16 minutes ago, 16thBBall Fan said:

Maybe someone is smarter than me, but please explain to me going into this week Frederick Douglass was .00233 ahead of Ryle. Ryle does not play this week Douglass goes on the road and shuts out Male 14-0. They both have played tough schedules Ryle beat a very good 4A team in Covington Catholic but lost to 5A powers Highlands and Cooper. Douglass 3 losses were to the same Highlands team be 3 fewer points than Ryle then lost to the current #2 ranked and the #5 ranked teams in 6A. As I stated above going into the week Douglass was .00233 ahead and today with the above info they are now ,00563 behind Ryle. That is a change of .0033. I find this rather baffling but there is a lot about the RPI that is hard to figure out. 

Because of Trinity's RPI. Remember,  T's RPI is considerably low because of their out of state games. CAL's RPI is very high. So, that is likely the reason for the flip, in addition to Male having a deservedly low RPI. However, with #3 6A RPI Madison Central coming to town, the opportunity to jump Ryle is within grasp. 

 

Douglass' remaining district foes are ALL significantly higher rated than Ryle's district, in addition to Boyle in the season finale.  So, Douglass just has to handle business and they can earn home field through the third round. 

1	South Warren	6A	.73562
2	DuPont Manual	6A	.64209
3	St. Xavier	6A	.60644
4	Trinity (Louisville)	6A	.59891
5	Oldham County	6A	.58064
6	Frederick Douglass	6A	.57911
7	Bryan Station	6A	.57617
8	Ryle	6A	.56051
9	McCracken County	6A	.55581
10	Madison Central	6A	.55096
11	George Rogers Clark	6A	.54615
12	Bullitt East	6A	.53163
13	Simon Kenton	6A	.52563
14	North Hardin	6A	.52319
15	Daviess County	6A	.50070
16	Hopkinsville	6A	.49920
17	Male	6A	.49360
18	Henderson County	6A	.48809
19	Lafayette	6A	.47722
20	Ballard	6A	.47671
21	Campbell County	6A	.44267
22	Fern Creek	6A	.43440
23	Great Crossing	6A	.42795
24	Meade County	6A	.41956
25	Pleasure Ridge Park	6A	.41871
26	Tates Creek	6A	.41811
27	Christian County	6A	.36558
28	Eastern	6A	.36197
29	Southern	6A	.35126
30	Paul Laurence Dunbar	6A	.34506
31	Central Hardin	6A	.32822
32	Henry Clay	6A	.32303

 

Looks like could be a St. X/Manual rematch in 3rd round of playoffs and potentially St. X hosting Trinity in semifinals.

1	South Warren	6A	2	7	-	0			7	.98136	.55137	.66388	.73562
2	DuPont Manual	6A	3	5	-	2			7	.69565	.67497	.54125	.64209
3	St. Xavier	6A	3	4	-	3			7	.57143	.66250	.58188	.60644
4	Trinity (Louisville)	6A	5	6	-	2			8	.75000	.48089	.56033	.59891
5	Oldham County	6A	5	5	-	2			7	.67943	.53330	.51982	.58040
6	Frederick Douglass	6A	8	4	-	3			7	.57143	.62521	.53429	.57911
7	Bryan Station	6A	8	4	-	3			7	.57143	.57249	.58600	.57617
8	Ryle	6A	6	4	-	3			7	.57143	.56931	.53750	.56051
9	McCracken County	6A	1	3	-	4			7	.37965	.76123	.52167	.55581
10	Madison Central	6A	8	4	-	3			7	.53416	.55576	.56495	.55096
11	George Rogers Clark	6A	8	5	-	3			8	.60869	.52435	.49860	.54615
12	Bullitt East	6A	4	4	-	3			7	.48523	.59078	.51674	.53163
13	Simon Kenton	6A	6	4	-	3			7	.55279	.46996	.55889	.52563
14	North Hardin	6A	3	4	-	3			7	.53657	.40647	.64376	.52319
15	Daviess County	6A	2	4	-	3			7	.51026	.47198	.52307	.50070
16	Hopkinsville	6A	1	3	-	4			7	.42857	.54157	.53555	.50022
17	Male	6A	4	4	-	3			7	.57143	.33175	.59164	.49360
18	Henderson County	6A	1	4	-	3			7	.57143	.35415	.54712	.48809
19	Lafayette	6A	7	4	-	3			7	.51794	.40043	.51850	.47698
20	Ballard	6A	5	2	-	5			7	.28571	.65598	.49039	.47671
21	Campbell County	6A	6	2	-	5			7	.28571	.52324	.53178	.44267
22	Fern Creek	6A	4	3	-	4			7	.40994	.44224	.45379	.43440
23	Great Crossing	6A	6	1	-	6			7	.14286	.67862	.46812	.42795
24	Meade County	6A	2	0	-	7			7	.00000	.75738	.51494	.41956
25	Pleasure Ridge Park	6A	3	1	-	6			7	.12422	.67541	.46278	.41871
26	Tates Creek	6A	7	2	-	5			7	.28571	.43423	.55375	.41811
27	Christian County	6A	1	1	-	6			7	.14286	.51737	.44832	.36558
28	Eastern	6A	5	1	-	6			7	.10800	.54718	.44219	.36197
29	Southern	6A	4	1	-	6			7	.14286	.53811	.37640	.35126
30	Paul Laurence Dunbar	6A	7	2	-	5			7	.24844	.31453	.49341	.34506
31	Central Hardin	6A	2	0	-	7			7	.00000	.59292	.40232	.32822
32	Henry Clay	6A	7	1	-	6			7	.12422	.43947	.41911	.32303

