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4A RPI Rankings - 2025

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  • Author

I am glad we have some "numbers guys" on BGP!

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  • State final chances.. also 0% now. 

  • So in terms of predicting matchups: * Presume that Paducah Tilghman and Logan County advance to region final round.  I believe both are better than any in District 2. * Absolute lock that No

  • The dream of a Highlands/Covington Catholic final lives.  They stay one spot below Corbin in RPI.  As such, there is no realistic scenario where the two teams would meet in round 3, and if we assume t

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Johnson Central intrigues me, especially with the type of offense they run.

  • Author
1 Johnson Central 4A 6 8 - 0     8 1.01635 .71280 .64276 .79803
2 Boyle County 4A 7 6 - 1     7 .99545 .65344 .63765 .76841
3 Franklin County 4A 4 8 - 0     8 1.12102 .48779 .62525 .75066
4 Paducah Tilghman 4A 1 6 - 1     7 .92470 .67204 .59953 .73872
5 Taylor County 4A 2 7 - 0     7 .99723 .50990 .63216 .71714
6 Lincoln County 4A 7 6 - 1     7 .92150 .69006 .48664 .71004
7 Logan County 4A 1 6 - 1     7 .92470 .54189 .60375 .69443
8 Highlands 4A 5 6 - 2     8 .88979 .56949 .56584 .68050
9 Corbin 4A 8 4 - 3     7 .63899 .69295 .60769 .64848
10 Ashland Blazer 4A 6 6 - 2     8 .79283 .56548 .55207 .64103
11 Elizabethtown 4A 2 5 - 2     7 .80649 .48390 .56410 .62087
12 Covington Catholic 4A 5 5 - 3     8 .68411 .62524 .53009 .61730
13 North Oldham 4A 3 7 - 1     8 .97166 .43778 .41179 .61684
14 Boyd County 4A 6 5 - 3     8 .62500 .62571 .55099 .60305
15 Franklin-Simpson 4A 1 5 - 2     7 .78184 .51529 .49431 .60229
16 Spencer County 4A 4 5 - 3     8 .66254 .59095 .50670 .59073
17 Nelson County 4A 2 4 - 3     7 .57143 .57681 .53137 .56129
18 John Hardin 4A 2 4 - 3     7 .56546 .56655 .51927 .55199
19 Valley 4A 3 6 - 2     8 .84945 .30205 .45575 .53975
20 Russell County 4A 7 3 - 4     7 .40996 .67136 .50793 .53084
21 Harlan County 4A 8 4 - 3     7 .51801 .54288 .51417 .52556
22 Perry County Central 4A 8 3 - 4     7 .37970 .59175 .54880 .50465
23 Marion County 4A 2 4 - 3     7 .44065 .52542 .54154 .50059
24 Mason County 4A 5 3 - 4     7 .45002 .47942 .51059 .47848
25 Calloway County 4A 1 4 - 3     7 .47368 .48467 .44690 .46949
26 Greenup County 4A 6 2 - 5     7 .26710 .62521 .50448 .46365
27 Wayne County 4A 7 2 - 5     7 .35327 .52930 .51518 .46345
28 Whitley County 4A 8 1 - 6     7 .14286 .67200 .57344 .45723
29 Grant County 4A 4 3 - 5     8 .35871 .38332 .47274 .40153
30 Warren East 4A 1 2 - 5     7 .33182 .35111 .52828 .39751
31 Shelby County 4A 4 1 - 7     8 .12500 .52076 .49260 .37379
32 Allen County-Scottsville 4A 1 0 - 7     7 .00000 .64801 .48967 .37370
33 Western Hills 4A 4 2 - 5     7 .23684 .42300 .46286 .36980
34 Harrison County 4A 5 1 - 6     7 .10805 .51684 .49023 .36578
35 Rowan County 4A 6 1 - 6     7 .12425 .51209 .46954 .36358
36 Breckinridge County 4A 3 2 - 5     7 .20594 .49706 .38965 .36295
37 Waggener 4A 3 2 - 5     7 .28571 .29295 .40520 .32409
38 Doss 4A 3 0 - 7     7 .00000 .26199 .39492 .21017
  • Author

Bump.

The RPI update after this Friday's games should be interesting with Johnson Central playing a 2 and 5 team and Boyle playing a 6-1 team.

