March 16, 201610 yr Well then it's over...Kasich said that if he wins Ohio, he'll get the nomination. Might as well go ahead and give it to him now. I guess now we'll see if him finally getting a win and Rubio dropping out work in concert to give him a bump. Regardless of what he has said to the contrary, I think there is a good chance that Kasich is the VP once the ticket is finalized...with Trump or Cruz at the top.
March 16, 201610 yr Did I hear correctly that Gov Kasich winning means Trump cannot get to the magic number and that there will be a brokered convention?
March 16, 201610 yr Did I hear correctly that Gov Kasich winning means Trump cannot get to the magic number and that there will be a brokered convention? Not impossible for Trump to get to 1,237 but much more difficult now. It looks now like nobody will get to that magic number...
March 16, 201610 yr Did I hear correctly that Gov Kasich winning means Trump cannot get to the magic number and that there will be a brokered convention? I didn't see that, but my gut says that doesn't add up. Ohio is only 66 delegates I can't imagine that swings it this far out. I have seen that there aren't enough delegates left for Kasich to win it outright, but that also strikes me as off too without seeing the math.
March 16, 201610 yr Going to show my ignorance here, but what happens to the delegates that Rubio/Carson/etc. did win? If nobody gets to the magic 1237 before the convention, do these come back into play?
March 16, 201610 yr Based on expected winners in other states going west where Cruz will run strong and the expectation that Kasich will win some of the northeast states, it is doubtful anyone will have enough delegates to win a first ballot nomination. The last Republican contested, or brokered, convention was 1948. In 1976, Gerald Ford was 40 delegates short after the primaries but got enough delegates to switch to get a first ballot win over Reagan.
March 16, 201610 yr Going to show my ignorance here, but what happens to the delegates that Rubio/Carson/etc. did win? If nobody gets to the magic 1237 before the convention, do these come back into play? From what I can gather it depends on the rules each state places on their delegates. Some will become "free agents" after one ballot and others are still bound to the candidates or what the party wants. And from what else I can gather the party in each state chooses the people who will be delegates at the convention, so who those people end up being will affect how a majority gets cobbled together, which would seem to benefit the "establishment."
March 16, 201610 yr Going to show my ignorance here, but what happens to the delegates that Rubio/Carson/etc. did win? If nobody gets to the magic 1237 before the convention, do these come back into play? I believe delegates are required to vote for the candidate they were elected to represent on the first ballot. After that, they are allowed to change their vote. That is where the term brokered convention comes into play. If the Republicans are smart, they will try to control this and call it a contested convention, not a brokered convention.
March 16, 201610 yr Going to show my ignorance here' date=' but what happens to the delegates that Rubio/Carson/etc. did win? If nobody gets to the magic 1237 before the convention, do these come back into play?[/quote'] Those delegates of failed candidates are free to elect the candidate of their choice at the convention.
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