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2027-2028 Football Realignment

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On 1/13/2026 at 8:16 AM, zoneblitz24 said:

I hope the KHSAA takes the realignment that was created by the AI model into consideration this time.  That seemed to fix a lot of the travel issues and makes the most sense considering the districts are only supposed to be created based off travel.  

 

19 minutes ago, Colonels_Wear_Blue said:

1A has always been the 32 smallest teams in the state and 6A has always been the 32 largest schools in the state. With Christian County High School and Hopkinsville High School consolidating next year and becoming one of the largest schools in the state, that means there will only be 31 of the 32 teams from the last cycle to participate in 6A football...which means the largest 5A school will move up to 6A.

Fairdale and Apollo were the largest and 2nd-largest 5A schools (respectively) under the last cycle, but with especially with Jefferson County's population drop in recent years and to a lesser extent Owensboro's population drop, that leaves a chance that their enrollment numbers may not remain steady enough to keep them as the largest 5A schools. Cooper is definitely in one of the growing counties of the state, so is it possible that we may see Cooper move up to 6A? Also depends specifically on boys enrollment numbers as well, obviously, not just overall enrollment or even population. I'm not sure Cooper is growing at a rate enough to make their 2-year enrollment average jump up by roundabout 26 boys.

Here are enrollment numbers from the last cycle for Fairdale, plus the next 5 largest 5A schools.

1.) Fairdale (759.0)
2.) Apollo (758.0)
3.) Cooper (734.5)
4.) Dixie Heights (732.5)
5.) Conner (708.0)

Does anyone want to try and make a projection on the re-alignment in 2027-28?

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  • DearToday
    DearToday

    CLASS 1A REGION 1– Ballard Memorial, Crittenden County, Fulton County, Russellville REGION 2– Campbellsville, Caverna, Fort Knox, Holy Cross (Louisville), WEB DuBois REGION 3– Bellevue, Dayton, Hol

  • theguru
    theguru

    I like RPI a round earlier but the elephant in the room with RPI is addressing out of state games and until that is addressed RPI is subpar at best.  

  • DragonFire
    DragonFire

    So just gonna steer alllll the way into the skid. 

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6 minutes ago, TimeWillTell said:

 

Does anyone want to try and make a projection on the re-alignment in 2027-28?

It would be pretty tough with only 50% of the data.  As soon as they give us the 25-26 numbers, we'll be able to nail it down pretty accurately.  

1 minute ago, TimeWillTell said:

Does anyone want to try and make a projection on the re-alignment in 2027-28?

I'd think that would have to wait for the KHSAA to put out their list of enrollment numbers that they put together from the state's figures if any projections are going to be worth spending time on.

222 football programs in the state, and 2 years worth of boys enrollment numbers to figure into the equation for each of those 222 schools. Without already having the KDE's numbers in-hand, I don't see how you could tackle that....and I don't believe the KDE makes a habit of publicly disclosing enrollment numbers (or boys enrollment numbers). I've never seen an official list anywhere apart from the KHSAA's alignment data.

So what years will they pull enrollment data from this time>  Would it be 24/25 and 25/26?

2 hours ago, zoneblitz24 said:

So what years will they pull enrollment data from this time>  Would it be 24/25 and 25/26?

Correct, at least if they do it the way they have been.  You can never be all the way certain as they have changed before.  It used to be four years of data for a four year cycle.  But it was two years this last time.

We have 24/25, but 25/26 hasn't been released yet.

From KHSAA meeting today:

Jason Frakes @kyhighs

Some discussion about changing playoff structure for football. Instead of going to RPI to determine third-round matchups, there's talk of using it to determine second-round matchups. Still would be geography-based (east and west).

1 minute ago, Tigerpride94 said:

From KHSAA meeting today.

So just gonna steer alllll the way into the skid. 

 

12 hours ago, Tigerpride94 said:

From KHSAA meeting today.

 

12 hours ago, DragonFire said:

So just gonna steer alllll the way into the skid. 

If it's like this beginning the 2nd round...why not seed the whole thing? Top 16 in East/West. I like Massey ratings a lot better....my favorite is still TP94's.

1 hour ago, Tigerpride94 said:

From KHSAA meeting today.

If they modify/improve RPI to include true Strength of Schedule (not the current opponents record and opponents, opponents record - a team could have mediocre opponents who in turn play less than mediocre other opponents), than I could support expanded use of RPI. 

If they aren't going to make any effort to determine the strength of out of state opponents, then I suggest they remove out of state opponents from the analysis.

