What is the over/under for deaths in America due to COVID-19 in 2020?

[theguru]

I am going with 34,200 and I am taking the under.

 

What is your opinion?

[bugatti]

What? So are you setting 34,200 and asking if we will take the o/u?

[theguru]

What? So are you setting 34,200 and asking if we will take the o/u?

 

Correct.

[TheDeuce]

What? So are you setting 34,200 and asking if we will take the o/u?

 

Don't take the bait. :lol2:

[theguru]

Don't take the bait. :lol2:

 

Or we could make it more straightforward, how many people do you believe will die from COVID-19 in America in 2020?

[All Blue]

Under.

[JDEaston]

I don't think we will ever really know, but with the numbers we're given I'll take the under.

[GrantNKY]

I’ll be bold and say under 15,000.

[gchs_uk9]

I don't think we will ever really know, but with the numbers we're given I'll take the under.

 

Agreed. As with elderly people who have various ailments but ultimately die of pneumonia, I think this virus will unfortunately finish off a lot of folks with existing illnesses. The lack of testing will likely mean they died of their illness and not coronavirus. So it could be a kind of a chicken/egg issue where we never really know the answer.

[theguru]

I don't think we will ever really know, but with the numbers we're given I'll take the under.

 

Agreed. As with elderly people who have various ailments but ultimately die of pneumonia, I think this virus will unfortunately finish off a lot of folks with existing illnesses. The lack of testing will likely mean they died of their illness and not coronavirus. So it could be a kind of a chicken/egg issue where we never really know the answer.

 

I just saw this out of Italy:

 

More than 99% of Italy’s coronavirus fatalities were people who suffered from previous medical conditions, according to a study by the country’s national health authority.

 

Source: ISS Italy National Health Institute, March 17 sample

[Voice of Reason]

Total deaths worldwide at this point 10,015. Take the under. The oddsmaker set a really bad line. Congratulations to our world on saving thousands and thousands of lives.

[JDEaston]

Total deaths worldwide at this point 10,015. Take the under. The oddsmaker set a really bad line. Congratulations to our world on saving thousands and thousands of lives.

 

I imagine the oddsmaker knew what he was doing when he set that number and it's not a bad number when you consider comparing it to other viruses we deal with on a regular basis. Going back to that though I believe the response to this particular virus will stop it well before it hits the betting line.

[Bluegrasscard]

Counting solely from COVID-19 or are comorbidity deaths included?

 

Former - under (way under). Latter - maybe over but will go the under still.

[theguru]

I imagine the oddsmaker knew what he was doing when he set that number and it's not a bad number when you consider comparing it to other viruses we deal with on a regular basis. Going back to that though I believe the response to this particular virus will stop it well before it hits the betting line.

 

I want to give you a big kiss @JDEaston

[JDEaston]

I want to give you a big kiss @JDEaston

 

You've been out at the bars and such lately. So maybe at a later date haha.