September 19, 201214 yr Author If people really want to go by the numbers. Then who the Reds may play also needs to count in this, and with it being the Giants most likely. If you go by the numbers there is even a better candidate to pitch on the road than Homer against them. It is Mike Leake. Over this last three starts against the Giants he has given up a total of 3 runs over 23 innings. In his last two starts on the road against the Giants Leake is 2 and 0 and has given up 1 run total over the last 17 innings against them. In his one start this year against them on the road he pitched a complete game giving up just one run. So if people want to use the numbers in deciding who should pitch what game, then Mike Leake needs to be added in this discussion for game two. With that said if they do split up Latos and Cueto I still would have Arroyo in game two over anyone else. I agree that it should be Latos, Cueto, Leake, Arroyo or Bailey.
September 19, 201214 yr If you're counting on Arroyo and Bailey to pitch games 3 or 4 at home you're making a huge mistake. 4 of the 5 SF starters are significantly worse on the road. They have to pitch in the same park the Reds do. The games in SF will be low scoring. You have to pitch the two guys who give you the best chance of holding SF to 1-2 runs. That's Latos and Cueto.
September 19, 201214 yr Author Edit again. Fuzzy math, no shock to anyone. That's why I don't even attempt it. I'd rather make up the numbers anyway.
September 19, 201214 yr 4 of the 5 SF starters are significantly worse on the road. They have to pitch in the same park the Reds do. The games in SF will be low scoring. You have to pitch the two guys who give you the best chance of holding SF to 1-2 runs. That's Latos and Cueto. No way you go Cueto and Latos back to back opening on the road. That's why the Reds already moved the rotation around last week putting Arroyo between Latos and Cueto. GM 1 Cueto CM 2 Arroyo GM 3 Latos CM 4 Bailey GM 5 Cueto
September 19, 201214 yr Author With game 3 meaning you advance, gain the series lead or go home...I wouldn't be surprised to see Cueto or Latos in that roll.
September 19, 201214 yr Only 1 game back of Washington. I think we'll be playing in Atlanta or Los Angeles to start.
September 19, 201214 yr Only 1 game back of Washington. I think we'll be playing in Atlanta or Los Angeles to start. I would be happy with that.
September 19, 201214 yr I would love it if somehow the Reds played in Atlanta. I would definitely be making the 2 1/2 hour trip to see it if the tickets were reasonable.
September 19, 201214 yr I would be happy with that. That would be great if Hudson and Kershaw are both used in the 1 game playoff.
September 19, 201214 yr Kershaw is out for the year (99.99% chance) and possibly some of next year last I saw.
September 19, 201214 yr Phillips 4, Stubbs 8, Votto 3, Ludwick 7, Bruce 9, Rolen 5, Navarro 2, Valdez 6, Leake 1
September 19, 201214 yr So you expect the 2 Aces to throw all 5 games, possibly? You need to throw the C anyway. A, A, C, A, A. Pretty simple. That isn't an option if you go A, C, A.
September 19, 201214 yr That would be great if Hudson and Kershaw are both used in the 1 game playoff. I think Kershaw is having some health issues too. It would be nice to be the 1 seed.
September 19, 201214 yr Kershaw is out for the year (99.99% chance) and possibly some of next year last I saw. I heard today he might give it a go again this year. It's a hip issue and a doctor said he couldn't make it any worse. I haven't looked around for confirmation on that though.
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