25. Arkansas (6-3)

24. Utah (6-3)

23. UTSA (9-0)

22. San Diego St. (8-1)

21. Pittsburgh

20. Iowa (7-2)

19. Purdue (6-3)

18. Wisconsin (6-3)

17. Auburn (6-3)

16. NC State (7-2)

15. Ole Miss (7-2)

14. BYU (7-2)

13. Baylor (7-2)

12. Wake Forest (8-1)

11. Texas A&M (7-2)

10. Oklahoma State (8-1)

 9. Notre Dame (8-1)

 8. Oklahoma (9-0)

 7. Michigan State (8-1)

 6. Michigan (8-1)

 5. Cincinnati (9-0)

 4. Ohio State (8-1)

 3. Oregon (8-1)

 2. Alabama (8-1)

 1. Georgia (9-0)

19 minutes ago, 16thBBall Fan said:

25. Arkansas (6-3)

24. Utah (6-3)

23. UTSA (9-0)

22. San Diego St. (8-1)

21. Pittsburgh

20. Iowa (7-2)

19. Purdue (6-3)

18. Wisconsin (6-3)

17. Auburn (6-3)

16. NC State (7-2)

15. Ole Miss (7-2)

14. BYU (7-2)

13. Baylor (7-2)

12. Wake Forest (8-1)

11. Texas A&M (7-2)

10. Oklahoma State (8-1)

 9. Notre Dame (8-1)

 8. Oklahoma (9-0)

 7. Michigan State (8-1)

 6. Michigan (8-1)

 5. Cincinnati (9-0)

 4. Ohio State (8-1)

 3. Oregon (8-1)

 2. Alabama (8-1)

 1. Georgia (9-0)

Gotta be thrilled if your an OSU or UC fan, I think both might be in if they win out.

I think Alabama, Oregon and Oklahoma all lose by the end of the regular season. OSU, Michigan and Michigan State between them will have at least 2 more losses just from each other. 

If UC wins out, at this point I think they are nearly a lock.

If UC, OSU and Oregon all win out, I think the only way Cincy doesn't make it in is if Alabama wins the SEC west and beats Georgia in a nail-biter.  Assuming of course Georgia and/or Alabama don't mess themselves.

The committee dropping Michigan St. to #7 makes Oregon at #3 even more mystifying.

So just for kicks let say Purdue beats Ohio State then they have 3 top 5 wins on their resume and a loss to a top 10 ND team.  Then 2 other bad losses.  Where do they get ranked?  Are they Top 10?  Are they knocking on the door if the win the Big 10 Championship game as well which whomever they play would be Michigan, Michigan St or OSU so that team would be in the Top 10 for sure.  I think this scenario would be the committee's biggest nightmare.  No way a 3 loss Purdue team is even sniffing Top 4 or does this scenario leave the Big 10 without a team.  For sake of argument which is more important the 3 losses in the first half of the season or the 4 Top 5 wins in the second half of the season?

Being the cynic, at what point do the top teams in your conference get a call go there way because if that team were to lose your conference loses millions of dollars.  Not saying this has happened but it has crossed my mind.  Do you not make that holding call on a certain team when they score the go ahead TD that locks in their spot in the BCS playoff?  

5 hours ago, Voice of Reason said:

The committee dropping Michigan St. to #7 makes Oregon at #3 even more mystifying.

Is the committee anticipating a Michigan State loss to OSU?  Leaving the Michigan OSU game as a playoff game itself?

25 minutes ago, cincyswords said:

Is the committee anticipating a Michigan State loss to OSU?  Leaving the Michigan OSU game as a playoff game itself?

 I don't think the committee is doing that and I don't think they can do that.  They should be looking at what every team has done so far in their schedule and ranking them based strictly on that. The nuance in this though is they are using subjective judgment, call it the eye test, to also factor if they think one team is better than another.  I guess that is their explanation for why a team who was beaten by a 3 win team is #3 and Michigan State is #7.

4 hours ago, Voice of Reason said:

 I don't think the committee is doing that and I don't think they can do that.  They should be looking at what every team has done so far in their schedule and ranking them based strictly on that. The nuance in this though is they are using subjective judgment, call it the eye test, to also factor if they think one team is better than another.  I guess that is their explanation for why a team who was beaten by a 3 win team is #3 and Michigan State is #7.

I agree they shouldn't but what is in the heads of people is not always what "they should do."

OSU will have to beat 4 top 10 teams from now until January to win it all.  The bettor in me, tells me to sell on that one.

2 minutes ago, John Anthony said:

OSU will have to beat 4 top 10 teams from now until January to win it all.  The bettor in me, tells me to sell on that one.

I'd take the bet on beating the first 2. I think they're both overrated personally. 

40 minutes ago, cincyswords said:

I agree they shouldn't but what is in the heads of people is not always what "they should do."

That type of speculation is a slippery slope to a conspiracy theory and I believe 99% of conspiracy theories are trash.

55 minutes ago, ChickenWyngz said:

I'd take the bet on beating the first 2. I think they're both overrated personally. 

I could do 2, not 4.

9 hours ago, Voice of Reason said:

 I don't think the committee is doing that and I don't think they can do that.  They should be looking at what every team has done so far in their schedule and ranking them based strictly on that. The nuance in this though is they are using subjective judgment, call it the eye test, to also factor if they think one team is better than another.  I guess that is their explanation for why a team who was beaten by a 3 win team is #3 and Michigan State is #7.

I again fall back onto my theory that the committee decides what teams they want to put in there...and THEN they find the criteria that is needed to satisfy those results.  No way can you say one week that head to head matters, and then the very next week, say that it doesn't.

10 hours ago, Voice of Reason said:

 I don't think the committee is doing that and I don't think they can do that.  They should be looking at what every team has done so far in their schedule and ranking them based strictly on that. The nuance in this though is they are using subjective judgment, call it the eye test, to also factor if they think one team is better than another.  I guess that is their explanation for why a team who was beaten by a 3 win team is #3 and Michigan State is #7.

The team at #3 has a MUCH better win than any thing Michigan State has. Oregon is getting a serious boost from going into Columbus and winning, as they should.