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Winter Weather Outlook (January 2025 Super Storm)

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Just now, Kentucky Windage said:

Yuengling & and some Miller Lite as an insurance policy in case I'm told not to come to work on Monday. I made it in time. I was worried about the no alcohol sales until noon on Sundays

I love Yuengling and Miller Lite is my go to, I had one watching the Bengals last night. 

Right, going out after about 10am in NKY is a dealbreaker. 

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  • Here’s what it looks like at our place. 

  • Randy Parker
    Randy Parker

    Look at her little hood.  I bet she's loving it. It does look like she can put her arms down, so that's good. 

  • I love watching my southern friends gripe about the "cold" and winter weather. We call this Thursday where I live ?

Posted Images

  • Author

This is what the models I use are showing right now.

 

GFS

gfd.thumb.png.9204b095306e15ab95da1015a5609c83.png

gfs.thumb.png.c8251c2ce7d2d01712695ec4d96a961a.png

 

NAM 3km

nam3.thumb.png.ae2f2091e7e8e522c16df3fe75c9ce13.png

 

nam3k.thumb.png.092c81611340f04d56386116b0cc532a.png

 

HRRR

 

hr.thumb.png.a1473fcbdbcb2ccffb170ba8438020f9.png

 

zr_acc-imp.us_ov(1).thumb.png.e8f75e5b9bb90495e78d2c9c8ab86733.png

18 minutes ago, theguru said:

I love Yuengling and Miller Lite is my go to, I had one watching the Bengals last night. 

Right, going out after about 10am in NKY is a dealbreaker. 

I think tomorrow and Monday I'll be dipping into the Bourbon Collection. It sucks that this is my last week of working Wed-Saturday so I'm not getting any free time off. If this could have waited one week I might have had only a 1 or two day work week.

Just now, rjs4470 said:

I think tomorrow and Monday I'll be dipping into the Bourbon Collection. It sucks that this is my last week of working Wed-Saturday so I'm not getting any free time off. If this could have waited one week I might have had only a 1 or two day work week.

I am going to meal prep and watch the NFL.  

  • Author

update maps from the Weather Prediction Center:

overall map

WeatherWise_2025_01_05_10_58_36.thumb.png.dd44e62bdf0e5fc6308cd377ec8fe072.png

 

Snow

snow.thumb.png.1fd5f0f1d469961c9516d63c66d85415.png

 

Blowing snow

bls.thumb.png.4446f15a27e8e5b03bcf9fddeb774e74.png

 

Greater than 8"

8.thumb.png.3afdc587bdd5ccbd2e696638561085a9.png

 

Greater than 12"

12.thumb.png.3b4ae427ec09ee4d3bdc7974897411c3.png

 

Ice

icw.thumb.png.a44a598a8116b61daae4b5a584b4a9c7.png

 

 

 

 

6 minutes ago, nWo said:

update maps from the Weather Prediction Center:

overall map

WeatherWise_2025_01_05_10_58_36.thumb.png.dd44e62bdf0e5fc6308cd377ec8fe072.png

 

Snow

snow.thumb.png.1fd5f0f1d469961c9516d63c66d85415.png

 

Blowing snow

bls.thumb.png.4446f15a27e8e5b03bcf9fddeb774e74.png

 

Greater than 8"

8.thumb.png.3afdc587bdd5ccbd2e696638561085a9.png

 

Greater than 12"

12.thumb.png.3b4ae427ec09ee4d3bdc7974897411c3.png

 

Ice

icw.thumb.png.a44a598a8116b61daae4b5a584b4a9c7.png

 

 

 

 

Appreciate you nWo. Now I can sleep and see how it plays out. 

  • Author
Just now, sportsfan41 said:

Appreciate you nWo. Now I can sleep and see how it plays out. 

Thank you. I'm doing my new snow fall map. for NKY into Cincinnati 13-18" with 18" in Cincinnati proper.

  • Author

 From the Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK:

mcd0007.png.3af38d9110e9b3dbaeb5e7dff213924c.png

 

 

Mesoscale Discussion 0007
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0727 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...east-central Missouri...parts of southern
   Illinois...southern Indiana...and parts of central Kentucky.

   Concerning...Heavy snow 

   Valid 051327Z - 051730Z

   SUMMARY...1+ inch per hour snowfall rates are expected this morning.

   DISCUSSION...Light to  moderate snowfall has developed within a
   swath from central Missouri to central Kentucky this morning with a
   few heavy snow observations appearing recently in southern Illinois
   and southern Indiana. Expect moderate to heavy snow in a relatively
   narrow corridor north of the freezing rain from east-central
   Missouri to parts of central Kentucky. In addition to the radar
   depiction and surface observations indicating heavy snow, the 12Z
   HRRR shows a swath of significant accumulation between 13Z and 17Z.
   By midday much of this area will switch to freezing rain with the
   heavy snow swath shifted farther north during the afternoon as warm
   air advection strengthens ahead of the approaching surface low.
 

Tried going to work. Got some stuff done, looked out the window, and checked out. Not about to get stuck in an office.

  • Author

mcd0008.png.f3d31309f56acf054e3882280d2a4a93.png

 

 

Mesoscale Discussion 0008
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0756 AM CST Sun Jan 05 2025

   Areas affected...southeast Kansas...much of southern Missouri...far
   southern Illinois and western Kentucky

   Concerning...Winter mixed precipitation 

   Valid 051356Z - 051800Z

   SUMMARY...A combination of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will
   become mostly rain by late morning.

   DISCUSSION...13Z surface analysis shows a 1004 mb surface low in
   eastern Oklahoma with strong high pressure across the northern
   Plains and Great Lakes region. Northeasterly surface winds resulting
   from this pressure gradient continue to supply low-level arctic air
   to areas north of the warm front from Kansas to the Lower Ohio
   Valley. Strong 850mb warm air advection has resulted in a thermal
   profile favorable for freezing rain across a broad region from
   southeast Kansas and across much of southern Missouri early this
   morning. The 0C 850mb line will continue to slowly shift north as
   strong warm air advection occurs ahead of the surface cyclone. This
   will result in snow changing to freezing rain in the next few hours
   across parts of southern Illinois and western Kentucky. Areas across
   southern Missouri where temperatures are currently near freezing
   will likely rise above freezing this morning and bring an end to the
   freezing rain threat. However, for much of the area currently
   observing freezing rain, the threat will persist through at least
   midday.

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