Ludlow at Kentucky Country Day Predictions/Updates

[Voice of Reason]

On 11/13/2023 at 2:11 PM, gchs_uk9 said:

Ludlow has the lowest RPI of any team remaining in Class 1A so a Ludlow victory would still mean a semifinal road trip. If the other favorites won, it would be at Campbellsville.

If I am Ludlow, I would rather go to Campbellsville than Raceland or Pikeville.

[Tupac Shu-Coors Light]

15 minutes ago, theguru said:

I am going to add a little "science" here:

KY Country Day    40.90
Sayre         34.94
Newport Cent. Catholic    30.01
Middlesboro    23.19
Ludlow         16.16

What exactly do these represent? 

[Tupac Shu-Coors Light]

15 hours ago, TDFEVER said:

Are both teams healthy?

Ludlow is, not sure about KCD. Not missing any starters. 

[theguru]

6 minutes ago, Tupac Shu-Coors Light said:

What exactly do these represent? 

Hey Coors Light! 🙂

I think (@Tigerpride94) they represent KCD being at least 3tds better than Ludlow by comparing wins and losses.  Here is a little bit on it:

Formula uses average margin of victory/loss with a cap of 36 pts. I apply exception when teams' ratings are more than 40 pts difference to keep vastly superior teams from being hurt showing mercy with running clock and subbing and it keeps ratings more accurate.

[theguru]

Also from Calpreps.com:

Neutral field
[2023] Kentucky Country Day (Louisville, KY) 31 (87%), [2023] Ludlow (KY) 14 (13%)

[Tupac Shu-Coors Light]

16 minutes ago, theguru said:

Hey Coors Light! 🙂

I think (@Tigerpride94) they represent KCD being at least 3tds better than Ludlow by comparing wins and losses.  Here is a little bit on it:

Formula uses average margin of victory/loss with a cap of 36 pts. I apply exception when teams' ratings are more than 40 pts difference to keep vastly superior teams from being hurt showing mercy with running clock and subbing and it keeps ratings more accurate.

Thank you. 

[Tigerpride94]

Massey ratings say KCD 41-8.

[JIM SEYMOUR # 85]

1 hour ago, Tigerpride94 said:

Massey ratings say KCD 41-8.

I know but how storybook would it be for a team from a small river town come down to the Big City and go back upriver with a huge upset !!!!

[J. Peterman]

When was last time Ludlow played for Regional Title? 

I'm pulling for Ludlow. 

But KCD runs the clock. 

[Tigerpride94]

1 hour ago, JIM SEYMOUR # 85 said:

I know but how storybook would it be for a team from a small river town come down to the Big City and go back upriver with a huge upset !!!!

Would be big for them.

[futurecoach]

1 hour ago, J. Peterman said:

When was last time Ludlow played for Regional Title? 

I'm pulling for Ludlow. 

But KCD runs the clock. 

I would be shocked if this is a running clock. As I stated I honestly think Ludlow wins. 
 

Does anyone know what the weather will be like down there tomorrow. If it rains, I think that would also favor Ludlow and their run game. 

[theguru]

5 minutes ago, futurecoach said:

I would be shocked if this is a running clock. As I stated I honestly think Ludlow wins. 
 

Does anyone know what the weather will be like down there tomorrow. If it rains, I think that would also favor Ludlow and their run game. 

According to weather.com middle 50s with the rain stopping sometime between 6pm and 7pm.

[Bac2369]

Ludlow has been a surprise this season, I watched some of their game with Paris and I liked what I saw. This has the makings to be close, but on paper it shouldn’t be. I can’t wait to here some updates on this one.

[MaddenCurse44]

Go Ludlow!

[TDFEVER]

No way this is a running clock. Ludlow is being overlooked and will do everything they can to shock KCD tonight! Rain and slick field plays in Ludlows favor too! I am saying Ludlow 28-24. We will see!!!!