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Bowling Green vs. Owensboro Predictions/Updates (5A State Championship)

Who Wins this game? 95 members have voted

  1. 1. Who wins this game?

This poll is closed to new votes

Poll closed on 12/19/2020 at 05:00 PM

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A little defense/special teams data:

Defensive Turnovers - BG 32, O 31 (Last game BG 6, O 2)

Interceptions - BG 21, O 16 (Last game BG 5 vs CC, O 2 vs. Freddie)

Fumbles forced/recoveries - O 9/14, BG 9/11 (Last game O 0, BG 1)

Interception return TD - O 5, BG 3 (Last game O 1, BG 0)

Fumble return TD - O 6, BG 1 (0 last game)

Punt Return/KO return TD - O 3, BG 0 (nobody will kick to either team)

Sacks -  BG 30, O 14 (last game BG 1, O 2)

TFL - O 37, BG 33 (last game O 4, BG 2)

 

BG Points Allowed per game 10, Rush Yards 71, Pass Yards 147, Total Yards 218 (Last game 0,48,110,158)

O Points allowed per game 14, Rush Yards 122, Pass yards 98, Total Yards 220 (Last game 27, 93, 253, 346)

 

 

 

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  • Average prediction in this thread: BG 26 - 20 BG high 37  BG Low 14 Owensboro high 35  Owensboro low 6 Largest Margin predicted 14 BG,  7 Owensboro 50% think the margin will b

  • ApolloFan98
    ApolloFan98

    I was just thinking the same.  Breaking this game down all week and hearing everyone's respectful opinions has been a lot of fun.  It's been a while since I have seen hype like this for a Western Kent

  • bluecolonels95
    bluecolonels95

    Not so fast. I will take Owensboro because they have a offense unlike CovCath and should put some points on the board. Clearly CCH was not the same team as previous 3 years and I think a lot of people

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1 hour ago, PhenomxX said:

Spot on! We gotta take care of business from the first whistle to the last. Owensboro came out and throttled Douglas in the first part of the game going up 21-0, we can't let that happen. That comes with tackling on special teams and putting Gavin and the Devils on a longer field (inside their 35). I love the bail technique used by our DB's, this allows us to bait quarterbacks into picks (Neon Deion!). I really love the schedule the coaching staff put together, along with a decent district has made this Purples squad as battle tested as any team before them. I'm looking for Dingle to make a huge debut at Kroger field! Go Purples!!

 

Final Prediction:

BG: 30

Owensboro: 18

From what I saw rewatching the broadcast Owensboro first TD came off a really bad under thrown pass they returned for a TD.

FD had another bad turnover on their next possession and I assuming Owensboro scored on that too. The broadcast skips over the entire first half after that basically. So I have no idea what happens.

Turnovers are killers!!!  And BG has had their fair share of those as well.

Hopefully Cooper can get some good QB run plays inside and outside to help wear down the defense. He's a super threat running the ball.

Bunton has to get going, but he's always ran the ball well so I expect more of the same. Hopefully we can get the passing game going even if it is short passes. That will open the running game even more. Got to help Bunton out.

Defense just needs to keep doing what they are doing. Gotta contain the QB and that worries me cause sometimes our middle seems to be open.

Should be a good game. If BG plays well then they should control the game.

28-14 is my prediction.  Let's go!  Hope the broadcast is good and has no issues.

 

 

 

7 minutes ago, Brown said:

A little defense/special teams data:

Defensive Turnovers - BG 32, O 31 (Last game BG 6, O 2)

Interceptions - BG 21, O 16 (Last game BG 5 vs CC, O 2 vs. Freddie)

Fumbles forced/recoveries - O 9/14, BG 9/11 (Last game O 0, BG 1)

Interception return TD - O 5, BG 3 (Last game O 1, BG 0)

Fumble return TD - O 6, BG 1 (0 last game)

Punt Return/KO return TD - O 3, BG 0 (nobody will kick to either team)

Sacks -  BG 30, O 14 (last game BG 1, O 2)

TFL - O 37, BG 33 (last game O 4, BG 2)

 

 

Great stats!  Didn’t realize BG had so many sacks this year.

Just now, Volxtile said:

Great stats!  Didn’t realize BG had so many sacks this year.

I added points, yards allowed per game and last game up top as well.  Just an FYI.

This is the most exciting game of all the finals in my opinion. 

