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RPI Tracking 2A

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Voice of Reason

Voice of Reason

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image.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifimage.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifimage.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifimage.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifThe race for home field and the number 2 seed in 2A is going to be an interesting one to follow. Beechwood closed the gap significantly with a win over a 6A opponent this week but Mayfield still has the lead in KHSAA RPI. image.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifFollowing these numbers week by week will be a good study in how KHSAA RPI works. Here are the numbers from previous weeks:

Below is the week 6 ranking.
 
1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 6 - 0     6 1.26046 .99917 .59114 .96821
2 Mayfield 2A 1 6 - 0     6 1.34396 .44881 .58226 .80215
3 Beechwood 2A 6 5 - 0     6 1.19335 .43966 .60255 .75232
4 Butler County 2A 2 4 - 1     6 .97726 .60867 .54429 .71836
5 Green County 2A 3 5 - 0     6 .99162 .47138 .56862 .68263
6 Middlesboro 2A 7 6 - 0     6 .93820 .43479 .54901 .64525
7 Murray 2A 1 3 - 1     6 .83213 .54819 .49852 .63267
8 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 2     6 .84024 .42939 .53896 .60606
9 Danville 2A 4 4 - 2     6 .84845 .40818 .53451 .60018
10 West Carter 2A 8 3 - 2     6 .63330 .60449 .53816 .59467

 

RPI entering week 7:

1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 5 - 0     5 1.33859 .92339 .59732 .97089
2 Mayfield 2A 1 5 - 0     5 1.41275 .54821 .66129 .88473
3 Beechwood 2A 6 5 - 0     5 1.33202 .43184 .68495 .82284
4 Green County 2A 3 4 - 0     5 .98994 .54372 .53822 .69825
5 Butler County 2A 2 3 - 1     5 .97272 .48487 .60024 .69023
6 Middlesboro 2A 7 5 - 0     5 .92584 .53189 .51696 .66529
7 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 1     5 1.00828 .32537 .59928 .64657
8 Hancock County 2A 2 4 - 1     5 1.11243 .17398 .55772 .61756
9 Murray 2A 1 2 - 1     5 .69441 .61270 .49731 .60668
10 Caldwell County 2A 1 3 - 2     5 .66838 .49844 .57020 .57945
 
 
Here is the RPI entering week 8:
 
1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 6 - 0     7 1.15183 .86991 .59024 .88468
2 Mayfield 2A 1 7 - 0     7 1.29482 .50729 .55795 .79812
3 Beechwood 2A 6 6 - 0     7 1.27271 .44075 .60991 .78268
4 Green County 2A 3 6 - 0     7 .97422 .47147 .56564 .67568
5 Butler County 2A 2 4 - 2     7 .83765 .63888 .46571 .65650
6 Middlesboro 2A 7 7 - 0     7 .94703 .40627 .53526 .63423
7 West Carter 2A 8 4 - 2     7 .68569 .63845 .51129 .61684
8 Murray 2A 1 4 - 1     7 .85611 .46350 .49403 .61007
9 Hancock County 2A 2 5 - 2     7 .93745 .27008 .59568 .60134
10 Danville 2A 4 4 - 3     7 .72725 .50980 .50415 .58421
11 Metcalfe County 2A 3 5 - 2     7 .80267 .33364 .54033 .55980
12 Caldwell County 2A 1 4 - 3     7 .62027 .50688 .51424 .54878
13 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 3     7 .72020 .38449 .51500 .54114
14 Shelby Valley 2A 8 3 - 3     7 .54283 .52407 .46597 .51321
15 Walton-Verona 2A 5 4 - 3     7 .64582 .39317 .49213 .51128

 

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gbballfan21
gbballfan21

I think that everyone is forgetting about Opponents and their wins ... which is part of the reason why Beechwood made a nice jump this past week.  Will McCracken, Paducah Tilghman, Hopkinsville w

zoneblitz2
zoneblitz2

I know we are focusing on Mayfield and Beechwood but I find it comical that two teams that Owensboro Catholic beat by an average of 40 points are ahead of them in the RPI. 

gbballfan21
gbballfan21

There are no 6A scrubs lining up to play Beechwood. Scheduling for Beechwood is always tough, and the RPI is making it extremely tough to find willing dance partners that make sense.

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gbballfan21

gbballfan21

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Just now, Voice of Reason said:

image.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifThe race for home field and the number 2 seed in 2A is going to be an interesting one to follow. Beechwood closed the gap significantly with a win over a 6A opponent this week but Mayfield still has the lead in KHSAA RPI. image.gif.7bdb4c610b98a76c65707de32933626f.gifFollowing these numbers week by week will be a good study in how KHSAA RPI works. Here are the numbers from previous weeks:

Mayfield has their bye week coming up, that will hurt them just like it hurt Beechwood last week.

