The 15th is pretty much a three horse race... Pikeville, Shelby Valley, and Paintsville. Paintsville has the toughest of the first round draws (Allen Central), but if they win that game they basically have a bye (South Floyd) to get to the championship. Pikeville and Shelby Valley are likely to meet in the other semi, but Phelps could give Pikeville a better game than expected. I think Shelby Valley's pressure defense gives them an edge over a Pikeville team that lacks in good guard play. Nearly everyone will have Shelby Valley vs. Paintsville penciled in for the championship game, and I think that battle is pretty much a toss up.