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Bowling Green vs. Owensboro Predictions/Updates (5A State Championship)

Who Wins this game? 95 members have voted

  1. 1. Who wins this game?

This poll is closed to new votes

Poll closed on 12/19/2020 at 05:00 PM

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Featured Replies

27 minutes ago, Tigerpride94 said:

They aren’t always right because teams don’t always play true to form. It’s an average over all opponents. I’ve seen several games where they are close. Owensboro can win but BG has a higher probability of winning. They could play hundred times and BG win 55 and Owensboro 45 times as an example showing over 1 game could be a win for either team.

Yeah Owensboro’s weak district doesn’t help computer stats.  35-14 is pretty definite IMO.  I take it with a grain of salt.

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  • Average prediction in this thread: BG 26 - 20 BG high 37  BG Low 14 Owensboro high 35  Owensboro low 6 Largest Margin predicted 14 BG,  7 Owensboro 50% think the margin will b

  • ApolloFan98
    ApolloFan98

    I was just thinking the same.  Breaking this game down all week and hearing everyone's respectful opinions has been a lot of fun.  It's been a while since I have seen hype like this for a Western Kent

  • bluecolonels95
    bluecolonels95

    Not so fast. I will take Owensboro because they have a offense unlike CovCath and should put some points on the board. Clearly CCH was not the same team as previous 3 years and I think a lot of people

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Just now, Brown said:

Yeah Owensboro’s weak district doesn’t help computer stats.  35-14 is pretty definite IMO.  I take it with a grain of salt.

I have my own rating I do where strip out bad teams and it had Owensboro at 75.4 with SOS 60.6. BG was 75.1 with SOS 72.5 which means very close game that could go either way. 

This is a fun state championship match up. Two old school staples of the second biggest classification. But they were usually on the same side of the bracket.
 

BG seems to be a very good, balanced, disciplined football team. Owensboro just kind of has that spark though. Coin flip, whoever has the ball last.  

BG.   35

O.      34

Lots of talk about speed, passing , etc.     Which team has the better lines?    Therein lies your winner.

15 hours ago, Purplepride said:

Just curious.. Do you think they are one dimensional because that’s what they relied on to beat CC?? Have you watched them all year?  When you have lots of weapons on the field, you may need to beat a team mainly through the air, solely on the ground, or come at them from both sides. That’s what you do to WIN!  So ONLY a pass heavy team can win a state title in 5A???? 

I can't believe I'm answering this post but here we go. I think they are one dimensional because I think the QB is a C level passer. Unless you're hurt, your arm strength/velocity, mechanics and how the ball looks coming out of your hand doesn't change depending on the opponent. No because if you are a pass heavy team, that makes you one dimensional as well...

In a tough class, I think you have to do both to win. FD had no chance last year against Cov Cath because they couldn't throw the ball at all (BG's guy is much better). 

2 hours ago, CCHFC said:

I can't believe I'm answering this post but here we go. I think they are one dimensional because I think the QB is a C level passer. Unless you're hurt, your arm strength/velocity, mechanics and how the ball looks coming out of your hand doesn't change depending on the opponent. No because if you are a pass heavy team, that makes you one dimensional as well...

In a tough class, I think you have to do both to win. FD had no chance last year against Cov Cath because they couldn't throw the ball at all (BG's guy is much better). 

How many BG games did you watch this season other than the CC game?

25 minutes ago, Killowatt59 said:

How many BG games did you watch this season other than the CC game?

None. However Hudl highlights are easy to find 

18 minutes ago, CCHFC said:

None. However Hudl highlights are easy to find 

That's what I figured.

The series is close to even but BG has dominated it in the last 20 years:

2000 Owensboro 16-7

2000 Owensboro 28-0 

2001 to 2006 NO GAMES

2007 Bowling Green 35-13

2008 Owensboro 28-21

2009 Bowling Green 26-21

2009 Bowling Green 25-21

2010 Bowling Green 44-20

2011 Bowling Green 62-0

2012 Bowling Green 31-3

2013 Bowling Green 41-7

2014 Bowling Green 42-34

2015 Bowling Green 17-14

2015 Bowling Green 41-12

2016 Bowling Green 47-0

2016 Bowling Green 50-21

2017 Bowling Green 48-21

2017 Bowling Green 48-14

2018 Bowling Green 21-12

2018 Owensboro 28-21

4 minutes ago, Brown said:

The series is close to even but BG has dominated it in the last 20 years:

2000 Owensboro 16-7

2000 Owensboro 28-0 

2001 to 2006 NO GAMES

2007 Bowling Green 35-13

2008 Owensboro 28-21

2009 Bowling Green 26-21

2009 Bowling Green 25-21

2010 Bowling Green 44-20

2011 Bowling Green 62-0

2012 Bowling Green 31-3

2013 Bowling Green 41-7

2014 Bowling Green 42-34

2015 Bowling Green 17-14

2015 Bowling Green 41-12

2016 Bowling Green 47-0

2016 Bowling Green 50-21

2017 Bowling Green 48-21

2017 Bowling Green 48-14

2018 Bowling Green 21-12

2018 Owensboro 28-21

Thanks for posting that.  Wow. BG 14-1 in the last 15. But Owensboro won the last one. 

In the past decade BG has been a statewide dynasty no doubt.  I would rather play them than anyone because you want the best.  

2 minutes ago, Killowatt59 said:

Thanks for posting that.  Wow. BG 14-1 in the last 15. But Owensboro won the last one. 

Yeah it was painful posting that...Thanks Kevin Wallace!  

Looking back the 2000 Owensboro team was led by Justin Miller a junior standout and Bo Smith a junior standout.  Smith and Miller were both terrific in the 100 meters (2 of the fastest kids I can remember at OHS).  They won the 4x100 that year at state.  Smith played at UK and Miller went to Clemson and started as a freshman at corner back then to the NFL to be All-pro kick returner.  The 2008 team that won was led by Prince at QB and I believe Shemwell at RB (Owensboro adopted more of a spread offense - really a zone read for Prince & Shemwell).  They were also very close in 2009.

The 2014 game was painful...Owensboro had a big lead, then the purples came back to take the lead in the 2nd half behind Carothers - that game was tight.  Owensboro finished state runner up to Highlands that year (in another blown lead game - dangit!)

In 2018, Owensboro adopted the spread with Will Warren at QB and split with the purples (Owensboro had a great set of WR’s - Including Owsley, Hayden and Tinsley who is the star WR now, he had 10 TD’s in 2018 too)

I said all that to say, for Owensboro to win or be very competitive in this series it has taken an outstanding devils team and players.  BG has been a machine.

First game was 1932 BG won 14-13, the next year BG won 12-1 (not sure who was drinking and keeping the score).  Records by decade:

1930’s 4-4 

1940’s 7-3 Owensboro (when it was leather helmets we dominated!)

1950’s 6-3-1 Owensboro 

1960’s 9-0-1 Owensboro 

1970’s 4-1 Owensboro 

1980’s 3-2 Bowling Green

1990’s 11-3 Bowling Green 

2000-2020 15-4 Bowling Green

 

 

 

 

 

I need @ATLCat to post a gif of animal house “thank you sir may I have another’!

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