Is this just a rumor?

RunFirst, as WestSider pointed out, no one would be forced to play up. It could (and at this point who knows if it will happen) only be an option available to the schools to help them with transportation, fuel costs, needing to leave school early and get back late at night because of the long travels for district games and other related problems due to adding more classes. If my prior post caused any confusion, sorry about that.

 

OK. Thanks.

Anyone have any idea what the districts and/or classes would look like?

Alright, the post below is only a PROJECTION. It is for ENTERTAINMENT purposes only and to give people a BROAD idea as to what MIGHT happen (but almost assuredly WON'T, due to the numerous reasons I'll go into below).

 

It is admittedly going to be somewhat inaccurate for the following reasons:

 

* It is based on enrollment numbers that were used to classify teams for the PREVIOUS cycle (all I had access to from the KHSAA website)

** many schools have undoubtedly gotten significantly larger or smaller since these numbers were posted 2 years ago

** the enrollment numbers I was able to use were for TOTAL enrollment -- rumor has it that they'll use MALE ENROLLMENT only this time

 

* There are some schools that will be new schools playing football that I might have left out or put in the wrong class.

** I added Gallatin Co., Clinton Co., Bishop Brossart, and Jackson Co. and as 1-A schools based on other people's best guesses at their enrollment.

** I added Harlan Co. and estimated them at around the same enrollment as Clay Co. (total guess). I also took out Evarts, Cumberland, and Cawood.

** I left Harrodsburg in since nothing's official there yet.

 

* This is ASSUMING...

** that the KHSAA goes with FIVE classes as this thread alludes

** that they do NOT use arbitrary enrollment numbers as dividers

** or that they allow for a "SuperClass" consisting of the schools with very large enrollments

** that the KHSAA decides to split them up based on the formula of 'the same number of SCHOOLS in each class'

** with the additions and deletions mentioned above (and admittedly, some might be in error), the total number of schools I have playing football is 216.

** 216 does not divide evenly by FIVE -- it would allow for FOUR classes of 43 schools and ONE class of 44

** I have no way of knowing how the KHSAA would determine which of the five classes should have 44, but since it was only ONE, I made it be the MIDDLE class (3A).

 

* ...and would be PRIOR TO any team "moving up in class" (if that were even to be allowed).

 

I'll first post ALL FIVE CLASSES I was able to do based on the CURRENT enrollment numbers.

 

Then, on a separate post, I'll divide the teams in each class geographically to allow one to see what districts/regions MIGHT be possible IF they were to be split in the way I've got it.

Ranked SMALLEST TO LARGEST (by overall enrollment from the last 2-year average corrected numbers)...

 

Classes determined by dividing all 216 football-playing schools by FIVE...

 

1A (43 schools)

Beth Haven (enrollment: 77)

Eminence

Pineville

Jenkins

Paris

Fulton City

Fairview

Harrodsburg

Kentucky Country Day

Williamsburg

Paintsville

Fulton County

Bellevue

Caverna

Ludlow

Phelps

Dayton

Harlan

Raceland

Berea

Bethlehem

Beechwood

Frankfort

Nicholas Co.

Holy Cross (L'ville)

Hazard

Lynn Camp

Russellville

Pikeville

Campbellsville

Lex Christian

Ballard Memorial

Mayfield

Crittenden Co.

South Floyd

Metcalf Co.

Hancock Co.

Trimble Co.

Gallatin Co. (??)

Bishop Brossart (??)

Clinton Co. (??)

Jackson Co. (??)

Allen Central (enrollment: 420.5)

 

2A (43 schools)

Newport Central Catholic (enrollment: 427)

Murray

Holy Cross (Covington)

McLean Co.

Danville

Carroll Co.

Somerset

Christian Acad. L'ville

Bath Co.

Fort Knox

Owen Co.

Bardstown

Green Co.

Todd Co. Central

West Carter

Glasgow

Middlesboro

Trigg Co.

Corbin

Edmonson Co.

Fort Campbell

Reidland

Monroe Co.

Lloyd Memorial

Betsy Layne

Washington Co.

Heath

Shawnee

Webster Co.

Henry Co.

Caldwell Co.

Moore

Belfry

Butler Co.

