theguru Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 1 Ryle 6A 6 3 - 1 4 .71739 .94083 .49508 .72890 2 Barren County 6A 2 4 - 0 4 .83195 .67810 .51010 .68155 3 DuPont Manual 6A 3 4 - 0 4 1.00000 .41093 .52518 .65138 4 Bullitt East 6A 4 4 - 0 4 .96739 .43476 .49126 .63813 5 Male 6A 4 3 - 0 3 1.00000 .38736 .50662 .63756 6 Madison Central 6A 8 3 - 0 3 .95652 .25377 .70067 .63380 7 Trinity (Louisville) 6A 5 3 - 1 4 .75000 .49443 .62163 .62204 8 Oldham County 6A 5 4 - 0 4 1.00000 .24075 .56314 .60321 9 St. Xavier 6A 3 2 - 1 3 .66667 .62873 .46687 .59345 10 Frederick Douglass 6A 8 2 - 2 4 .50000 .80642 .44262 .59003 11 Great Crossing 6A 6 4 - 0 4 .91438 .08333 .80080 .58944 12 Simon Kenton 6A 6 2 - 2 4 .50000 .74666 .50874 .58895 13 George Rogers Clark 6A 8 3 - 1 4 .75000 .26487 .63793 .54658 14 Henderson County 6A 1 2 - 2 4 .50000 .66973 .45698 .54650 15 Campbell County 6A 6 1 - 3 4 .25000 .87123 .40592 .51421 16 Tates Creek 6A 7 2 - 2 4 .50000 .41095 .59539 .49745 17 Bryan Station 6A 8 1 - 3 4 .25000 .65888 .49497 .46660 18 McCracken County 6A 1 1 - 3 4 .14295 .66677 .58509 .45893 19 North Hardin 6A 2 2 - 2 4 .50000 .38449 .48110 .45390 20 Meade County 6A 3 2 - 2 4 .50000 .28937 .58475 .45171 21 Warren Central 6A 2 2 - 2 4 .41438 .44298 .41889 .42574 22 Ballard 6A 5 1 - 3 4 .25000 .56866 .43781 .41787 23 Lafayette 6A 7 1 - 3 4 .25000 .51438 .48807 .41395 24 Fern Creek 6A 4 1 - 3 4 .25000 .54001 .39869 .39611 25 Eastern 6A 5 2 - 2 4 .50000 .29392 .35212 .38351 26 Paul Laurence Dunbar 6A 7 1 - 3 4 .18900 .45507 .50181 .37597 27 Henry Clay 6A 7 0 - 4 4 .00000 .82076 .25900 .36497 28 Daviess County 6A 1 0 - 4 4 .00000 .57938 .53793 .36416 29 Pleasure Ridge Park 6A 3 1 - 3 4 .25000 .32737 .45912 .33981 30 Central Hardin 6A 2 0 - 4 4 .00000 .49771 .40873 .29682 31 Christian County 6A 1 0 - 3 3 .00000 .44497 .41589 .28051 32 Southern 6A 4 0 - 3 3 .00000 .46985 .33673 .26547 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tigerpride94 Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 These lost me when saw Barren County #2. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gchs_uk9 Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 34 minutes ago, Tigerpride94 said: These lost me when saw Barren County #2. If #29 PRP played #2 Barren County today, wonder who would win? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Unrivaled97 Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 1 hour ago, Tigerpride94 said: These lost me when saw Barren County #2. They lost me when you have teams who are undefeated have a winning percentage less than 1.000%. I guess it all shakes out in the end. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tigerpride94 Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 50 minutes ago, Unrivaled97 said: They lost me when you have teams who are undefeated have a winning percentage less than 1.000%. I guess it all shakes out in the end. It could shake out better at the end if tweaked formula or just adopt Calpreps for seeding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BluegrassFootballFan Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 When winning 4 games against this schedule gets a 6A school the #2 rating in the system that actually determines the playoff seedings, then something must be done! According to the very RPI rating system that vaulted Barren to the #2 spot in 6A, the teams they beat are #'s 16 & 18 four classes below, #25 three classes below & #10 two classes below. That math just ain't mathing. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BluegrassFootballFan Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 1 hour ago, Unrivaled97 said: They lost me when you have teams who are undefeated have a winning percentage less than 1.000%. I guess it all shakes out in the end. Same system that has another team with a 163.4% winning % 4 games into the season. Same system that counts games against Cincinnati St X, Center Grove IN, and St Edward OH as lesser opponents than the current #20 Class A school in Kentucky. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gchs_uk9 Posted September 16 Share Posted September 16 2 hours ago, BluegrassFootballFan said: When winning 4 games against this schedule gets a 6A school the #2 rating in the system that actually determines the playoff seedings, then something must be done! According to the very RPI rating system that vaulted Barren to the #2 spot in 6A, the teams they beat are #'s 16 & 18 four classes below, #25 three classes below & #10 two classes below. That math just ain't mathing. While I know what you mean, just to clarify, it doesn't determine playoff seedings. Those are based on district games in the regular season. It does determine pairings and home-field advantage in the third and fourth round. I highly doubt Barren County is playing at that point - and the RPI will likely have changed at that point as well. However, the math formula is definitely a bit wonky. