I wanted to post this disclaimer this morning.

 

As defined by the Oxford dictionary. A meteorologist is, "An expert in or student of meteorology; a weather forecaster."

 

So I want everyone to know I'm a student of meteorology and this is my hobby. During my free time I study what I can about weather forecasting. I do not hold a bachelor's or higher degree in atmospheric science or meteorology from any accredited college or university. Nor do I hold any of the following American Meteorological Society certifications. Certified Broadcast Meteorologist(CBM), Certified Consulting Meteorologist(CCM), or the American Meteorological Society Seal of Approval.

 

I am a registered weather spotter with the NOAA weather office located in Louisville, KY. I have passed this years classes and am now waiting on my new SKYWarn certificate to be sent to me.

 

So I classify myself as an "Amateur Meteorologist". I just don't want any misconceptions that I am passing myself off as a professional holding any degrees or certifications. I do this to try and help people because after the 2009 Ice Storm I swore, to myself, I would never get caught off guard like that again.

You rock!

Yeah man, "qualifications" aside, you do a great service for us.

 

The weather channel app has nothing on your forecasts. And I'm blowing smoke. What I read on here is most accurate.

I want to bring this back to the top of the forum.

I trust your forecasts more than anyone else's! I can't thank you enough for all the time you put into keeping us informed.

Sure we give you a little grief nWo, but it's all in fun. I and probably all or most of BGP appreciate what you do for us with weather alerts and forecasting.

Keep it coming. I jump into your threads every time I see a new one posted. I wouldn't say I plan my life around your threads, but I tell the lovely lady and she appreciates it. It lets us speculate and explore further before heading to teh lake. She asks, "who is this guy?". I tell her I have no clue that is even a guy, but probably is, however, whoever it is they are pretty spot on.

 

By the way. This shapes up like one of those 50's forever and then 80's , no 60's or 70's kinda thing. I know I am wrong, but I swear it feels like that will happen. Winter to the heat of summer, Kentucky, gotta love it.

Your weather forecasts are the ones I trust and depend on for traveling. Your accuracy is uncanny and reminds me of my Dad when he would watch the animals and sky before working on our farms. I'll be happy to "Grandfather you in" as my meteorologist.

I always check your forecast and trust them, we appreciate your expertise in weather. Thank you.

I go to your forecast before any others. I appreciate very much what you do for us on BGP.

nWo...thank you for what you do!

 

I do have one question for you. Why are you able, seemingly, to more accurately predict some of this severe weather than others who do hold higher designations?

nWo...thank you for what you do!

 

I do have one question for you. Why are you able, seemingly, to more accurately predict some of this severe weather than others who do hold higher designations?

 

Well, I don't really know how I compare to others because I don't look at other forecasts. I found in the past that when I did look at forecasts from other places that I would change mine and it would sometimes be wrong. I start looking at a possible weather event around 3 weeks or month in advance. I watch different weather models as the event gets closer. As I do this I fine tune my outlook. Also, I follow a train of thought that the instructor at my first weather spotter class said. He said that you should watch not just the weather in Kentucky but look at the weather from other states to the southeast. Most of Kentucky's severe weather comes from that direction because of the prevailing winds. One other thing. I also look at past history of severe weather in Kentucky. I've found the weather seems to closely repeat its self. For instance, I'm watching the time period of April 5-6 for possible severe weather. This is close to the time period of the severe weather outbreak of 1974. Now I don't want anyone to say I'm saying that is what's going to happen. I'm just watching it because a couple of the long range models are showing the possibility of severe weather.

 

In conclusion, I spend around 2 hours or more a day looking at past and possible future weather events. I increase that time as the event gets closer. I don't have to do it but I just have a passion for it.

Hey now....I think you had a post where you mentioned the possibility of snow in April. Any updates on that? What part of the state was this a possibility?

Well, I don't really know how I compare to others because I don't look at other forecasts. I found in the past that when I did look at forecasts from other places that I would change mine and it would sometimes be wrong. I start looking at a possible weather event around 3 weeks or month in advance. I watch different weather models as the event gets closer. As I do this I fine tune my outlook. Also, I follow a train of thought that the instructor at my first weather spotter class said. He said that you should watch not just the weather in Kentucky but look at the weather from other states to the southeast. Most of Kentucky's severe weather comes from that direction because of the prevailing winds. One other thing. I also look at past history of severe weather in Kentucky. I've found the weather seems to closely repeat its self. For instance, I'm watching the time period of April 5-6 for possible severe weather. This is close to the time period of the severe weather outbreak of 1974. Now I don't want anyone to say I'm saying that is what's going to happen. I'm just watching it because a couple of the long range models are showing the possibility of severe weather.

 

In conclusion, I spend around 2 hours or more a day looking at past and possible future weather events. I increase that time as the event gets closer. I don't have to do it but I just have a passion for it.

 

What ever you do it works! You are my go to!

Thanks for sharing with us!!

Now can you make it stop raining???

Hey now....I think you had a post where you mentioned the possibility of snow in April. Any updates on that? What part of the state was this a possibility?

As we are a week away from the possible event, for now, it looks like it will be east of I-65 and north of the Cumberland Pkwy. I'm not going to post anything about any possible accumulations as of now.