This RPI is a joke. Penalized for playing a tough out of state schedule.

2 minutes ago, fatsnbul said:

This RPI is a joke. Penalized for playing a tough out of state schedule.

True but you know that going in.  And, playing that tough out of state schedule prepares you better for winning the state championship.  

On 10/11/2025 at 7:17 AM, Tigerpride94 said:

Looks like could be a St. X/Manual rematch in 3rd round of playoffs and potentially St. X hosting Trinity in semifinals.

Yes, and what a joke.

6 minutes ago, EastSideJunkie said:

Yes, and what a joke.

That sure is nice for the rest of Kentucky. Basically the "At-Large" format from yesteryear. 

If Trinity ends up playing at X in the playoffs, that would be a total and complete travesty. 

18 minutes ago, SHAMROCK69 said:

If Trinity ends up playing at X in the playoffs, that would be a total and complete travesty. 

Unfortunately, those scenarios happen.  Last year, CAL was the benefactor of the RPI and Central had to come to them in the playoffs even though Central beat CAL convincingly in the regular season at Central.  I didn't agree with it even though it benefited the team I have a vested interest in.

I think Trinity and X are on opposite sides of the brackets. I may not fully understand it but think Districts 1-4 are grouped on one side and 5- 8 on the other. 
 

As I understand it X would be grouped with Manual and South Warren and would not play Trinity until the final if X can get there. 
 

Again I might not understand this fully. 

Male and Bullitt East are also on the side with X Manual and South Warren.

Edited October 13, 2025Oct 13 by theguru

11 minutes ago, new fan said:

I think Trinity and X are on opposite sides of the brackets. I may not fully understand it but think Districts 1-4 are grouped on one side and 5- 8 on the other. 
 

As I understand it X would be grouped with Manual and South Warren and would not play Trinity until the final if X can get there. 
 

Again I might not understand this fully. 

No, it's cross district for rounds 1 & 2, East (districts 5-8) & West (districts 1-4) for round 3, then for round 4 if the last 4 teams left where 1 plays 4 and 2 plays 3 depending on RPI.  The earliest X & T could play is round 4, and not in the championship, but it could happen.

9 minutes ago, Unrivaled97 said:

No, it's cross district for rounds 1 & 2, East (districts 5-8) & West (districts 1-4) for round 3, then for round 4 if the last 4 teams left where 1 plays 4 and 2 plays 3 depending on RPI.  The earliest X & T could play is round 4, and not in the championship, but it could happen.

Correct. In Round 4 (state semis) the remaining 4 teams are stacked 1 thru 4 based on their season ending RPI (after week 11). In Round 4 west region or east region are not relevant.  Whichever are the 2 highest RPI teams host the semifinal games. This is true in all 6 classes.