Will there be any upsets in Round 1?

[Bac2369]

What’s your thoughts and opinions? Tell us that upset.

[ChizeL822]

It wouldn’t surprise me to see either Glasgow or Taylor County win their first round games.

Both have very strong run games and when healthy, play good defense. Being able to run the ball effectively in November is key. 

[TheBearsFavoriteHat]

I wouldn't be surprised if District 6 in 2A has at least 3 teams advancing. 

[Voice of Reason]

Any game where the lower seed wins is technically an upset. I will add to the list games that are within a 2 TD spread. Using that criteria, here are ...

Class 1A possible upsets:

Berea over Dayton

Ludlow over Frankfort

Bracken County over Paintsville

Sayre over Harlan

 

Class 2A possible upsets:

Murray over Butler County

McLean County over Caldwell County (yes, McLean is the lower seed)

Newport over Walton Verona

Holy Cross over Carroll County

Leslie County over Martin County

Prestonsburg over Middlesboro

 

Class 3A:

Glasgow over Union County

Trigg County over Hart County

Taylor County over Paducah Tilghman

Nelson County over Henry County

Mercer County over Elizabethtown

 

Class 4A:

Hopkinsville over Franklin Simpson

North Oldham over Valley

Clay County over Wayne County

 

Class 5A:

South Warren over Graves County (Graves County is the higher seed)

Seneca over Bullitt Central

Cooper over Scott County

North Laurel over Collins

 

Class 6A:

McCracken County over Meade County

North Hardin over Daviess County

George Rogers Clark over Tates Creek

 

 

 

[WishboneCity]

Berea has a chance to win their first playoff game in school history at Dayton; imo that would be a big upset and huge for the Pirate program.

[gchs_uk9]

12 hours ago, Voice of Reason said:

Any game where the lower seed wins is technically an upset...

If we are just looking at lower seeds beating higher seeds, then I think the following may happen:

• Sayre over Harlan
• Murray over Butler County
• McLean County over Caldwell County (Caldwell has played better of late, though)
• Hopkinsville over Franklin-Simpson (depending on which Hopkinsville shows up)
• North Oldham over Valley (I don't believe this would be an upset, however)
• South Warren over Graves County
• North Laurel over Collins (both teams seemed better earlier in the year than they do today)
• George Rogers Clark over Tates Creek

[Jumper_Dad]

Seems like there were 3 or 4 upsets by seed in most classes, except for 6A.

[BLUEHOUND]

Was Tates Creek over GRC an upset?

[Stepchild68]

Went through the list of games and counted 9 or 10 road victories

South Warren at Graves being one....so would you call those upsets?  I am not sure.   Just find it amazing that only 10 teams won on the road!

https://scoreboard.12dt.com/scoreboard/khsaa/kyfb22

Thoughts?

[Voice of Reason]

6 minutes ago, Stepchild68 said:

Went through the list of games and counted 9 or 10 road victories

South Warren at Graves being one....so would you call those upsets?  I am not sure.   Just find it amazing that only 10 teams won on the road!

https://scoreboard.12dt.com/scoreboard/khsaa/kyfb22

Thoughts?

How many road wins do you want? I think ten road wins is a statement in favor of the current playoffs.

[Voice of Reason]

8 hours ago, BLUEHOUND said:

Was Tates Creek over GRC an upset?

Depends. I think most people would have said GRC should win even on the road. But Tates Creek was the higher seed.

[theguru]

8 hours ago, BLUEHOUND said:

Was Tates Creek over GRC an upset?

Maybe a slight upset but they are generally average teams that don't matter this year. 

[Ram]

1 hour ago, TheBearsFavoriteHat said:

I haven't had the time to check, but I am curious how many 4's made it competitive and how many won. 

I don't think the team playing is important, so I will post the scores and the seeds.

Class 1A:  

• 1 - 53 vs 4 - 14
• 2 - 14 vs 3 42
• 2 - 27 vs 3 - 7
• 1 - 52 vs 4 - 0 
• 2 - 50 vs 3 - 13
• 1 - 36 vs 4 - 14
• 1 - 48 vs 4 - 6
• 2 - 33 vs 3 - 21
• 1 - 63 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 42 vs 3 - 7
• 2 - 34 vs 3 - 6 

One upset, a 3 seed over a 2 seed.  No 4 seeds won.  