Voice of Reason

Voice of Reason

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RPI as of 9/28 (week 5 results, entering week 6)

Beechwood 27 Covington Catholic 7

Mayfield 56 Calloway County 13

 
1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 5 - 0     5 1.33859 .92339 .59732 .97089
2 Mayfield 2A 1 5 - 0     5 1.41275 .54821 .66129 .88473
3 Beechwood 2A 6 5 - 0     5 1.33202 .43184 .68495 .82284
4 Green County 2A 3 4 - 0     5 .98994 .54372 .53822 .69825
5 Butler County 2A 2 3 - 1     5 .97272 .48487 .60024 .69023
6 Middlesboro 2A 7 5 - 0     5 .92584 .53189 .51696 .66529
7 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 1     5 1.00828 .32537 .59928 .64657
8 Hancock County 2A 2 4 - 1     5 1.11243 .17398 .55772 .61756
9 Murray 2A 1 2 - 1     5 .69441 .61270 .49731 .60668
10 Caldwell County 2A 1 3 - 2     5 .66838 .49844 .57020 .57945
 

RPI as of 9/25 (week 6 results, entering week 7)

Beechwood --- OPEN

Mayfield 55 Ft. Campbell 0

 
1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 6 - 0     6 1.26046 .99917 .59114 .96821
2 Mayfield 2A 1 6 - 0     6 1.34396 .44881 .58226 .80215
3 Beechwood 2A 6 5 - 0     6 1.19335 .43966 .60255 .75232
4 Butler County 2A 2 4 - 1     6 .97726 .60867 .54429 .71836
5 Green County 2A 3 5 - 0     6 .99162 .47138 .56862 .68263
6 Middlesboro 2A 7 6 - 0     6 .93820 .43479 .54901 .64525
7 Murray 2A 1 3 - 1     6 .83213 .54819 .49852 .63267
8 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 2     6 .84024 .42939 .53896 .60606
9 Danville 2A 4 4 - 2     6 .84845 .40818 .53451 .60018
10 West Carter 2A 8 3 - 2     6 .63330 .60449 .53816 .59467

 

RPI as of 10/2 (week 7 results, entering week 8)

Beechwood 21 Dixie Heights 14

Mayfield 35 Caldwell County 16

1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 6 - 0     7 1.15183 .86991 .59024 .88468
2 Mayfield 2A 1 7 - 0     7 1.29482 .50729 .55795 .79812
3 Beechwood 2A 6 6 - 0     7 1.27271 .44075 .60991 .78268
4 Green County 2A 3 6 - 0     7 .97422 .47147 .56564 .67568
5 Butler County 2A 2 4 - 2     7 .83765 .63888 .46571 .65650
6 Middlesboro 2A 7 7 - 0     7 .94703 .40627 .53526 .63423
7 West Carter 2A 8 4 - 2     7 .68569 .63845 .51129 .61684
8 Murray 2A 1 4 - 1     7 .85611 .46350 .49403 .61007
9 Hancock County 2A 2 5 - 2     7 .93745 .27008 .59568 .60134
10 Danville 2A 4 4 - 3     7 .72725 .50980 .50415 .58421
11 Metcalfe County 2A 3 5 - 2     7 .80267 .33364 .54033 .55980
12 Caldwell County 2A 1 4 - 3     7 .62027 .50688 .51424 .54878
13 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 3     7 .72020 .38449 .51500 .54114
14 Shelby Valley 2A 8 3 - 3     7 .54283 .52407 .46597 .51321
15 Walton-Verona 2A 5 4 - 3     7 .64582 .39317 .49213 .51128

 

RPI as of 10/9 (week 8 results, entering week 9):

Beechwood 56 Holy Cross 7

Mayfield --- OPEN

1 Lexington Christian 2A 4 7 - 0     8 1.13285 .80391 .61130 .86126
2 Beechwood 2A 6 7 - 0     8 1.23862 .42664 .59973 .76276
3 Mayfield 2A 1 7 - 0     8 1.19547 .49786 .53965 .75456
4 Green County 2A 3 7 - 0     8 1.01771 .43415 .55408 .67438
5 Middlesboro 2A 7 8 - 0     8 .95365 .43275 .52481 .64268
6 West Carter 2A 8 5 - 2     8 .72498 .63384 .50587 .62735
7 Butler County 2A 2 4 - 3     8 .73295 .56863 .50860 .60813
8 Hancock County 2A 2 5 - 2     8 .88277 .34356 .56542 .59884
9 Danville 2A 4 5 - 3     8 .76134 .48669 .53855 .59838
10 Murray 2A 1 5 - 1     8 .87410 .39265 .50066 .59356
11 Metcalfe County 2A 3 5 - 2     8 .76483 .35888 .53199 .55290
12 Caldwell County 2A 1 5 - 3     8 .66774 .44841 .53304 .55056
13 Owensboro Catholic 2A 2 3 - 5     8 .37500 .77723 .47703 .54639
14 McLean County 2A 2 4 - 3     8 .69268 .40595 .50573 .53624
15 Martin County 2A 8 6 - 3     9 .68332 .42545 .46938