The turnovers BG has forced against SW (8) and then CovCath (6) are outstanding.  That is unbelievable vs top 5A teams.

I will say that Owensboro secondary had very good coverage on Freddie as well.  The 2 picks were step for step with Crowdus and Key.  Really O had 2 more picks with great step for step coverage that Key just manhandles away.  Owensboro defense can make plays.   They had 2 sacks and 4 TFL against Freddie due to their speed.   I think they have got to play like they did 1st half against Freddie D.  Stop the run and force them to pass and use their very good secondary and linebackers.  For Owensboro to win the Defense has to play great - I think they are capable.  Protect the ball on offense.  Owensboro ideal situation is to get a score or 2 early and play good field position and get a little conservative.  Don't force throws that aren't there, use Wimsatt's legs and short passing game when needed.  Both teams need no motivation and I know they are both going to come out hitting.

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I'm really interested to see who Owensboro has covering Dingle.  They will likely double him.  But if one of those guys is SR All-State LB Gough then who is focusing on Bunton?

Will be interesting to watch the chess match there!

3 minutes ago, Purple88 said:

I'm really interested to see who Owensboro has covering Dingle.  They will likely double him.  But if one of those guys is SR All-State LB Gough then who is focusing on Bunton?

Will be interesting to watch the chess match there!

I"m guessing Nickel back with help from OLB.  Maybe Goodwin, who is 6-2 and very fast (OLB/DE) or Clark (Nickel)  I would guess Gough will be ready to meet him over the middle as well.  Backup Nickel is Pendleton - good athlete, 6-4 (He will be moving to WR next year IMO).

@Purple88 I want to elaborate that it will not be an easy task dealing with Dingle, but I think Gough's primary focus and the defense is Bunton and Cooper out of the backfield.  Make Cooper throw, keep the WR's in front of you and try to create some turnovers and maybe defensive TD's or good field position.  None of that is easy, Bunton and Cooper are tough out of the backfield.  I would say Bunton job 1, Cooper job 1a, keeping Burwash, Dingle limited job 1c.  very tough assignments, but Bunton and Cooper can hurt you the most.

25 minutes ago, Brown said:

@Purple88 I want to elaborate that it will not be an easy task dealing with Dingle, but I think Gough's primary focus and the defense is Bunton and Cooper out of the backfield.  Make Cooper throw, keep the WR's in front of you and try to create some turnovers and maybe defensive TD's or good field position.  None of that is easy, Bunton and Cooper are tough out of the backfield.  I would say Bunton job 1, Cooper job 1a, keeping Burwash, Dingle limited job 1c.  very tough assignments, but Bunton and Cooper can hurt you the most.

Do you think they will run a two safety look to keep someone over the top of Dingle?

1 hour ago, Brown said:

The turnovers BG has forced against SW (8) and then CovCath (6) are outstanding.  That is unbelievable vs top 5A teams.

Amazing! 

32 minutes ago, PhenomxX said:

Do you think they will run a two safety look to keep someone over the top of Dingle?

Owensboro plays a nickel package really most of the time.  This usually means 2 safeties, 1 on each side.  If you have 5 WR's, then the safety will move over to "cover" that extra receiver, but he is still deep.  They may drop back into zone or go man, but if you are running 3 WR's with Dingle and Bunton, the 2 safeties play "over the top".  Carbon and McHenry are the safeties, good and fast.  If you get in a 3rd in long, Owensboro will sometimes go to cover 3.  At least they did against Freddie D.

It looks like on film that BG brings 4 and drops 7 - is that typical?  I'm guessing they may play with rushing 3 and dropping 8 or blitzing off the corner.  Or do you guys think kthey will rely on their front 4 to bring the heat?

Just now, Brown said:

It looks like on film that BG brings 4 and drops 7 - is that typical?  I'm guessing they may play with rushing 3 and dropping 8 or blitzing off the corner.  Or do you guys think kthey will rely on their front 4 to bring the heat?

Yup, sometimes they drop 8 and just bring pressure with their Nose 4 and 5. But the anchor can either drop or be a pure edge rusher. I think they'd be smart with dropping 8 to keep those wide outs contained a bit. But, if Gavin and his oline can resist pressure from Bg's Dline you may see an adjustment to just get after the quarterback. BG also likes to loop and twist their Dline to mess up protection schemes. 

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