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Has the Reds Window Closed?

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Are you sure about that? Except for San Francisco in 2010 each of the last 5 World Series winners were better than the MLB average in runs scored and on base percentage. Here's how they break down:

 

2013 Boston: 1st in Runs, 1st in OBP, 14th in ERA

2012 San Francisco: 12th in Runs, 8th in OBP, 7th in ERA

2011 Saint Louis: 5th in Runs, 3rd in OBP, 12th in ERA

2010 San Francisco: 17th in Runs, 20th in OBP, 1st in ERA

2009 New York: 1st in Runs, 1st in OBP, 12th in ERA

 

The 2010 San Francisco team was the only team to win with a below average offense and they led all of MLB in ERA. You've got to have some balance and you have to be able to get on base and score some runs.

 

Depends on how you look at it. From my perspective, while I'd LOVE a WS. I really just want a team that competes with a legit shot of making the WS. I'd take a NLCS, at this point.

 

Like I said, if you're talking WS Champs then yes, they need a little more of a balance. To be able to compete with all teams in a 5/7 game series, pitching takes you further than offense. I'd take my chances with that any day.

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The "window" is directly proportional to one's pitching staff.

 

Agreed, I still think this is a 90 win team as it stands if healthy.

Are you sure about that? Except for San Francisco in 2010 each of the last 5 World Series winners were better than the MLB average in runs scored and on base percentage. Here's how they break down:

 

2013 Boston: 1st in Runs, 1st in OBP, 14th in ERA

2012 San Francisco: 12th in Runs, 8th in OBP, 7th in ERA

2011 Saint Louis: 5th in Runs, 3rd in OBP, 12th in ERA

2010 San Francisco: 17th in Runs, 20th in OBP, 1st in ERA

2009 New York: 1st in Runs, 1st in OBP, 12th in ERA

 

The 2010 San Francisco team was the only team to win with a below average offense and they led all of MLB in ERA. You've got to have some balance and you have to be able to get on base and score some runs.

 

Yes I'm sure. Their is a better chance to improve your lineup in July and August than there is to improve your starting rotation. They have holes. Starting pitching isn't one if them. If they're buyers for offense they have a chance...ie 2102 Giants added Pence.

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I am not optimistic about the starting pitching staying healthy all year. Cueto, Latos, Cig all with injuries last year ...........I just do not see them all lasting an entire season and not missing starts.

I'm not ready to make a prediction until Bronson finds a home.

Yes I'm sure. Their is a better chance to improve your lineup in July and August than there is to improve your starting rotation. They have holes. Starting pitching isn't one if them. If they're buyers for offense they have a chance...ie 2102 Giants added Pence.

 

The numbers don't bear that out. The Reds pitching has been fine the last couple of years but their offense hasn't been good enough to make a run in the playoffs.

.......

 

Under .500.

 

You think they'll be under .500?

I have a feeling that the BP tumor is an issue for MTGL. He's in the hopes they get it excised.

I have a feeling that the BP tumor is an issue for MTGL. He's in the hopes they get it excised.

 

I get the "cancer in the clubhouse" type stuff. I just don't see how trading BP makes them a better ballclub this year.

The numbers don't bear that out. The Reds pitching has been fine the last couple of years but their offense hasn't been good enough to make a run in the playoffs.

 

I disagree. They were a freak injury to Johnny Cueto away from advancing to the NLCS just two years ago and made the playoffs last year. They were just fine offensively and the runs scored stats recently show that. You have to be pretty lucky in the playoffs to advance. Boston got extremely lucky to win game 2 of this years ALCS or there may be a totally different champion. I will agree that the Reds need to improve their offense at some point this season, but their window is most certainly open with their pitching staff.

You think they'll be under .500?

 

Yes...decidedly. I said it when they fired Dusty, and I knew what other shoes would drop, they'd win 75 games. Nothing has been done since to change my opinion.

I get the "cancer in the clubhouse" type stuff. I just don't see how trading BP makes them a better ballclub this year.

 

It doesn't.

Yes...decidedly. I said it when they fired Dusty, and I knew what other shoes would drop, they'd win 75 games. Nothing has been done since to change my opinion.

 

Nothing else has happened since they fired Dusty....

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