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Road to Kentucky Derby 141

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it looks like we now have an extra ticket to the box at the Oaks. One of the guys has a really bad flu.

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The post position draw is encouraging to me and my pre-draw picks. Still rolling on Dortmund-Frosted-Mubtaahij.

Haven't really done much research yet. Need to get on it.

 

On name alone I like War Story and Carpe Diem.

Do you think 18 is a bad draw for AP?

American Pharoah, War Story, Mr. Z

Do you think 18 is a bad draw for AP?

 

I don't.

Do you think 18 is a bad draw for AP?

 

I don't. Keeps him out of the trouble and if he's the best, he'll prove it from the 18 hole.

  • Author
Do you think 18 is a bad draw for AP?

 

I don't think the 18-hole is a bad spot in itself; I worry that starting just outside Mr.Z will be the problem. That horse won't win, but he's a little wild and I really think he's going to mess with AP off the start.

I don't think the 18-hole is a bad spot in itself; I worry that starting just outside Mr.Z will be the problem. That horse won't win, but he's a little wild and I really think he's going to mess with AP off the start.

 

Mr. Z chased AP in the AD and faded slightly down the stretch, finishing 3rd. I really believe AP is much better than the rest of the field. The only way AP loses this race if he has traffic problems.

Do you think 18 is a bad draw for AP?

 

I think he needs to sit off the speed so that should give him the opportunity to get a good position. I worry about Carpe Diem in the 2 hole though.

  • Author
Mr. Z chased AP in the AD and faded slightly down the stretch, finishing 3rd. I really believe AP is much better than the rest of the field. The only way AP loses this race if he has traffic problems.

 

I don't think Mr. Z is a very good horse. The only thing he's going to do is have a weird start and quite possibly prevent AP from getting to the spot he wants. That's what gives me hesitation on AP with this draw.

I am really excited about this race, and I can't decide which way I want to go. Past performances and pedigrees for both Dortmund and AP are outstanding. However, it will be really interesting to see if Mubtaahij is for real..and at 1 1/4. International Star is undefeated in 2015, but only one New York horse has won the Derby.

Two questions:

 

Whose some of the best finishers/closers in the field?

 

Whose the long shot to mess up everyone's boxed in Trifectas?

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