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Estimated Rain fall Totals for through next weekend


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The GFS model is showing Kentucky receiving some heavy rain from the tropical systems in and around the Gulf of Mexico. There could be some flooding problems for portions of Kentucky. Those along the Tennessee border could see upward of 5 inches. Even more in the tracks shift further north. Portions of northern Tennessee could see 7 inches.



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Tuesday evening update on remnants of Laura passing through Kentucky.


All the models are in agreement that Kentucky will be affected by Laura. For reference Laura is taking almost the same path as Ike in 2008. Portions of Kentucky, Indiana, and Ohio were hard hit by Ike.  Louisville say 75 mph wind gusts. The Greater Cincinnati Airport had 74 mph. Ft. Knox 64, Owensboro 53, Frankfort 62,  Lexington 60 and Bowling Green saw peak of 50 mph wind gusts. In Ohio Cincinnati, Columbus and Dayton saw the most extensive damage with almost 2.6 million people who lost power. Ike was a category 2 Hurricane. Hurricane Laura is forecast to strength to a category 3 Hurricane just before landfall. 

Now I'm not saying will see the same conditions again with this storm but we all should be preparing now.




Now lets take a look at what Laura may bring to our area. The models are having a little differences in the rainfall totals. Two the Canadian and GFS are showing 2-3 inches for rainfall totals.




The UKMET model is showing about the same 1-3 inches. The difference is is shows western Kentucky getting slammed. With 5-7 inches by the time Laura moves out. In any case we could see some widespread flooding this upcoming weekend.



For now, Thursday afternoon into the overnight hours looks like the best chance. All the normal severe weather threats modes will be possible. Damaging winds, large hail, tornadoes, heavy rain, and cloud to ground lightning.  Thursday afternoon into the overnight hours looks like the best chance. The chance for severe weather will be there again for Friday but the threat will be lesser.




I will be closely monitoring this situation and post updates whenever possible.

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