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Hurricane Michael

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The storm is now a category 3 with stained winds over 110 mph. It could be close to, if not actually, a category 4 storm before it hits the panhandle tomorrow. That will do a number on the panhandle.

 

I have a niece at FSU. They are preparing for the worse, there. As a researcher, she has access to the labs on campus during the storm, so she should be safe. She stocked up on food and water when the storm first formed. She also has one of my aero-beds to sleep on.

 

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Lucky for us up north here in NKY a strong weather front is pushing through and this will deflect Michael from making much of an impact up this way. Unfortunately it'll push it into the Carolinas, where they are still recovering from Florence. Luckily it'll pass through quickly and won't hover any landmass where it could do more serious flooding damage.

Storm surge should be a serious concern for those along the Florida panhandle though.

That does look like bad news for the panhandle and a little beyond.

Is now a Cat. 4 Hurricane.

 

1. Life-threatening storm surge is likely along portions of the coasts of the Florida Panhandle, Big Bend, and Nature Coast, where a storm surge warning is in effect. The worst storm surge is expected between Mexico Beach and Keaton Beach, where 9 to 13 feet of inundation is possible. Water levels will rise well in advance of the center of Michael, and residents within the storm surge warning area should finish preparations to protect life and property today.

 

2. Everyone in the hurricane warning area along the Florida Gulf Coast should prepare for life-threatening major hurricane winds associated with the core of Michael. Hurricane force winds will also extend well inland across portions of the Florida Panhandle, southern Georgia, and southeast Alabama as Michael moves inland.

 

3. Heavy rainfall from Michael could produce life-threatening flash flooding from the Florida Panhandle and Big Bend region into portions of Georgia, the Carolinas, and southeast Virginia.

 

4. Tropical storm conditions will likely affect portions of the southeast U.S. coast from northeast Florida through North Carolina, and tropical storm watches and warnings are in effect for these areas.

 

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Sorry I haven't posted sooner. I'm still recovering from my surgery last week. Still in some pain.

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Michael has 145 mph sustained winds as of the 8 am NHC release. It's about 90 miles off the coast between Panama City and Apalachicola. It's going to be another hot day, so this baby is expected strengthen, not weaken, before landfall.

 

Camille came ashore as a Cat 5 (175 mph winds) in 1969. There weren't near as many people living in the area of Mississippi where it hit as there is in the path of Michael. Camille killed 259 people.

 

For reference, Katrina was "only" a Category 3 hurricane when it made landfall.

 

The good news, if you want to call it that, is that Michael is compact. It's not a huge storm area wise. Hurricane force winds do not extend more than 45 miles from the center. Tropical storm force winds extend 185 miles out, so the panhandle is already feeling it, some.

Pineapple Willy's Facebook page has their live web cam still running so you can watch it approach.

There is now another disturbance behind Michael that has a 50% chance of forming into a tropical system

 

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150 mph winds, nearing Category 5 status as it's roughly ~50 miles from making landfall.

 

Anyone down there, or with family down there, stay safe.

My youngest daughter is with a friend and her family in Gulf Shores. They are supposed to be leaving today at 5:00 P.M. Hopefully they are far enough away from the hurricane force winds that they will not have any issues getting home.

I'm glued to The Weather Channel for the rest of the afternoon. It's nuts that it's so close to the coast yet still gaining strength.

I'm glued to The Weather Channel for the rest of the afternoon. It's nuts that it's so close to the coast yet still gaining strength.

 

I saw the duplex on the beach we stayed at on spring break a few minutes ago. Panama City Beach is about to get HAMMERED.

I saw the duplex on the beach we stayed at on spring break a few minutes ago. Panama City Beach is about to get HAMMERED.

 

I've been watching for about an hour. It's crazy the difference in water level where the guy is reporting in Apalachicola.

I've been watching for about an hour. It's crazy the difference in water level where the guy is reporting in Apalachicola.

 

Yeah, that's pretty hairy. It's going to be a mess.

 

I'm keeping an eye on those cranes at PCB. There is so much construction going on those things are everywhere. No way they all make it, that's my prediction.

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