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Tropical Storm Irma

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  • Author
Winds down to 130 and Cat 4 with the latest advisory. Most think it will strengthen again before it hits Florida.

 

While there will be a chance for strengthening as Irma passes over the warm water of the Florida straights the latest forecast discussion has westerly wind shear developing in about 24 hours that may dampen the strengthing of Irma. It will still be a very dangerous hurricane without much intensification.

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All these models look like the state of Kentucky will be impacted by the remnants of this storm. How bad does it look for us here??

 

Hoping my friends and family (as well as everyone else) in Florida stay safe. Everyone I know is riding the storm out at home.

  • Author
All these models look like the state of Kentucky will be impacted by the remnants of this storm. How bad does it look for us here??

 

Hoping my friends and family (as well as everyone else) in Florida stay safe. Everyone I know is riding the storm out at home.

 

As of now looks like widespread 1-2" of rain with winds around 20 mph with higher gusts. Starting on Tuesday. Irma should be just a tropical depression by the time it reaches Kentucky.

  • Author

Here's another risk from Irma that is growing before Irma makes landfall in Florida.

 

Tornado Risk growing for south Florida.

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1631

NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK

0748 AM CDT Sat Sep 09 2017

 

Areas affected...Portions of southeastern FL and Keys

 

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

 

Valid 091248Z - 091615Z

 

Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent

 

SUMMARY...The tornado risk, while currently on the marginal side,

will increase throughout the morning and (per the forthcoming SPC

convective outlook) continue to ramp up later today as more of the

favorable sector of Hurricane Irma's envelope spreads across the

region. As the tornado threat gradually grows, a watch may be

needed at some point in the next few hours.

 

mcd1631.gif

  • Author

Tornado Warning just issued for Colier County, FL

Currently a Category 3 with winds at 125mph at the 11am advisory.

Tornado Warning just issued for Colier County, FL

 

Home of Miami Dolphins great Ray Finkle.

High school friends of mine own a catering business in Homestead--Miami Dade County. They have 6 children and about 16 grandchildren, stocked up and hunkering down together. Posting up video on fb.

From their pictures, it's interesting how people park their cars on the grass right up next to/parallel to the houses.

  • Author

Updates will start coming every hour from the National Hurricane Center until the eye of Irma is no longer visible on radar.

Tornado Warning just issued for Colier County, FL

 

Home of Miami Dolphins great Ray Finkle.

 

Also the Home of theguru's Daddy.

  • Author

2:00 am EDT update from National Hurricane Center:

 

At 200 AM EDT, the eye of Hurricane Irma was located near

latitude 23.7 North, longitude 81.3 West. Irma is moving slowly

northwestward toward the lower Florida Keys at near 6 mph.

A turn toward the north-northwest with an increase in forward speed

is expected through late Monday. On the forecast track, the center

of Irma is expected to cross the Lower Florida Keys during the next

several hours, and then move near or along the west coast of Florida

this afternoon through Monday morning. Irma should then move inland

over the Florida panhandle and southwestern Georgia Monday

afternoon.

 

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft

indicate that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 130 mph with

higher gusts. Irma is now a category 4 hurricane on

the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Irma is forecast to

restrengthen a little more while it moves through the Straits of

Florida and remain a powerful hurricane as it approaches the Florida

Keys and the west coast of Florida.

 

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles from

the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205

miles. A private anemometer at Marathon Key, Florida,

recently reported a wind gust of 88 mph.

 

034247_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind.png

 

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034247WPCQPF_sm.gif

  • Author

Another by product of Irma. Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible.

 

FL_swody1.png

  • Author

Irma is now a cat 4 hurricane with wind gusts up to cat 5 category.

Over 1 million without power already.

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