to be possible and I don't see that happening. Remember, RPI is based on regular season only. RPI ranking doesn't change in the playoffs.

Round 3 is going to be seeded by RPI. Here is your east side RPI as of this week:

1. Johnson Central

2. Boyle County

3. Highlands

4. Lincoln County

5. Corbin

Cov Cath is 8th behind Boyd County and Ashland.

CCH is almost surely going to play JC in round 2. It is a big if that CCH wins that game IMO but if CCH wins, we go to RPI for round 3. With CCH beating JC, and assuming Corbin beats Lincoln County, the remaining RPI ranked teams in the east are:

1. Boyle Co.

2. Highlands

3. Corbin

4. CCH

That makes round 3 Boyle hosting CCH and Highlands hosting Corbin.