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Just Truth Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 Just use Calpreps. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oldercoach Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 24 minutes ago, Just Truth said: Just use Calpreps. Have heard multiple times over the years that Calpreps should be used. Can anyone give a brief overview to their methodology or is it basically subjective? Obvious that KHSAA with RPI has tried to take the subjectivity out. But the complexities of expanding OP and OOP calculations to non-Ky opponents becomes too complex. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRaider Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 I think we go through this same conversation every year when it is first released. It could all be avoided if KHSAA waited until week 6-8 to even start to release the RPI. It will change significantly by the end of the season. I still believe the only issue is the out of state games. If we fix that, it should be pretty accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gchs_uk9 Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 1 hour ago, Oldercoach said: Have heard multiple times over the years that Calpreps should be used. Can anyone give a brief overview to their methodology or is it basically subjective? Obvious that KHSAA with RPI has tried to take the subjectivity out. But the complexities of expanding OP and OOP calculations to non-Ky opponents becomes too complex. Not exactly sure of their methodology, but here is a link to how Calpreps' ratings work: https://calpreps.com/ratings.htm And for the sake of this discussion, here are the rankings this week. RPI on the left, Calpreps on the right. I think you can guess which one is more accurate (although 6A RPI is probably as close to correct as any class this week). Ryle --- TRINITY Barren County --- MALE Manual --- ST. XAVIER Bullitt East --- MANUAL Male --- FREDERICK DOUGLASS Madison Central --- RYLE Trinity --- BRYAN STATION Oldham County --- GREAT CROSSING St. Xavier --- MADISON CENTRAL Frederick Douglass --- BALLARD 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Oldercoach Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 1 hour ago, gchs_uk9 said: Not exactly sure of their methodology, but here is a link to how Calpreps' ratings work: https://calpreps.com/ratings.htm And for the sake of this discussion, here are the rankings this week. RPI on the left, Calpreps on the right. I think you can guess which one is more accurate (although 6A RPI is probably as close to correct as any class this week). Ryle --- TRINITY Barren County --- MALE Manual --- ST. XAVIER Bullitt East --- MANUAL Male --- FREDERICK DOUGLASS Madison Central --- RYLE Trinity --- BRYAN STATION Oldham County --- GREAT CROSSING St. Xavier --- MADISON CENTRAL Frederick Douglass --- BALLARD Thanks very much. My first read gave me pause. This 78 year old brain needs a few more passes before I will pretend to grasp it. But, it is apparent that there is no subjectivity in the calculations which is very good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thsrocks Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 I would welcome the opportunity to see Trinity travel to Glasgow in round three of the playoffs. 😁 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Just Truth Posted September 17 Share Posted September 17 5 hours ago, BlueRaider said: I think we go through this same conversation every year when it is first released. It could all be avoided if KHSAA waited until week 6-8 to even start to release the RPI. It will change significantly by the end of the season. I still believe the only issue is the out of state games. If we fix that, it should be pretty accurate. Out of state games do not explain Barren County over Male. The simple fact that it can produce this absurd a result should tell us that the system has major flaws. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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