  • Author
1 Boyle County 4A 7 7 - 1     8 .99602 .70577 .64452 .78898
2 Johnson Central 4A 6 9 - 0     9 1.01453 .67875 .61738 .77786
3 Franklin County 4A 4 9 - 0     9 1.10758 .44869 .60332 .72569
4 Paducah Tilghman 4A 1 7 - 1     8 .93411 .61694 .56046 .71100
5 Logan County 4A 1 7 - 1     8 .93411 .58732 .55292 .69838
6 Highlands 4A 5 7 - 2     9 .90204 .56877 .57123 .68615
7 Lincoln County 4A 7 6 - 2     8 .80632 .69972 .51002 .68012
8 Taylor County 4A 2 7 - 1     8 .87258 .52018 .58678 .66350
9 Ashland Blazer 4A 6 6 - 2     8 .79283 .57324 .54796 .64251
10 Corbin 4A 8 5 - 3     8 .68411 .61571 .61911 .64067
11 Covington Catholic 4A 5 6 - 3     9 .71921 .59849 .52520 .61875
12 Elizabethtown 4A 2 6 - 2     8 .80022 .42103 .59260 .60522
13 North Oldham 4A 3 8 - 1     9 .97481 .40691 .40372 .60472
14 Boyd County 4A 6 6 - 3     9 .66667 .56038 .55082 .59471
15 Spencer County 4A 4 5 - 3     8 .66254 .60182 .48553 .58819
16 John Hardin 4A 2 5 - 3     8 .61978 .58884 .54325 .58599
17 Franklin-Simpson 4A 1 5 - 3     8 .68411 .55631 .48119 .57850
18 Valley 4A 3 6 - 2     8 .84945 .31240 .47077 .54788
19 Harlan County 4A 8 5 - 3     8 .57826 .52418 .51081 .53910
20 Marion County 4A 2 5 - 3     8 .51057 .54931 .53928 .53274
21 Nelson County 4A 2 4 - 4     8 .50000 .53540 .51955 .51826
22 Russell County 4A 7 3 - 5     8 .35871 .61911 .51368 .49634
23 Wayne County 4A 7 3 - 5     8 .43411 .52030 .52866 .49264
24 Calloway County 4A 1 5 - 3     8 .53947 .41708 .48082 .47904
25 Perry County Central 4A 8 3 - 5     8 .33224 .56671 .54612 .47847
26 Mason County 4A 5 3 - 5     8 .39377 .53682 .50488 .47717
27 Greenup County 4A 6 2 - 6     8 .23371 .67633 .49639 .46743
28 Whitley County 4A 8 1 - 7     8 .12500 .66506 .57223 .44819
29 Warren East 4A 1 2 - 6     8 .29034 .40154 .52290 .39903
30 Grant County 4A 4 3 - 5     8 .35871 .36597 .46483 .39309
31 Western Hills 4A 4 2 - 6     8 .20724 .50662 .45546 .38649
32 Harrison County 4A 5 1 - 7     8 .09454 .54648 .49646 .37330
33 Breckinridge County 4A 3 3 - 5     8 .30520 .43330 .38124 .37284
34 Rowan County 4A 6 1 - 7     8 .10871 .52742 .46756 .36292
35 Allen County-Scottsville 4A 1 0 - 8     8 .00000 .60558 .48298 .35684
36 Shelby County 4A 4 1 - 7     8 .12500 .49624 .46190 .35600
37 Waggener 4A 3 2 - 6     8 .25000 .38796 .40780 .34563
38 Doss 4A 3 0 - 8     8 .00000 .27796 .40343 .21831

I reviewed RPI this week.  KHSAA changed all Withdrawn teams from previous class to Withdrawn formula of 1.150.  Really weird to tweak the formula in the middle of the season.  Anyone playing Holmes, Ohio County, Phelps and Thomas Nelson saw a drop in Winning Percentage.  

What do the 2nd round match ups look like for Boyle, JC, Franklin, Cov Cath, PT, Highlands and Corbin?

34 minutes ago, RVaughn said:

What do the 2nd round match ups look like for Boyle, JC, Franklin, Cov Cath, PT, Highlands and Corbin?

RPI seedings don't kick in until week 3.  Week 2 will be with the sister districts.  

Biggest game looking like a Covington Catholic at Johnson Central matchup. 

17 minutes ago, Rebel said:

RPI seedings don't kick in until week 3.  Week 2 will be with the sister districts.  

Biggest game looking like a Covington Catholic at Johnson Central matchup. 

Would Boyle play Corbin 2nd round?

47 minutes ago, RVaughn said:

Would Boyle play Corbin 2nd round?

No. They'll both be the 1 seed in their respective district(s). 

1 hour ago, RVaughn said:

Would Boyle play Corbin 2nd round?

Boyle will play the winner of Wayne County and Harlan County.

Corbin will play the winner of Lincoln Co and Perry County Central. 

(I believe it all depends on if Harlan Co beats Whitley Co.)

6 hours ago, RVaughn said:

What do the 2nd round match ups look like for Boyle, JC, Franklin, Cov Cath, PT, Highlands and Corbin?

Those are based on regular season district standings but for right now it would look like this:

  • Boyle County vs. Harlan County or Wayne County
  • Johnson Central/Ashland winner vs. Covington Catholic
  • Johnson Central/Ashland loser at Highlands
  • Franklin County vs. Valley or Western Hills
  • Corbin vs. Lincoln County or Perry County Central

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