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Rocks and Cards

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  1. Any knowledge of the type of offenses run by these quarterbacks? I think Trinity's offense tries to go vertical too often. I would like to see more of a West Coast offense with slants and yards after catch.
  2. The comment that the Out of State (OOS) factor of 0.5610 is supposed to be reviewable piques my interest and leads to my comments. No party should have to ask for a review. The entire model should be reviewed by the KHSAA every season and adjustments need to be made (if necessary), especially to any subjective factors such as OOS or up/down in class factors. I would start with adjusting the model to more accurately reflect the actual results to the expected results - we simple country actuaries (retired) call this Actual to Expected or A to E. Start with 2025 Expected and make adjustments to reflect 2025 Actual. Apply these adjustments to prior years and converge on better subjective factors. Another point is in the past four seasons the team with the higher RPI has won 13 of 24 (54%) championships and when a number one RPI rated team is playing for the championship the number one teams are 8 of 17 (47%). Neither of these percentages would lead me to believe this model has much credibility. Adding to this, 2024 and 2025 are particularly telling in that higher rated teams are 4 of 12 and number ones are 3 of 9 in championship games. In the past two years the higher rated team winning has been 33% and the number one wins 50% for the past three years. As stated above: 1 through 4 rated teams fill the semi-final bracket 91.67% of the time. The model to this point is showing a substantially higher level of credibility, however I would expect the number one team to win more than 8 of 24 championships (17 appearances). I realize the biggest subjective factor in the playoffs is that the teams are composed of teenage boys and things (football and otherwise) that happen in their lives which RPI can never capture. But I would like to see a more robust rating system that is reviewed/updated every year. My suggestions to improve the process are to annually update the model using actual results or use another rating system. Using another rating system would free up resources at the KHSAA to concentrate on other matters but I understand wanting to have more say/control of the process. Using another rating system would require back testing. This would help determine the best system to use.
  3. The green t is subtle and clever.
  4. I am very happy to see this. After the 2023 state championship I spoke with Sekou's father and told him I thought Sekou played as well on defense as Zane did on offense.
  5. We sneezed last week. This week Male catches pneumonia... As I remember it, the original quote was about General Motors. I don't remember who it was referring to. I changed it from a cold to pneumonia.
  6. All past sins committed against Trinity have now been forgiven.
  7. I won’t go this far but he is a Trinity guy and I will be pulling for him to succeed.
  8. The option is very difficult to defend if you never see it. Madison Central runs it well. Their defense is a different story. We scored at will.
  9. One of the coaches commented last night that Zane's run took three minutes off the clock.
  10. Kickoff is 730 per Trinity Twitter: ‼️SCHEDULE UPDATE‼️ Trinity’s varsity football playoff game on Friday, Nov. 7 vs. Great Crossing has been adjusted to a 7:30pm kickoff. Gates at Marshall Stadium will now open for fans at 6:00pm. Go Rocks. ☘️?
  11. I was pleased to see Coach Cobb "discuss" the, at best, non-existent defensive pass interference calls. He is way too passive for me.
  12. I realize the Bluegrass Preps crowd is sophisticated, urbane, cosmopolitan, erudite, etc. and my not relate to the following but I think it is applicable. I was watching wresting when Randy "Macho Man" Savage made his WWF debut. Jesse "The Body" Ventura was on the mic singing his praises. Of course, Macho Man was in the ring against a jobber/jabroni. Macho Man grabbed his opponent's head and ran from one turnbuckle to the other rubbing the opponent's head on the top rope the entire length of the rope. Jesse was very impressed and said "that is a move straight outta Jesse "The Body's" book". This is the highest praise. I consider Kevin Wallace announcing his retirement a year in advance is a move "straight outta Jesse "The Body's" book". For the sophisticated crowd I consider Coach Wallace's announcement "princely".
  13. Trinity vs St. X. Playoffs ticket update. The initial allotment for digital tickets has sold out. Digital ticket sales are paused until Monday evening after each school has had the opportunity to sell tickets to its students and determine capacity limits after those sales. ☘️? From Trinity Twitter - not calling it X for obvious reasons…
  14. The Wall Street Journal recently had a very informative 529 article - article date was 5/2. It was withdrawal advice more so than general information, but still good info. The link below is unlocked and hopefully will work. https://www.wsj.com/articles/withdraw-from-529-college-saving-plan-8f217b6a?st=vb1rmos4nyhvd4x&reflink=desktopwebshare_permalink

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