July 27, 201610 yr Trump struggling with Catholics. Trump Is Driving Catholic Voters Toward Clinton | FiveThirtyEight
July 27, 201610 yr Candidates are now equally unpopular. Hillary Clinton And Donald Trump Are Now Equally Unpopular | FiveThirtyEight
July 27, 201610 yr I look at these polls the way I look at the first college football playoff rankings. There is so much that could happen that you can't get too wrapped up in them. Interesting to look at but not anything to rely on yet.
July 28, 201610 yr I look at these polls the way I look at the first college football playoff rankings. There is so much that could happen that you can't get too wrapped up in them. Interesting to look at but not anything to rely on yet. As I believe I mentioned in this thread, if you want a good indication of how the election will end up in November, give it 2-3 weeks after the conventions have ended and look at the polls. It almost always is accurate. 538 showed the last dozen or so elections. The candidate ahead in those polls went on to win the vote every time (exception being Bush/Gore where Gore won the popular vote, lost electoral college).
July 28, 201610 yr As I believe I mentioned in this thread, if you want a good indication of how the election will end up in November, give it 2-3 weeks after the conventions have ended and look at the polls. It almost always is accurate. 538 showed the last dozen or so elections. The candidate ahead in those polls went on to win the vote every time (exception being Bush/Gore where Gore won the popular vote, lost electoral college). This may be the case this year also.
July 28, 201610 yr This may be the case this year also. I don't disagree. I think it was Mark Cuban who said he thinks there's a better than 50/50 shot that Trump wins the popular vote, but loses the electoral college. If it happens, I can't wait to watch the reactions. Something tells me a lot of people will have different opinions than they did in 2000.
July 28, 201610 yr I don't disagree. I think it was Mark Cuban who said he thinks there's a better than 50/50 shot that Trump wins the popular vote, but loses the electoral college. If it happens, I can't wait to watch the reactions. Something tells me a lot of people will have different opinions than they did in 2000. On both sides.
July 28, 201610 yr I don't disagree. I think it was Mark Cuban who said he thinks there's a better than 50/50 shot that Trump wins the popular vote, but loses the electoral college. If it happens, I can't wait to watch the reactions. Something tells me a lot of people will have different opinions than they did in 2000. No way Trump wins popular vote - I think this election has the highest voter turnout ever, and the demographic shift kills Trump. If I'm Clinton I'm registering everybody I can and driving them to the polling location.
July 29, 201610 yr 538 has HRC now with 66% chance of winning. Dropped in the last week or so.Now at Hillary Clinton 53.3% Donald Trump 46.7% As of the latest update on 538...this of course may change in the next few days...if Clinton receives the bump some expect from the DNC.
July 29, 201610 yr Now at Hillary Clinton 53.3% Donald Trump 46.7% As of the latest update on 538...this of course may change in the next few days...if Clinton receives the bump some expect from the DNC. Essentially a coin flip. What's the margin of error ?
July 31, 201610 yr Bipartisan polling firm shows Clinton has significant lead over Trump. First poll after DNC has Clinton with a big lead.
July 31, 201610 yr Author Bipartisan polling firm shows Clinton has significant lead over Trump. First poll after DNC has Clinton with a big lead. Another bogus poll. You dug deep for this one. Where did you have to go to find it, the dark web?
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