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Voice of Reason

Voice of Reason

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RPI as of 9/28 (week 5 results, entering week 6)

Beechwood 27 Covington Catholic 7

Mayfield 56 Calloway County 13

Mayfield leads by .06189 in RPI

________________________________________________________

RPI as of 9/25 (week 6 results, entering week 7)

Beechwood --- OPEN

Mayfield 55 Ft. Campbell 0

Mayfield leads by .04983 (Beechwood gained 0.01206)

__________________________________________________________

RPI as of 10/2 (week 7 results, entering week 8

Beechwood 21 Dixie Heights 14

Mayfield 35 Caldwell County 16

Mayfield leads by .01544 (Beechwood gained 0.03439)

__________________________________________________________

RPI as of 10/9 (week 8 results, entering week 9):

Beechwood 56 Holy Cross 7

Mayfield --- OPEN

Beechwood leads by .0082 (Beechwood gained 0.02364)

 

 

Voice of Reason

Voice of Reason

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This coming week(10/15):

Mayfield plays Ballard Memorial (RPI .32428), the weakest team left on their schedule.

Beechwood plays Lloyd Memorial (RPI .44336)

Assuming both win, Beechwood should extend their lead over Mayfield in RPI.

The next week (10/22) Mayfield plays Murray and Beechwood plays Newport. Assuming both win, Mayfield should gain some points because Murray is a better RPI by about .15 above Newport. It will be very close heading into the last game.

The final games are Beechwood vs. 1A Newport Catholic (RPI currently .59470; record 5-2) and Mayfield at 4A Madisonville-North Hopkins (RPI currently .41772; record 2-6). Looking at the records and RPI most of us would think advantage Beechwood. However, this is where the biggest flaw in KHSAA RPI will show itself. Because Madisonville-North Hopkins is a 4A school, Mayfield will gain RPI points. Record doesn't matter much. RPI of the opponent doesn't matter much. Simply because Mayfield beats a 4A school they will get extra points in RPI.

theguru

theguru

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7 minutes ago, Voice of Reason said:

This coming week(10/15):

Mayfield plays Ballard Memorial (RPI .32428), the weakest team left on their schedule.

Beechwood plays Lloyd Memorial (RPI .44336)

Assuming both win, Beechwood should extend their lead over Mayfield in RPI.

The next week (10/22) Mayfield plays Murray and Beechwood plays Newport. Assuming both win, Mayfield should gain some points because Murray is a better RPI by about .15 above Newport. It will be very close heading into the last game.

The final games are Beechwood vs. 1A Newport Catholic (RPI currently .59470; record 5-2) and Mayfield at 4A Madisonville-North Hopkins (RPI currently .41772; record 2-6). Looking at the records and RPI most of us would think advantage Beechwood. However, this is where the biggest flaw in KHSAA RPI will show itself. Because Madisonville-North Hopkins is a 4A school, Mayfield will gain RPI points. Record doesn't matter much. RPI of the opponent doesn't matter much. Simply because Mayfield beats a 4A school they will get extra points in RPI.

The RPI is flawed. 

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Bud_Kilmer

Bud_Kilmer

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1 minute ago, theguru said:

The RPI is flawed. 

Very! Someone has to explain why Butler County is so high, as well as Hancock and McLean. I mean, come on now! Surely it will all get balanced out by end of year. I know your top 3 is clear, but huge problems below that. 
 

do you get more credit for beating a horrible team that is several classes larger than you than for beating a good school of the same size?

theguru

theguru

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Posted
Just now, Voice of Reason said:

Agree. The major flaw is giving too many points for beating a school that has more students.  

Right, given the nature of the RPI that is a major flaw. 

Bud_Kilmer

Bud_Kilmer

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To me it seems the best strategy for RPI among smaller schools who are decent is to schedule as many 5A and 6A cupcakes as possible. And they are out there especially in the western part of the state.

theguru

theguru

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Just now, snakesnot_2000 said:

What you're saying is that if Mayfield and Beechwood wins out then Beechwood is going to travel.

It looks like it will be really close.

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