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6A RPI Rankings - 2024

Featured Replies

1 Ryle 6A 6 3 - 1     4 .71739 .94083 .49508 .72890
2 Barren County 6A 2 4 - 0     4 .83195 .67810 .51010 .68155
3 DuPont Manual 6A 3 4 - 0     4 1.00000 .41093 .52518 .65138
4 Bullitt East 6A 4 4 - 0     4 .96739 .43476 .49126 .63813
5 Male 6A 4 3 - 0     3 1.00000 .38736 .50662 .63756
6 Madison Central 6A 8 3 - 0     3 .95652 .25377 .70067 .63380
7 Trinity (Louisville) 6A 5 3 - 1     4 .75000 .49443 .62163 .62204
8 Oldham County 6A 5 4 - 0     4 1.00000 .24075 .56314 .60321
9 St. Xavier 6A 3 2 - 1     3 .66667 .62873 .46687 .59345
10 Frederick Douglass 6A 8 2 - 2     4 .50000 .80642 .44262 .59003
11 Great Crossing 6A 6 4 - 0     4 .91438 .08333 .80080 .58944
12 Simon Kenton 6A 6 2 - 2     4 .50000 .74666 .50874 .58895
13 George Rogers Clark 6A 8 3 - 1     4 .75000 .26487 .63793 .54658
14 Henderson County 6A 1 2 - 2     4 .50000 .66973 .45698 .54650
15 Campbell County 6A 6 1 - 3     4 .25000 .87123 .40592 .51421
16 Tates Creek 6A 7 2 - 2     4 .50000 .41095 .59539 .49745
17 Bryan Station 6A 8 1 - 3     4 .25000 .65888 .49497 .46660
18 McCracken County 6A 1 1 - 3     4 .14295 .66677 .58509 .45893
19 North Hardin 6A 2 2 - 2     4 .50000 .38449 .48110 .45390
20 Meade County 6A 3 2 - 2     4 .50000 .28937 .58475 .45171
21 Warren Central 6A 2 2 - 2     4 .41438 .44298 .41889 .42574
22 Ballard 6A 5 1 - 3     4 .25000 .56866 .43781 .41787
23 Lafayette 6A 7 1 - 3     4 .25000 .51438 .48807 .41395
24 Fern Creek 6A 4 1 - 3     4 .25000 .54001 .39869 .39611
25 Eastern 6A 5 2 - 2     4 .50000 .29392 .35212 .38351
26 Paul Laurence Dunbar 6A 7 1 - 3     4 .18900 .45507 .50181 .37597
27 Henry Clay 6A 7 0 - 4     4 .00000 .82076 .25900 .36497
28 Daviess County 6A 1 0 - 4     4 .00000 .57938 .53793 .36416
29 Pleasure Ridge Park 6A 3 1 - 3     4 .25000 .32737 .45912 .33981
30 Central Hardin 6A 2 0 - 4     4 .00000 .49771 .40873 .29682
31 Christian County 6A 1 0 - 3     3 .00000 .44497 .41589 .28051
32 Southern 6A 4 0 - 3     3 .00000 .46985 .33673 .26547
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  • Voice of Reason
    Voice of Reason

    We have seen KHSAA RPI enough the past couple years to know it has flaws that go beyond out of state opponents.

  • I'm glad you pointed that out. I've seen some confusion about the bracketing. Below is from the KHSAA with an explanation along with the district breakdowns. https://khsaa.org/2023-and-2024-curre

  • Tigerpride94
    Tigerpride94

    These lost me when saw Barren County #2.

Posted Images

34 minutes ago, Tigerpride94 said:

These lost me when saw Barren County #2.

If #29 PRP played #2 Barren County today, wonder who would win?

1 hour ago, Tigerpride94 said:

These lost me when saw Barren County #2.

They lost me when you have teams who are undefeated have a winning percentage less than 1.000%.  I guess it all shakes out in the end.

50 minutes ago, Unrivaled97 said:

They lost me when you have teams who are undefeated have a winning percentage less than 1.000%.  I guess it all shakes out in the end.

It could shake out better at the end if tweaked formula or just adopt Calpreps for seeding.

When winning 4 games against this schedule gets a 6A school the #2 rating in the system that actually determines the playoff seedings, then something must be done!

According to the very RPI rating system that vaulted Barren to the #2 spot in 6A, the teams they beat are #'s 16 & 18 four classes below, #25 three classes below & #10 two classes below.