43 minutes ago, TH58 said:

If they modify/improve RPI to include true Strength of Schedule (not the current opponents record and opponents, opponents record - a team could have mediocre opponents who in turn play less than mediocre other opponents), than I could support expanded use of RPI. 

You’re not in favor of the S.O.S format in those regards? Why not?

What I wish they’d do away with is the “class” factor:

Ex: Beating an average, AT BEST, team(s) in a higher class than you- WEIGHING MORE THAN- beating somebody legit who is in a lower class(es).

The SOS weight opponents record + your opponent’s, opponent’s has to stay IMO. It’s one true way of telling “the rest of the story.”

FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: JAN. 15, 2026

The KHSAA Board of Control conducted its January 15th meeting, the fourth of the 2025-26 academic year, in Lexington, with in-depth back-and-forth dialogue on football realignment considerations for 2027, a drastic increase in eligibility cases, and movement of member schools within the 8th region necessitated by the placement of Cornerstone Christian in Shelbyville.

A spirited conversation addressing an upcoming football realignment, which occurs every two years, looking for new opportunities for schools in the playoff structure. The Board of Control will review bracketing.

One concept to consider is using RPI-based pairings starting in the second round. The first round could then either involve adjacent districts or be within a district, and the board will survey the membership on those options. The intent is to avoid repeated playoff matchups. The board will consider the survey results, and if any change is approved, it could be in place for the 2027 season.

The Board also asked for additional data on the potential adoption of multipliers, including their enrollments prior to classification, and for consideration of a "success factor" to be included in the realignment considerations. The Board will continue to study this information and consider options, with implementation no earlier than the 2029 season, using data from the 2027 and 2028 seasons.

The Board of Control voted 12-4 on Thursday to place Cornerstone Christian into district 29, beginning with the 2026-2027 school year, in the various team sports, in an effort to balance the district alignment in the 8th region.  A proposal to send Collins to the 29th district was voted down 5-11 before the final motion was approved. 

During the Board reports section of the agenda, the Commissioner and the Board recognized long-time software engineer and developer Frank Riherd, Jr. Riherd plans to continue his work with the KHSAA on the Riherds/KHSAA scoreboard through June 30. He recently notified the KHSAA and also posted on social media his recent diagnosis of Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis (ALS). "From the time Mr. Riherd told us nearly two years ago that he wanted to start to adjust his time commitment and focus primarily on the scoreboard after the transition of our data system to ArbiterSports, we have been very public in both our appreciation of his work and the need for that product to continue", said Commissioner Julian Tackett. "We deeply love Frank and the great things he has done for the KHSAA, its member school administrators and coaches, and a generation of students, and want that legacy project to continue long into the future. While the future scoreboard may not be identical and could take on a different look or feel, we would not be acting responsibly if we didn't work to continue this great project. We are committed to the scoreboard continuing in 2026-27 and beyond after Frank steps aside on June 30 this year, and we are forever indebted."

 The Board approved the first-round sites for the golf state tournament for the next three years.

Adjust the standard regular season contract fee with an increase of $5 for regular season basketball and a review of the postseason fee to increase that as well. Wrestling would be adjusted in its standard fees. These two sports were part of the routine review scheduled every four years for all sports.

Began a review of soccer, potentially adopting a 3-year pilot program moving into classes.

– KHSAA –

This jumped out at me:

The Board also asked for additional data on the potential adoption of multipliers, including their enrollments prior to classification, and for consideration of a "success factor" to be included in the realignment considerations. The Board will continue to study this information and consider options, with implementation no earlier than the 2029 season, using data from the 2027 and 2028 seasons.

===========

Hey KHSAA, if you are going to go to a multiplier, what are you going to do with Trinity and St. Xavier? And if the answer is nothing, then a multiplier is complete garbage. 

13 minutes ago, theguru said:

This jumped out at me:

The Board also asked for additional data on the potential adoption of multipliers, including their enrollments prior to classification, and for consideration of a "success factor" to be included in the realignment considerations. The Board will continue to study this information and consider options, with implementation no earlier than the 2029 season, using data from the 2027 and 2028 seasons.

===========

Hey KHSAA, if you are going to go to a multiplier, what are you going to do with Trinity and St. Xavier? And if the answer is nothing, then a multiplier is complete garbage. 

Basically all 6A teams would be exempt because no class above them although some 6A teams probably should be relegated to a lower class.

5 minutes ago, Tigerpride94 said:

Basically all 6A teams would be exempt because no class above them although some 6A teams probably should be relegated to a lower class.

I know, no consistency from the KHSAA. 

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