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Hurricane Matthew updates

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  • Author

Here's a quick lunch break update. As I mentioned earlier Matthew could cause tornadoes. The Storm Prediction Center now has parts of the east coast of Florida in a Marginal Risk area for strong to severe storms that could produce tornadoes.

 

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Tornado Outlook

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Death toll in Haiti now up to 108. This is a major storm that could cause catastrophic damage in Florida and other parts of the U.S.

This is a major storm. I hope people pay attention to the warnings

  • Author

Note: This was written if Matthew remain as a category 3 storm. It is now rated as a category 4.

 

Hurricane Matthew may be one of most expensive storms in U.S. history

 

As Hurricane Matthew takes aim at Florida and the Southeast United States, forecasters worry it could become one of the most expensive storms in the nation's history.

The storm was moving through the Bahamas Thursday, but it was still unclear how Matthew will hit the U.S. coast, and how strong it will be when it does. Even if the center of the storm stays off shore and simply moves up the coast from South Florida to North Carolina, the rain, wind and storm surge could cause significant damage.

 

There are at least 200,000 homes along the coast from Florida to North Carolina at risk of damage from the storm surge alone, which would push water ashore and causing flooding. Even if Matthew is downgraded to a Category 1 storm, repairing and replacing those homes would cost $43 billion, according to CoreLogic.

 

Hurricane Matthew may be one of most expensive storms in U.S. history - Oct. 6, 2

Walt Disney World closing early today and all day tomorrow. Only the 4th time in history that WDW is closed.

Wow. So many people have likely moved to Florida since the last big one. I really hope they take this seriously, this is huge.

 

Thanks, as always, for the updates @nWo. Your threads are my go-to for anything weather.

  • Author
Wow. So many people have likely moved to Florida since the last big one. I really hope they take this seriously, this is huge.

 

Thanks, as always, for the updates @nWo. Your threads are my go-to for anything weather.

 

Thanks

  • Author

Matthew could even get stronger before it hits Florida!!

 

BULLETIN

HURRICANE MATTHEW INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 34A...CORRECTED

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016

200 PM EDT THU OCT 06 2016

 

Corrected reference point for location from Nassau to Freeport.

 

...HURRICANE MATTHEW RELENTLESSLY POUNDING THE BAHAMAS...

...POTENTIALLY DISASTROUS IMPACTS FOR FLORIDA...

 

 

SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...25.7N 78.4W

ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM SSE OF FREEPORT BAHAMAS

ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM ESE OF WEST PALM BEACH FLORIDA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...939 MB...27.73 INCHES

 

 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

 

None.

 

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

 

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...

* Central Bahamas, including Long Island, Exuma, Rum Cay,

San Salvador, and Cat Island

* Northwestern Bahamas, including the Abacos, Andros Island,

Berry Islands, Bimini, Eleuthera, Grand Bahama Island, and

New Providence

* North of Golden Beach Florida to Edisto Beach South Carolina

* Lake Okeechobee

 

A Hurricane Watch is in effect for...

* North of Edisto Beach to South Santee River South Carolina

 

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...

* Chokoloskee to Golden Beach

* Florida Keys from Seven Mile Bridge eastward

* Florida Bay

* Anclote River to Suwannee River

 

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...

* North of Chokoloskee to Anclote River

 

Interests elsewhere in the Florida Peninsula, the Florida Keys, and

in the Carolinas should monitor the progress of Matthew.

 

For storm information specific to your area in the United States,

including possible inland watches and warnings, please monitor

products issued by your local National Weather Service forecast

office. For storm information specific to your area outside the

United States, please monitor products issued by your national

meteorological service.

 

 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the eye of Hurricane Matthew was located

near latitude 25.7 North, longitude 78.4 West. The hurricane is

moving toward the northwest near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general

motion is expected to continue today with a turn toward the north-

northwest tonight or early Friday. On the forecast track, the eye

of Matthew should be near or over Freeport in the Bahamas in the

next few hours, and move close to or over the east coast of the

Florida peninsula through Friday night.

 

Maximum sustained winds are near 140 mph (220 km/h) with higher

gusts. Matthew is a category 4 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson

Hurricane Wind Scale. Some additional strengthening is possible,

and Matthew should remain a Category 4 hurricane while it approaches

the Florida coast.