That math just ain't mathing. 

Screenshot_20240916_150558_Chrome.thumb.jpg.93d03d8c2d651bab2bd0c9227ee8941f.jpg

1 hour ago, Unrivaled97 said:

They lost me when you have teams who are undefeated have a winning percentage less than 1.000%.  I guess it all shakes out in the end.

Same system that has another team with a 163.4% winning % 4 games into the season.

Same system that counts games against Cincinnati St X, Center Grove IN, and St Edward OH as lesser opponents than the current #20 Class A school in Kentucky.

2 hours ago, BluegrassFootballFan said:

When winning 4 games against this schedule gets a 6A school the #2 rating in the system that actually determines the playoff seedings, then something must be done!

According to the very RPI rating system that vaulted Barren to the #2 spot in 6A, the teams they beat are #'s 16 & 18 four classes below, #25 three classes below & #10 two classes below.

That math just ain't mathing.

While I know what you mean, just to clarify, it doesn't determine playoff seedings. Those are based on district games in the regular season. It does determine pairings and home-field advantage in the third and fourth round. I highly doubt Barren County is playing at that point - and the RPI will likely have changed at that point as well. However, the math formula is definitely a bit wonky.

24 minutes ago, Just Truth said:

Just use Calpreps.

Have heard multiple times over the years that Calpreps should be used.  Can anyone give a brief overview to their methodology or is it basically subjective?  Obvious that KHSAA with RPI has tried to take the subjectivity out.  But the complexities of expanding OP and OOP calculations to non-Ky opponents becomes too complex.

I think we go through this same conversation every year when it is first released. It could all be avoided if KHSAA waited until week 6-8 to even start to release the RPI. It will change significantly by the end of the season. 

 

I still believe the only issue is the out of state games. If we fix that, it should be pretty accurate. 

1 hour ago, Oldercoach said:

Have heard multiple times over the years that Calpreps should be used.  Can anyone give a brief overview to their methodology or is it basically subjective?  Obvious that KHSAA with RPI has tried to take the subjectivity out.  But the complexities of expanding OP and OOP calculations to non-Ky opponents becomes too complex.

Not exactly sure of their methodology, but here is a link to how Calpreps' ratings work:

https://calpreps.com/ratings.htm

 

And for the sake of this discussion, here are the rankings this week. RPI on the left, Calpreps on the right. I think you can guess which one is more accurate (although 6A RPI is probably as close to correct as any class this week).

  1. Ryle --- TRINITY
  2. Barren County --- MALE
  3. Manual --- ST. XAVIER
  4. Bullitt East --- MANUAL
  5. Male --- FREDERICK DOUGLASS
  6. Madison Central --- RYLE
  7. Trinity --- BRYAN STATION
  8. Oldham County --- GREAT CROSSING
  9. St. Xavier --- MADISON CENTRAL
  10. Frederick Douglass --- BALLARD
1 hour ago, gchs_uk9 said:

Not exactly sure of their methodology, but here is a link to how Calpreps' ratings work:

https://calpreps.com/ratings.htm

 

And for the sake of this discussion, here are the rankings this week. RPI on the left, Calpreps on the right. I think you can guess which one is more accurate (although 6A RPI is probably as close to correct as any class this week).

  1. Ryle --- TRINITY
  2. Barren County --- MALE
  3. Manual --- ST. XAVIER
  4. Bullitt East --- MANUAL
  5. Male --- FREDERICK DOUGLASS
  6. Madison Central --- RYLE
  7. Trinity --- BRYAN STATION
  8. Oldham County --- GREAT CROSSING
  9. St. Xavier --- MADISON CENTRAL
  10. Frederick Douglass --- BALLARD

Thanks very much.  My first read gave me pause.  This 78 year old brain needs a few more passes before I will pretend to grasp it.  But, it is apparent that there is no subjectivity in the calculations which is very good.

I would welcome the opportunity to see Trinity travel to Glasgow in round three of the playoffs. ?

5 hours ago, BlueRaider said:

I think we go through this same conversation every year when it is first released. It could all be avoided if KHSAA waited until week 6-8 to even start to release the RPI. It will change significantly by the end of the season. 

 

I still believe the only issue is the out of state games. If we fix that, it should be pretty accurate. 

Out of state games do not explain Barren County over Male. The simple fact that it can produce this absurd a result should tell us that the system has major flaws.

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