April 6, 20206 yr One day....northern Kentucky went from 40 to 72 cases. Deaths went from 1 to 3. Boone County - 16 confirmed, 0 deaths Campbell County - 18 confirmed, 1 death Grant County - 2 confirmed, 0 deaths Kenton County - 36 confirmed, 2 deaths NKY Health Department | Coronavirus [COVID-19] For days later, northern Kentucky's numbers have doubled again. 141 cases and 13 deaths. Boone County - 31 confirmed, 1 death Campbell County - 35 confirmed, 3 deaths Grant County - 5 confirmed, 1 death Kenton County - 70 confirmed, 8 deaths
April 7, 20206 yr User Worldometers new format its now easier to see normalized values of the metrics. The interesting find is that Kentucky does lead the nation - in deaths per identified positive test at 5.9%. The national average is 3.0%. The next closest in this category is Washington at 4.6%. Related - Kentucky is below the national averge in terms of test per person in the state and is 40th in terms of tests that are positive Tests that come back postive is the most wide ranging metric with as many as 48% come back positive in Oklahoma but only 2.8% coming back positive in Hawaii. Obviously the criteria for testing must have a wide variance. Subset of sorted values of Deaths per Case %. [TABLE=width: 717] [TR] [TD=class: xl66, width: 153][/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]Cases[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]Deaths[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]C P 1M[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]D P 1M[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]Tests[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]T P 1M[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]P T %[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 87]D p C %[/TD] [TD=class: xl66, width: 109]Population[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD] USA Total [/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]367,004[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]10,871[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,109[/TD] [TD=align: right]33[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,930,115[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]5,831[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]19.0%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]3.0%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 330,932,372 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Kentucky[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,008[/TD] [TD=align: right]59[/TD] [TD=align: right]227[/TD] [TD=align: right]13[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]19,955[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]4,494[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]5.1%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]5.9%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 4,440,529 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Washington[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]8,326[/TD] [TD=align: right]381[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,141[/TD] [TD=align: right]52[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]91,375[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]12,527[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]9.1%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]4.6%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 7,297,108 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Vermont[/TD] [TD=align: right]543[/TD] [TD=align: right]23[/TD] [TD=align: right]869[/TD] [TD=align: right]37[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]6,633[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]10,613[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]8.2%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]4.2%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 624,856 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Michigan[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]17,221[/TD] [TD=align: right]727[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,729[/TD] [TD=align: right]73[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]45,748[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]4,594[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]37.6%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]4.2%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 9,960,093 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Puerto Rico[/TD] [TD=align: right]513[/TD] [TD=align: right]21[/TD] [TD=align: right]151[/TD] [TD=align: right]6[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]4,951[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,462[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]10.4%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]4.1%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 3,397,351 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Oklahoma[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]1,327[/TD] [TD=align: right]51[/TD] [TD=align: right]339[/TD] [TD=align: right]13[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]2,751[/TD] [TD=align: right]702[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]48.2%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]3.8%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 3,914,454 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]New York[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]131,916[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]4,758[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]6,724[/TD] [TD=align: right]243[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]320,811[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]16,353[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]41.1%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]3.6%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 19,618,679 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Louisiana[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]14,867[/TD] [TD=align: right]512[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]3,188[/TD] [TD=align: right]110[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]69,166[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]14,831[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]21.5%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]3.4%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 4,663,425 [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD=class: xl69]Ohio[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]4,450[/TD] [TD=align: right]142[/TD] [TD=align: right]382[/TD] [TD=align: right]12[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]48,378[/TD] [TD=class: xl67, align: right]4,156[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]9.2%[/TD] [TD=class: xl65, align: right]3.2%[/TD] [TD=class: xl68] 11,649,215 [/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE]
April 8, 20206 yr I think the best metric to go by is deaths since testing is all over the map. Kentucky is supposed to peak in deaths per day later this month. By May 1st should be on downward slope. Something to watch.
April 9, 20206 yr I think the best metric to go by is deaths since testing is all over the map. Kentucky is supposed to peak in deaths per day later this month. By May 1st should be on downward slope. Something to watch.
