October 18, 201213 yr Probably not. They can't afford trades like that at this point. Price is about to get paid. You are giving away a good pitcher at a reasonable price and 2 young guys with great potential. Hamilton is the guy they have been missing for YEARS. He's going to be cheap for a long time. Adding Price would eat any additional money they have to spend to improve in other areas of need. Pitching isn't a priority at this point IMO. Reds starters ERA was 5 out of 30 - Pretty good Reds OBP from the #1 was worst in all of MLB by nearly 30 points. There is no such thing as having too much starting pitching. I don't care if it was #1 out of 30, they still should try to improve it. Price would give them 3 aces all capable of winning the CY Young. He'd be under team control for the next 3 seasons. That OBP # will be much improved if they have Phillips in the leadoff spot for the entire season, do you not agree?
October 18, 201213 yr There is no such thing as having too much starting pitching. I don't care if it was #1 out of 30, they still should try to improve it. Price would give them 3 aces all capable of winning the CY Young. He'd be under team control for the next 3 seasons. That OBP # will be much improved if they have Phillips in the leadoff spot for the entire season, do you not agree? Being under team control doesn't do much good when's going to be making $10M a year at least. I agree with Phillips but ideally you want someone with speed at that spot.
October 18, 201213 yr Being under team control doesn't do much good when's going to be making $10M a year at least. I agree with Phillips but ideally you want someone with speed at that spot. You really think Homer will be making that much less than that? He's arb. eligible as well. He made roughly $2.5M this season, I'd say he'll probably get around $6-6.5M next year.
October 18, 201213 yr Not much chance Price is in the Reds crosshairs. I agree, I just disagree with the notion they shouldn't think about moving Homer.
October 18, 201213 yr Author I would only move Homer for better starting pitching. What about a good leadoff and a #3 or #4?
October 18, 201213 yr You really think Homer will be making that much less than that? He's arb. eligible as well. He made roughly $2.5M this season, I'd say he'll probably get around $6-6.5M next year. Price will be into the $15-20 M range by the end. The Rays aren't taking that deal anyway.
October 18, 201213 yr What about a good leadoff and a #3 or #4? If the #3 is better than Bailey. As Arroyo gets older he's going to fall into that definite 4 spot. Homer has a chance to solidify himself in the 3 spot so that guy has to be proven and have better recent success. You may have to spend some money for one year, until Hamilton is ready, for the leadoff spot.
October 18, 201213 yr What about a good leadoff and a #3 or #4? I think the only way to justify that transaction would be if you could sign the "good" leadoff for a relatively lengthy contract. However, considering the leadoff in waiting is nearly ready to be on the big club, I doubt that happens. I agree with Crash they may have a rent-a-leadoff.
October 19, 201213 yr Even as the President of the BGP Homer Bailey Fan Club I will admit that now may be the time to look into trading him. He's at the highest point he's ever been. If you can get immediate help in key areas you have to consider it. I agree. If you can find another GM that thinks he is worth MUCH more than you do, move him. If you don't find someone willing to pay WELL ABOVE what you think he is worth, keep him. In a market like Cincinnati, you do not have the luxury of paying Homer (via arbitration) off of his 2012 season (particularly strong finish) and seeing him revert to 2010 or 2011 form. While I don't think he will revert, it is certainly possible. Just like the stock market -- sell HIGH, and buy LOW. (Same reasoning they likely won't resign Ludwick -- other GMs will THINK he is worth more than Walt KNOWS he is worth.)
October 19, 201213 yr Pitching, Pitching, Pitching. You don't trade good young pitching. No way the Reds trade Bailey.
October 20, 201213 yr Hamilton singled, stole second, scored on an groundout from 2nd in a Fall League game this week. Crazy speed. Can't wait until he's ready for MLB. Why on earth is he playing fall ball? Get him hurt before spring training after playing a full Minor League season.
October 20, 201213 yr Why on earth is he playing fall ball? Get him hurt before spring training after playing a full Minor League season. Learning CF...
October 20, 201213 yr Why on earth is he playing fall ball? Get him hurt before spring training after playing a full Minor League season.Because the Arizona Fall League is where the game's best prospects play. Hamilton is playing with and against the best minor leaguers in the game. It's part of the developmental process.
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