 

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from

the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160

miles (260 km). Nassau in the Bahamas reported 97 mph (156 km/h)

sustained winds earlier today when the northern eyewall moved over

that island.

 

The estimated minimum central pressure is 939 mb (27.73 inches).

 

 

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

WIND: Hurricane conditions are still affecting portions of the

central Bahamas and are already spreading across the northwestern

Bahamas.

 

Hurricane conditions are expected to first reach the hurricane

warning area in Florida by late today and will spread northward

within the warning area through Friday. Tropical storm conditions

are first expected in Florida within the next several hours.

 

Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch area in

northeast Georgia and South Carolina by early Saturday, with

tropical storm conditions possible on Friday night.

 

Winds increase rapidly in elevation in a tropical cyclone. Residents

in high-rise buildings should be aware that the winds at the top of

a 30-story building will be, on average, about one Saffir-Simpson

category higher than the winds near the surface.

 

STORM SURGE: The combination of a dangerous storm surge and large

and destructive waves could raise water levels by as much as the

following amounts above normal tide levels...

 

Central and Northwestern Bahamas...10 to 15 feet

 

The water could reach the following heights above ground if the peak

surge occurs at the time of high tide...

 

Sebastian Inlet to Edisto Beach, including portions of the St.

Johns River...7 to 11 ft

Edisto Beach to South Santee River...4 to 6 ft

Deerfield Beach to Sebastian Inlet...4 to 6 ft

Virginia Key to Deerfield Beach...1 to 3 ft

 

Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge

and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.

Large waves generated by Matthew will cause water rises to occur

well in advance of and well away from the track of the center.

 

The combination of a dangerous storm surge and the tide will cause

normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters

moving inland from the shoreline. There is a danger of life-

threatening inundation during the next 36 hours along the Florida

east coast, the Georgia coast, and the South Carolina coast from

Deerfield Beach, Florida to Edisto Beach, South Carolina. There is

the possibility of life-threatening inundation during the next 48

hours from north of Edisto Beach to South Santee River, South

Carolina. For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the Prototype

National Weather Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic. For

information specific to your area, please see products issued by

your local National Weather Service forecast office.

 

The Prototype Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic is a depiction of

areas that would qualify for inclusion under a storm surge watch or

warning currently under development by the National Weather Service

and planned for operational use in 2017. The Prototype Graphic is

available at hurricanes.gov.

 

RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall amounts in

the following areas:

 

The Bahamas...8 to 12 inches, isolated totals of 15 inches

Coastal eastern Florida, Georgia, and South Carolina....4 to

8 inches, isolated 12 inches

The Florida Keys...1 to 3 inches, isolated 5 inches

Eastern Cuba...additional 2 to 4 inches, isolated storm-totals

of 20 inches

Central Cuba...additional 2 to 4 inches, isolated storm-totals

of 8 inches

 

Life-threatening flash floods and mudslides are likely in central

and eastern Cuba.

 

TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible along the Atlantic

coastal area of north and central Florida tonight.

 

SURF: Swells generated by Matthew will continue to affect portions

of the north coast of Cuba and the Bahamas during the next few days,

and will spread northward along the east coast of Florida and the

southeast U.S. coast through the weekend. These swells will likely

cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please

consult products from your local weather office.

This may be a simple question but if the winds of the hurricane are at 140MPH how is the storm only moving along at 14MPH?

This may be a simple question but if the winds of the hurricane are at 140MPH how is the storm only moving along at 14MPH?

 

The winds rotating around the storm (concentrated around the eye, or center) are moving at 140. They are essentially blowing in a circle. The entire system itself is only moving along at 14 mph.

The winds rotating around the storm (concentrated around the eye, or center) are moving at 140. They are essentially blowing in a circle. The entire system itself is only moving along at 14 mph.

 

Lol I may just start directly PMing you for my questions from now on you've had my back today.

My friends are in Miami. Hoping they stay safe!

  • Author

The Marginal Risk Area for the possibility of strong to severe storms that could produce tornadoes has been extended up the coast to include the coast of Georgia and parts of South Carolina.

 

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Lol I may just start directly PMing you for my questions from now on you've had my back today.

@nWo is the expert here, but I am a big weather geek myself. I study it as a hobby.

What really struck me is how long it is going to ride up the coast...looks like it is going to impact a far wider stretch along the ocean front than any recent hurricanes have.

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