August 2, 201610 yr Exactly. But again, this gets back to my post last week on polls. Are there really that many people that sway back and forth that leads to a 7 point swing in one week? Week-by-week? It was a 17-point swing, from what I'm remembering. And it's not as many people as you would think at first blush. It's all about undecideds/wafflers in swing states.
August 2, 201610 yr I think this election's outcome will end up being a lot like 2012--around a 4% margin of victory for the Democrat & a more sizeable win in the electoral college. Romney got to 206 and I expect Trump will land really close to that.
August 2, 201610 yr I think this election's outcome will end up being a lot like 2012--around a 4% margin of victory for the Democrat & a more sizeable win in the electoral college. Romney got to 206 and I expect Trump will land really close to that. I said before Trump got the nomination, that he would get it, and would lose and destroy the R party in the process. And that part of the fun (for me) would be to watch as R's try to convince themselves that he has a chance when he in fact has none. Your post here is the only one that matters in months. Nobody cares about the candidates, only the letter after the name. For example, the Republican party went from the party that gave the nomination to John McCain in part because he was a war hero to the party that gave the nomination to a draft dodger who insulted John McCain. And made transition seamlessly. Because Trump has an R after his name. And the same is true of the democrats. This election is not about politics, or the candidates. It's about demographics. As many Repub leaders noted after Obama's second win, the Repubs would have to do better with Hispanics and women if they ever hoped to win another presidential election. Anybody think Trump is gonna do better with women or hispanics lol? Republican party committed suicide and all we are seeing now is the involuntary twitching. I think today Trump managed to offend mom's with crying babies and purple heart winners. Looking forward to the rats fleeing the sinking R ship for the next couple months.
August 3, 201610 yr 68% chance for Clinton. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
August 3, 201610 yr 68% chance for Clinton. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/ Of Bill hooking up with the dancer in the picture above your post? :lol2:
August 5, 201610 yr Almost at 80% this morning. http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/
August 5, 201610 yr Democrats Gain in Congressional Preference, Poll Finds - WSJ Here be the Trump effect :jimlad: It boggles my mind to think the Speaker of the House and John McCain are in real danger of losing their seat.
August 5, 201610 yr Here be the Trump effect :jimlad: It boggles my mind to think the Speaker of the House and John McCain are in real danger of losing their seat. Speaker of house should win easily, McCain was in a battle way before Trump showed up.
August 5, 201610 yr New poll has Hillary up 4 in Georgia. Poll: Clinton leads Trump in Georgia - POLITICO
August 5, 201610 yr ^ I don't see that lasting. Even if Donald continues the tone of the last 2 weeks?
August 5, 201610 yr ^ I don't see that lasting. It's going to be interesting to see if Trump can reverse the slide in some of these red states. I question whether that's possible given his self-aggrandizement. Regardless, the possibility of Hillary taking 35 states has entered the realm of possibilities, in my opinion.
August 5, 201610 yr Even if Donald continues the tone of the last 2 weeks? We're talking about the land of the goat boffers here.
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