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Track the Reds (Week 3)

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Ten at-bats hardly constitutes a "hot bat" ... and let's be honest, Janish has years of history in the minor leagues and a brief cup of coffee with the Reds that says he isn't a very good hitter.

 

I don't think anyone here is professing their love for Gonzalez. They're simply acknowledging that he is the Reds' most viable option at the moment.

 

Throughout Janish's 5 seasons in the minors, he has posted a .261 average with 32 HR, 207 RBI, 34 SB, 210 BB compared to 293 K and an OBP% of .349.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=janish001pau

 

 

Gonzalez's 7 season minor league career (which includes brief stints in 2000 (A league), 2002 (Rookie league) & 2006 (AAA)), he hit .267 with 31 HR, 164 RBI, 82 BB compared to 231 K, and an OBP% of .320.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/minors/player.cgi?id=gonzal003ale

 

In Gonzalex's 1st MLB season (where he got 86 AB's), he hit .151 with 3 HR, 9 BB & 30 K in 98 plate appearances.

 

Janish had a very similar start to his career:

.188 batting avg., 1 HR & 6 RBI in 80 AB's (89 Plate appearances) with 7 BB compared to 18 K's.

 

 

What gives?

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How long do you give Gonzo before demoting him? What's the minimum he has to do offensively to warrant the starting position?

 

 

I would think you would at least give him a full month or so, and I would think hitting around .240 would keep him in the lineup.

They then traded Burke to Seattle on March 25th, and just now reacquired him from the Mariners.

 

That is correct. My point was that they had interest in Burke long before their regular SS went down.

  • Author
That is correct. My point was that they had interest in Burke long before their regular SS went down.

 

 

As a backup. My point is if the Padres thought Janish was an everyday SS they certainly would have tried to acquire him before reacquiring Burke.

I would think you would at least give him a full month or so, and I would think hitting around .240 would keep him in the lineup.

 

Then get Janish ready. To get to .240 over the next 30 days he's going to have to hit over .300.

As a backup. My point is if the Padres thought Janish was an everyday SS they certainly would have tried to acquire him before reacquiring Burke.

 

The same could be said for almost every SS in the league.

  • Author
Then get Janish ready. To get to .240 over the next 30 days he's going to have to hit over .300.

 

 

I'm talking .240 over the next month.

  • Author
The same could be said for almost every SS in the league.

 

 

You think every SS in the league would be available?

You think every SS in the league would be available?

 

By your logic, wouldn't that imply that the Padres value Burke more than Gonzo too?

Ten at-bats hardly constitutes a "hot bat" ... and let's be honest, Janish has years of history in the minor leagues and a brief cup of coffee with the Reds that says he isn't a very good hitter.

 

I don't think anyone here is professing their love for Gonzalez. They're simply acknowledging that he is the Reds' most viable option at the moment.

 

And right now Gonzo is not a very good hitter either. He has never been a good hitter, but even worst this year. While as I Janish these days is just about as good defensively as Gonzo. So while not atleast give the younger guy a chance, since they both offer about the same these days. I mean Janish is not going to knock the cover off the ball, however if he could just hit a little bit better than Gonzo has so far this year. Then that would help the team. I just don't see the harm in giving Janish the start for a few games in a row, so see if he can atleast help out a little more than Gonzo has at the moment. Its not like its going to hurt anything, it could either help or be the same. There is not much risk at doing that, so I don't see the reasoning for why not to.

  • Author
By your logic, wouldn't that imply that the Padres value Burke more than Gonzo too?

 

 

No, how do you get that? I think they knew that Gonzo wouldn't be available since the Reds didn't have another SS in their system that is ready to be an everyday SS at the ML level.

Throughout Janish's 5 seasons in the minors, he has posted a .261 average with 32 HR, 207 RBI, 34 SB, 210 BB compared to 293 K and an OBP% of .349.
His production noticeably declined as he moved up the ladder. In a little over a full season at Louisville, his OBP was in the .310 range.

In Gonzalex's 1st MLB season (where he got 86 AB's), he hit .151 with 3 HR, 9 BB & 30 K in 98 plate appearances.

 

Janish had a very similar start to his career:

.188 batting avg., 1 HR & 6 RBI in 80 AB's (89 Plate appearances) with 7 BB compared to 18 K's.

One big difference ... Gonzalez was 21 years old when he made it to the major leagues. Janish was in the rookie leagues at age 21 and didn't make the majors until he was 25.

 

At that point in his career, Gonzalez was already an everyday shortstop.

As a backup. My point is if the Padres thought Janish was an everyday SS they certainly would have tried to acquire him before reacquiring Burke.

 

 

No, how do you get that? I think they knew that Gonzo wouldn't be available since the Reds didn't have another SS in their system that is ready to be an everyday SS at the ML level.

 

The Padres acquired Burke in the offseason. Obviously they thought highly enough of him back in the Winter. Then, due to who knows what, he was traded. A player goes down, and Burke is (presumably) their #1 option again.

 

How does that have any impact on their thinking about the Reds' SS? If they were looking for an every day SS, then why would they go after Janish? Why wouldn't they go after Gonzo? Couldn't it be that they want neither?

And right now Gonzo is not a very good hitter either. He has never been a good hitter, but even worst this year. While as I Janish these days is just about as good defensively as Gonzo. So while not atleast give the younger guy a chance, since they both offer about the same these days. I mean Janish is not going to knock the cover off the ball, however if he could just hit a little bit better than Gonzo has so far this year. Then that would help the team. I just don't see the harm in giving Janish the start for a few games in a row, so see if he can atleast help out a little more than Gonzo has at the moment. Its not like its going to hurt anything, it could either help or be the same. There is not much risk at doing that, so I don't see the reasoning for why not to.
Once again, we're barely two weeks into the season. If Gonzalez is still hitting poorly by the end of May, then it might be time to look into making a change.

 

There is nothing in Janish's history that says he can hold the job, either.

His production noticeably declined as he moved up the ladder. In a little over a full season at Louisville, his OBP was in the .310 range.

One big difference ... Gonzalez was 21 years old when he made it to the major leagues. Janish was in the rookie leagues at age 21 and didn't make the majors until he was 25.

 

At that point in his career, Gonzalez was already an everyday shortstop.

 

Janish won a national title at Rice. Should that be held against him?

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