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Reds @ Astros September 16th-18th

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Huh? :idunno:

 

Oh ... lefty versus righty?

 

Um yeah.

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Um yeah.

 

Yeah, I will be interested in hearing his explanation for that one.

That little girl's pitching mechanics are horrible. Off balance, lands too hard. Just terrible.

What do the stats tell us about percentage of the time a runner scores after being sac bunted to 2nd with no outs ... versus not bunting? I would like to see that stat.

 

And the wonderful world of google has an answer for my question above:

 

From 1993-2010, if a team had a runner on first base with no outs, on average it would score .941 runs from that point until the end of the inning.

 

If a team had a runner on second base with one out, the average was .721 runs from that point forward.

 

So, let's say a batter walks to lead off an inning. If the team hits away, on average it will score almost one run in the inning. If it successfully bunts and now has a runner on second with one out, it has just decreased the run expectancy by 23 percent.

 

The decline is similar for a runner on first base with one out. It's similar for a runner on second base, and it's similar for runners on first and second. For every conceivable base/out situation, a sacrifice bunt reduces a team's expected number of runs in that inning.

 

The reason is that outs are a commodity. They are the currency by which the game is governed, and willfully giving up an out is never worth the extra base that a bunt can provide. It's trading a piece of gold for a piece of silver.

 

This likely has always been true, or at least since the Deadball Era ended in 1920.

 

From 1950-68, much of which was a pitching-dominated period, bunting a runner from first to second with nobody out reduced a team's run expectancy by 19 percent.

 

Full article: http://www.columbian.com/news/2012/jun/16/bunting-in-baseball-can-be-downright-medieval/

  • Author

Brent Spence Bridge @SpenceBridge

I find the Reds' approach of constant bunting to be pretty outdated, and in need of some major renovation.

Well looks like Chapman will be well rested for the off day tomorrow.

Finally!!! Reds take back the lead in the top of the 13.

Chapman blows Carter away on three pitches.

 

Good morning, good afternoon and good night.

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