April 9, 20206 yr Per infectious disease doctor at Baptist East Hospital in Louisville this evening, there are 22 COVID patients there with 10 in ICU, more or less. The doctor said that the malaria drug seems to be working (about 6 patients taking it). They are running blind tests on the malaria drug to determine its effectiveness.
April 14, 20206 yr I hope no one is still on the "Flu is just as bad" train, but if you are here is a stat. New York State averages 4500 deaths from the Flu each year. New York City has had 7905 deaths from COVID-19 since March 14th.
April 14, 20206 yr They are running blind tests on the malaria drug to determine its effectiveness. I know that this is the standard for fully testing a drug, but in this one case, I wish they would give it to everyone. I would hate my family member, or me, to be a placebo patient.
April 14, 20206 yr There are 17 different treatments being tested for CV19. Rutgers University has developed a test that uses saliva. In its first very small trial it was just as effective as current testing. That would be a huge step forward if it continues to be proven effective and can be implemented quickly.
April 14, 20206 yr For days later, northern Kentucky's numbers have doubled again. 141 cases and 13 deaths. Boone County - 31 confirmed, 1 death Campbell County - 35 confirmed, 3 deaths Grant County - 5 confirmed, 1 death Kenton County - 70 confirmed, 8 deaths 8 days since the quoted post. Numbers in northern Kentucky have almost tripled in the last 12 days. 208 cases and 18 deaths. Boone County - 54 confirmed, 2 death Campbell County - 45 confirmed, 5 deaths Grant County - 12 confirmed, 1 death Kenton County - 97 confirmed, 10 deaths
April 14, 20206 yr 8 days since the quoted post. Numbers in northern Kentucky have almost tripled in the last 12 days. 208 cases and 18 deaths. Boone County - 54 confirmed, 2 death Campbell County - 45 confirmed, 5 deaths Grant County - 12 confirmed, 1 death Kenton County - 97 confirmed, 10 deaths That's over a 10% mortality rate. Let's keep things closed a little longer.
April 15, 20206 yr If you're wanting to go to Tennessee, I recommend getting in there while you can. I suspect it's going to be one of the CV19 hotbeds pretty soon. As of today, Tennessee currently has 1.73 times the positive cases that Kentucky does, per capita: Tennessee (2019 population 6,829,000) 5,823 positive cases (0.085% of the population) 124 deaths (2.13% of positive cases) Kentucky (2019 population 4,468,000) 2,210 positive cases (0.049% of the population) 115 deaths (5.20% of positive cases)
April 15, 20206 yr As of today, Tennessee currently has 1.73 times the positive cases that Kentucky does, per capita: Tennessee (2019 population 6,829,000) 5,823 positive cases (0.085% of the population) 124 deaths (2.13% of positive cases) Kentucky (2019 population 4,468,000) 2,210 positive cases (0.049% of the population) 115 deaths (5.20% of positive cases) Adding: Total tests: Kentucky - 26,683 Tennessee - 78,831 Source: How Many People Have the Coronavirus in Your State Right Now? - The Atlantic
April 15, 20206 yr Adding: Total tests: Kentucky - 26,683 Tennessee - 78,831 Source: How Many People Have the Coronavirus in Your State Right Now? - The Atlantic Tennessee has basically put all of its eggs in one basket, going more or less all-in on the Abbott Laboratories ID Now testing machine. The FDA gave Abbott Labs an emergency-only approval (meaning it is only approved because of the emergency situation everyone is in due to dire need for testing). It was approved after conducting a total of 60 test samples. FDA testers gave 60 samples, 50% positive and 50% negative, and they were tested at random. The ID Now testing machine passed with 100% accuracy. However, Abbott Labs admits to not knowing how many tests each machine can perform without requiring servicing, re-calibration, or replacement. The FDA's 510(k) medical device approval process usually requires rounds of testing that gets up into the tens of thousands prior to application for approval (which usually takes years), and then 100 rounds of tests by the FDA. To say that the approval for the Abbott Labs test was an abbreviated process is a gross understatement. TL;DR - They don't know how accurate Tennessee's testing method is, and even if it starts out accurate, they don't know how long each testing machine stays accurate. The fact that Tennessee is basically using one single method for testing is scary.
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