Possible Severe Weather Thursday (4/11/24)

[nWo]

East of the surface cyclone track that is steadily deepening, a synoptically conducive corridor for a few supercells and organized clusters should form. In this area, there should be a time when the daytime heating cycle and an overspreading mid-level dry slot coincide, resulting in an occurrence of early afternoon convection in the left-exit region of the strong mid-level jet over the Southeast and southern Appalachians. A supercell wind profile should be evident, even though potential energy will remain weak. There is a chance of a few tornadoes, isolated to dispersed damaging winds, and isolated, powerful hail.

 

 

[nWo]

Tonight and Thursday are predicted to see more waves of showers and thunderstorms, with Friday morning seeing a decrease in precipitation. Locally, on Thursday, a few strong storms are probable in central Kentucky and southern Indiana (primarily in the afternoon and evening). There will be a comparatively higher risk of severe storms from northeastern Kentucky into Ohio.

 

[nWo]

There is an isolated threat for a few strong to severe storms, mainly in the afternoon and early evening hours, across southern Indiana and central Kentucky. The best chances for any severe weather will generally be east of the I-65 corridor, but confidence in severe storms remains low.