Breathitt Co.,

Newport

Shelby Valley

Western

Mercer County

DeSales

Garrard Co.

Morgan Co.

O'boro Cath (enrollment: 659)

 

3A (44 schools)

Casey Co. (enrollment: 669)

Hart Co.

Leslie Co.

E. Carter

Prestonsburg

Pike Co. Central

E. Ridge

Fleming Co.

Larue Co.

Lewis Co.

Russell

Muhlenburg South

N. Oldham

Knott Co. Central

E'town

Estill Co.

Powell Co.

Sheldon Clark

Russell Co.

Wayne Co.

Lone Oak

Magoffin Co.

Union Co.

Adair Co.

Taylor Co.

Mason Co.

Paducah Tilghman

Franklin-Simpson

Madison Southern

Highlands

Lawrence Co.

Pendleton Co.

Western Hills

Rockcastle Co.

W. Jessamine

Bourbon Co.

Fairdale

Boyle Co.

Bell Co.

Warren East

Knox Central

Bullitt East

Lex Cath

McCreary Central (enrollment: 869.5)

 

4A (43 schools)

Allen-County Scottsville (enrollment: 871)

N. Bullitt

Waggener

Rowan Co.

Breck Co.

Marion Co.

Franklin Co.

Hopkins Co. Central

Greenup Co.

South Oldham

Harrison County

East Jessamine

Calloway County

Logan County

Anderson County

Doss

Grant County

Covington Catholic

Boyd County

Valley

Central

Ashland Blazer

Bowling Green

Hopkinsville

Oldham County

Pulaski Southwestern

Clay County

Lincoln County

Pulaski County

Madisonville-North Hopkins

Jeffersontown

Perry County Central

Owensboro

Iroquois

Holmes

Atherton

Johnson Central

Montgomery County

Warren Central

Dixie Heights

Scott

Woodford County

Whitley County (enrollment: 1,105)

 

5A (43 schools)

John Hardin (enrollment: 1,120)

Barren County

Fern Creek

South Laurel

Ohio County

North Laurel

Grayson County

Bullitt Central

Ryle

Graves County

Simon Kenton

Conner

Christian County

Greenwood

Boone County

Apollo

Southern

Marshall County

Madison Central

George Rogers Clark

Nelson County

Bryan Station

Shelby County

Central Hardin

Harlan Co. (based on combined enrollments of Evarts/Cumberland/Cawood)

Campbell County

Meade County

N. Hardin

Scott Co.

Daviess Co.

Male

Henderson Co.

Eastern

Henry Clay

Ballard

Seneca

Tates Creek

Manual

PRP

Lafayette

PLDunbar

Trinity

St. X (enrollment --doubled since single-sex: 3,078)

I just love all these hard workers on BGP Thanx Coach J

 

Just from my sketchy knowledge that top class looks pretty fair to the schools.

 

I think the real power grouping is at the top end of 3A:

Highlands

Lawrence Co.

Pendleton Co.

Western Hills

Rockcastle Co.

W. Jessamine

Bourbon Co.

Fairdale

Boyle Co.

Bell Co.

Warren East

Knox Central

Bullitt East

Lex Cath

McCreary Central (enrollment: 869.5)

 

Sorry if I didnt highlight all the power teams (no slights intended)

I think this is the spot that will cause the most complaining, consternation, or create the most questions regarding options to play up (if that is allowed). I can just envision these guys having to submit a blind envelop stating whether they want to play up or not:D

Lots of variables here :confused:

 

That 2A group looks like the most interesting 'new" mix of teams.

 

Thanx again, Woody Jr

By GEOGRAPHY (assuming limit of no more than 6 and no fewer than 5 teams in each district).

 

I used the abbreviations on the left to allow me to more easily sort a spreadsheet into districts/regions. Can't say these are perfect, but they're as good as I could do with my limited Ky. geography knowledge and a Ky. county map.

 

* Abbreviations: fw=far west; w=west; l=louisville; lsw=louisville southwest; sc=south central; b=bluegrass; n=northern; ne=northeast; e=east; se=southeast

 

Region 1, District 1

fw Fulton City

fw Fulton County

fw Ballard Memorial

fw Mayfield

fw Crittenden Co.

