March 18, 201313 yr For the record, I like Louisville to come out of the Midwest, but in my opinion that is the most difficult regional path for an overall top seed that I have ever seen (relative to the strength of the field in a given year, obviously). Do you think it is more tough than Ohio State's bracket in 2011? I'm not sure that I do.
March 18, 201313 yr The Midwest as a whole is tough but who does UL have to beat to get to the Final Four? They have a cakewalk to the Elite 8 IMO and should beat the winner of Duke/MSU IF either of those two make it that far. A probable second round rematch with an athletic team (Mizzou)... but I think Louisville is superior to Mizzou and Pitino will once again look to rub in a big score on Tim Fuller. Then, a probable Sweet Sixteen matchup with a senior led team that will keep Louisville's press in check is also nothing to sneeze at... but Pitino doesn't lose in the Sweet Sixteen. Duke or MSU with a Final Four on the line speaks for itself, especially with Duke as a rematch and MSU having defeated Louisville in the Elite Eight in Indianapolis a few years ago.
March 18, 201313 yr The committee did one thing they have never done put two teams that have played each other playing in the second round. UNLV and Oregon. When did that rule begin? Just curious because in '81 they put UK in with a bye and UAB in the play in bracket beside them. They met in the technically second round and had played in the season.
March 18, 201313 yr Do you think it is more tough than Ohio State's bracket in 2011? I'm not sure that I do. No way. 1-4 that bracket was brutal.
March 18, 201313 yr A probable second round rematch with an athletic team (Mizzou)... but I think Louisville is superior to Mizzou and Pitino will once again look to rub in a big score on Tim Fuller. Then, a probable Sweet Sixteen matchup with a senior led team that will keep Louisville's press in check is also nothing to sneeze at... but Pitino doesn't lose in the Sweet Sixteen. Duke or MSU with a Final Four on the line speaks for itself, especially with Duke as a rematch and MSU having defeated Louisville in the Elite Eight in Indianapolis a few years ago. Missouri (if they even win first round) could easily beat UL, or lose by 25.
March 18, 201313 yr No way. 1-4 that bracket was brutal. 2, 3 & 4 in that bracket had 22 loses. 2, 3 & 4 in this bracket have 19 loses. Duke, until this weekend, was either the first or second overall seed in many people's estimation. Also, look at the seed tiers as a group: 2's: Duke, OSU, Miami & Georgetown- in my opinion, Louisville has the best #2 seed as a possible opponent, with an added bonus of it being a rematch game. 3's: Marquette, Michigan State, New Mexico & Florida- again, I think Louisville has the best team in that group in their region. 4's: Michigan, Kansas St, Syracuse, St Louis- here, I think Louisville would rather see St Louis than Syracuse again or Michigan, but I think St Louis is also a matchup challenge for the Cards pressure and still a more difficult opponent than Kansas St. The 2011 OSU draw is more difficult to evaluate due to the knowledge of what actually happened, but I will say that even before their title run Connecticut would have been a tougher three IMO than Syracuse and I thought Florida was at least as good as UNC.
March 18, 201313 yr Missouri (if they even win first round) could easily beat UL, or lose by 25. Easily? I tend to disagree. Louisville already ran them out of the gym once. Pressey was virtually ineffective, and UL's post play is far better.
March 18, 201313 yr Which is all to say, again, that reasonable people can disagree, and I think that the relative lack of separation at the top for this year also colors my opinion.
March 18, 201313 yr I have nothing against mid-majors and love when they make Cinderella runs but MTSU and St. Mary's really don't have much of a resume.
March 18, 201313 yr For the record, I like Louisville to come out of the Midwest, but in my opinion that is the most difficult regional path for an overall top seed that I have ever seen (relative to the strength of the field in a given year, obviously). Fans of #1 overall seed think they have a difficult region?? I'm shocked!!! :jump:
March 18, 201313 yr I believe that it will be Louisville and Miami for all the marbles when all said and done.
March 18, 201313 yr Louisville may have the best #2 and #3 seeds in their bracket but only have to face one of them.
March 18, 201313 yr That 538 guy, Nate Silver, who did so well forecasting the Presidential Election, has as his Final Four: Louisville (53% chance to win Midwest), Florida (37% chance to win South), Indiana (51% chance to win East), & Gonzaga (33% chance to win West).
March 18, 201313 yr Is it just me or are Louisville & Michigan State always in the same bracket with each other?
March 18, 201313 yr I turned the selection show off after the first bracket was announced. I forgot what a major waste of time that program is.
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