November 4, 201213 yr Fivethirtyeight now has the President with an 85% chance of winning. Why the increase? A gain in a particular state or just time running out for Romney to make up ground?
November 5, 201213 yr Pew had the race 50%-47% yesterday in favor of Obama. What is the percentage of Dems in the Pew poll? I understand it to be high.
November 5, 201213 yr Author What is the percentage of Dems in the Pew poll? I understand it to be high. I'm not sure. I just saw the numbers. Their accuracy in the previous two elections is what gets my attention. I'm not exactly sure how they conduct their polling.
November 5, 201213 yr I'm not sure. I just saw the numbers. Their accuracy in the previous two elections is what gets my attention. I'm not exactly sure how they conduct their polling. I could swear that I heard it was like an 8% over sampling of Democrats. I could be way off but I think it was on Real Clear Politics.
November 5, 201213 yr Author I could swear that I heard it was like an 8% over sampling of Democrats. I could be way off but I think it was on Real Clear Politics. Could be...I just don't know. I'll be checking their numbers when they come out tomorrow to see how they fare this time around.
November 5, 201213 yr I could swear that I heard it was like an 8% over sampling of Democrats. I could be way off but I think it was on Real Clear Politics. That number sounds like something I heard as well. No clue on its accuracy though.
November 5, 201213 yr Here it is. Dick Morris said it is a 4% over sampling of Democrats Dick Morris Stands By Prediction: Romney Will Win 325 Electoral Votes | RealClearPolitics Take it for what's it worth.
November 5, 201213 yr Why the increase? A gain in a particular state or just time running out for Romney to make up ground? Late polling. Momentum.
November 5, 201213 yr Author Morris is an intelligent guy (Yes, Papa, I said that :lol:), but I think he's missed the mark big-time on this one. And did I see George Will make a similar prediction?
November 5, 201213 yr Here it is. Dick Morris said it is a 4% over sampling of Democrats Dick Morris Stands By Prediction: Romney Will Win 325 Electoral Votes | RealClearPolitics Take it for what's it worth. Anyone willing to take their paycheck and put it on Morris' prediction?
November 5, 201213 yr Anyone willing to take their paycheck and put it on Morris' prediction? Couldn't the same be said for of these predictions?
November 5, 201213 yr Couldn't the same be said for of these predictions? Which predictions are under "these?"
November 5, 201213 yr Anyone willing to take their paycheck and put it on Morris' prediction? I didn't put a paycheck on it, but I have some decent money on Romney +325 and even more on Romney +300 in Ohio.
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.