Average margin of victory 43.6 to 9.3

 

Class 2A

• 1 - 43 vs 4 - 22
• 2 - 21 vs 3 - 27
• 1 - 54 vs 4 - 8
• 2 - 7 vs 3 - 15
• 1 - 58 vs 4 - 21
• 2 - 49 vs 3 - 16
• 1 - 48 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 30 vs 3 - 41
• 1 - 22 vs 4 - 12
• 2 - 42 vs 3 - 7
• 1 - 55 vs 4 - 0 
• 2 - 35 vs 3 - 6
• 1 - 55 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 46 vs 3 - 40 
• 1 - 55 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 42 vs 3 - 30

3 upsets, all 3 seeds over 2 seeds.  No 4 seeds won. 

Average margin of victory 42.9 to 13.8

 

Class 3A

• 1 - 50 vs 4 - 20
• 2 - 43 vs. 3 - 36
• 1 - 40 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 37 vs 3 - 0
• 1 - 1 vs 4 - 0 (forfeit)
• 2 - 34 vs 3 - 37
• 1 - 56 vs 4 - 14 
• 2 - 49 vs 3 - 13
• 1 - 53 vs 4 - 7
• 2 - 21 vs 3 - 0
• 1 - 33 vs 4 - 0 
• 2 - 52 vs 3 - 18
• 1 - 49 vs 4 - 6 
• 2 - 56 vs 3 - 14
• 1 - 26 vs 4 - 14
• 2 - 47 vs 3 - 0

One upset, a 3 seed over a 2 seed.  No 4 seeds won. 

Average margin of victory 40.6 to 11.0

 

Class 4A

• 1 - 35 vs 4 - 14
• 2 - 17 vs 3 - 24
• 1 - 46 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 39 vs 3 - 12
• 1 - 56 vs 4 - 28
• 2 - 36 vs 3 - 0
• 1 - 1 vs 4 - 0 (forfeit)
• 2 - 0 vs 3 - 41
• 1 - 50 vs 4 - 6
• 2 - 14 vs 3 - 28
• 1 - 41 vs 4 - 14
• 2 - 49 vs 3 - 0 
• 1 - 55 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 61 vs 3 - 6
• 1 - 36 vs 4 - 7
• 2 - 49 vs 3 - 21

Three upsets, all 3 seeds over 2 seeds.  No 4 seeds won. 

Average margin of victory 40.5 to 8.6

 

Class 5A

• 1 - 54 vs 4 - 16
• 2 - 36 vs 3 - 14
• 1 - 49 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 7 vs 3 - 36
• 1 - 34 vs 4 - 0 
• 2 - 52 vs 3 - 14
• 1 - 42 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 0 vs 3 - 50 
• 1 - 49 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 56 vs 3 - 20
• 1 - 50 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 21 vs 3 - 0
• 1 - 49 vs 4 - 6
• 2 - 53 vs 3 - 35
• 1 - 41 vs 4 - 14
• 2 - 28 vs 3 - 42

Three upsets, all 3 seeds over 2 seeds.  No 4 seeds won. 

Average margin of victory 44.6 to 9.6

 

Class 6A

• 1 - 48 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 41 vs 3 - 34
• 1 - 33 vs 4 - 6
• 2 - 34 vs 3 -  27
• 1 - 53 vs 4 - 0
• 2 - 45 vs 3 - 23
• 1 - 48 vs 4 - 18
• 2 - 37 vs 3 - 18 
• 1 - 55 vs 4 - 14
• 2 - 42 vs 3 - 12
• 1 - 54 vs 4 - 7
• 2 - 47 vs 3 - 14
• 1 - 48 vs 4 - 34
• 2 - 49 vs 3 - 10
• 1 - 41 vs 4 - 0
• 2 -20 vs 3 - 19

No upsets. 

Average margin of victory 43.4 to 14.8

[Ram]

Totals regardless of class

• 11 total upsets, all 3 seeds over 2 seeds.
• No 4 seeds won. 
• All 1 seeds advanced. 
• Average margin of victory:  42.6 to 11.2

[WKY_Football]

7 minutes ago, Ram said:

Totals regardless of class

• 11 total upsets, all 3 seeds over 2 seeds.
• No 4 seeds won. 
• All 1 seeds advanced. 
• Average margin of victory:  42.6 to 11.2

I can see taking Top 3, giving the 1 seed a bye, & then letting those other normally 4 seed type teams play an extra game on a Thursday or Saturday. 

A lot of 2 vs 3 games are competitive. There is no district strong enough in the current state of KY HS FB where the 4 seed is beating a 1 seed imo. 
 

Prime example is Marshall County going to Simon Kenton. Marshall County was the #5 Seed in their district if I’m not mistaken.