 

Reg 1, Dist 2

w Russellville

w Hancock Co.

sc Caverna

sc Clinton Co.

sc Metcalf Co.

 

Reg 2, Dist 1

l Beth Haven

l Eminence

l Kentucky Country Day

l Bethlehem

l Holy Cross (L'ville)

 

Reg 2, Dist 2

b Paris

b Harrodsburg

b Berea

b Frankfort

b Campbellsville

b Lex Christian

 

Reg 3, Dist 1

n Ludlow

n Bellevue

n Dayton

n Beechwood

n Gallatin Co.

n Trimble Co.

 

Reg 3, Dist 2

ne Fairview

ne Raceland

ne Nicholas Co.

e Paintsville

n Bishop Brossart

 

Reg 4, Dist 1

se Pineville

se Williamsburg

se Harlan

se Hazard (could be Dist. 1 or 2)

se Lynn Camp

se Jackson Co.

 

Reg 4, Dist 2

e Jenkins

e Phelps

e Pikeville

e South Floyd

e Allen Central

I missed Letcher Central on the list. Assuming it would be 4A. Maybe I overlooked it??

I would hope that Boyle, CCH, HHS, and LEx CAth come to the big dogs.

I missed Letcher Central on the list. Assuming it would be 4A. Maybe I overlooked it??

 

Good catch. The original list I was using from the KHSAA didn't have LCC on there.

 

I think you're right that they'd be somewhere in 4A. Again, have no idea what the KHSAA would do with determining WHICH class would have an "extra school" beyond 43.

By GEOGRAPHY (assuming limit of no more than 6 and no fewer than 5 teams in each district).

 

I used the abbreviations on the left to allow me to more easily sort a spreadsheet into districts/regions. Can't say these are perfect, but they're as good as I could do with my limited Ky. geography knowledge and a Ky. county map.

 

* Abbreviations: fw=far west; w=west; l=louisville; lsw=louisville southwest; sc=south central; b=bluegrass; n=northern; ne=northeast; e=east; se=southeast

 

Region 1, District 1

fw Fulton City

fw Fulton County

fw Ballard Memorial

fw Mayfield

fw Crittenden Co.

 

Reg 1, Dist 2

w Russellville

w Hancock Co.

sc Caverna

sc Clinton Co.

sc Metcalf Co.

 

Reg 2, Dist 1

l Beth Haven

l Eminence

l Kentucky Country Day

l Bethlehem

l Holy Cross (L'ville)

 

Reg 2, Dist 2

b Paris

b Harrodsburg

b Berea

b Frankfort

b Campbellsville

b Lex Christian

 

Reg 3, Dist 1

n Ludlow

n Bellevue

n Dayton

n Beechwood

n Gallatin Co.

n Trimble Co.

 

Reg 3, Dist 2

ne Fairview

ne Raceland

ne Nicholas Co.

e Paintsville

n Bishop Brossart

 

Reg 4, Dist 1

se Pineville

se Williamsburg

se Harlan

se Hazard (could be Dist. 1 or 2)

se Lynn Camp

se Jackson Co.

 

Reg 4, Dist 2

e Jenkins

e Phelps

e Pikeville

e South Floyd

e Allen Central

 

I would say that Trimble and Bishop Brossart would be switched.

I would say that Trimble and Bishop Brossart would be switched.

 

Not sure where B.B. is exactly located, but that would be putting Trimble -- which is fairly close to L'ville in a district with teams in the Ashland area.

 

I assumed (probably mistakenly) that B.B. was to the East of Covington.

I would hope that Boyle, CCH, HHS, and LEx CAth come to the big dogs.

Are you suggesting that all these teams except CCHS, move up 2 classes?

Because all of them are 3A except CCHS which is 4A.

Not sure where B.B. is exactly located, but that would be putting Trimble -- which is fairly close to L'ville in a district with teams in the Ashland area.

 

I assumed (probably mistakenly) that B.B. was to the East of Covington.

It is, but just by five or 10 miles.

Not sure where B.B. is exactly located, but that would be putting Trimble -- which is fairly close to L'ville in a district with teams in the Ashland area.

 

I assumed (probably mistakenly) that B.B. was to the East of Covington.

Then wouldn't region 2 district 1 be a better choice?