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I still think it comes down to who drops out and in what order as to where their supporters go.


I think Trump may have maxed out his support or very near maxed it out...meaning there is still around 70% out there split up among the rest. As Perry and the rest of the first debate drop out (except for Carly Fiorina who I think hangs around a while) their supporters will move over to the top 5 or 6 candidates. Bush (Kasich) needs to get to the top 4 or 5 to pick up that support IMO. As long as he is mired in 7th or 8th place he is not picking up those other supporters.

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