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Mayfield vs. Hazard Predictions

Who wins? 55 members have voted

  1. 1. Who wins?

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Hey TP... I had hoped you were a good guy and not the person you sometimes tend to be on here.

 

You guys were too good to give crap too. Don't get me wrong, I would love to give you guys crap but you guys deserve better. Giving you all crap would be low after the game you all played besides next year I can tease you guys a little when it is not a fresh wond without getting you guys truly mad at me. Bw proved to be a monster of a team and I know when I am lucky to get a win. I also thought we proved ourselves to be just incredible. Had you told me at the begining of the season we would be playing for the title with Bw on our side of the bracket I would have never believed it. The job Mayfield has done this year to knock off a Bw team of that caliber is nothing shot of remarkable. I dread driving up there next year but look forward to the game and a tour of the new complex. Hint hint...

Anyone have any information on Hazard? I know last year they were pass happy.

 

Last season, Hazard's passing game accounted for about 54% of their total yardage. This year that was down to about 47%. With regards to play selection, in 2010, their run pass ratio was roughly 60/40 in favor of the run. This year it is more like 65/35 in favor of run. So, they do run the ball a little more than last year, but there isn't a drastic difference. They returned all of their top skill position players. The biggest difference is a new QB.

 

Blanton is the primary back, but they have some other guys who will get some touches and are solid runners. In the passing game, they return their top 3 receivers and all gained over 600 yards and accounted for 26 TD receptions in 2011.

 

This year's QB isn't as good a runner as last year's, but he is capable of picking up some yards with his legs. That would be one difference, IMO. Whitaker completed 58% of his passes for about 175 yards per game with 28 TD and 5 picks.

 

The biggest difference is that the offense isn't quite as explosive. Whitaker is a good QB, but Combs last season completed nearly 75% of his passes, threw for about 80 yards more per game, and threw 20 more TD passes against the same number of picks. (The stat comparison for both guys is taken through 14 games.) Consequently, the scoring average is down about a TD per game.

 

I agree with some others who point to Mayfield's defense. The two best defenses Hazard faced this year were most likely Breathitt County and Somerset. Breathitt allowed around 12 points per game and Somerset was a little more than that prior to giving up 48 last week. I suspect Mayfield's defense is better. In those two games Whitaker was 20/44 for 342 yards with 3 TD/2 Int and the running game produced 187 yards on 43 attempts. Take the QB yardage away and just the RB's had 28 carries for 165 in those two games. Hazard was shut out against Somerset. They did score 34 points against Breathitt County, but that number could be misleading with regards to their offense. They benefitted from a plethora of Bobcat mistakes that lead to 27 first quarter points. Their only other score was a kick return late in the fourth. The Bobcats really stymied their offense once they quit shooting themselves in the foot.

 

I focus on Whitaker because I believe Hazard will have to rely on their passing game meaning he will have to play well. Two reasons - I expect Mayfield to take away the run and I expect them to score some points which will force Hazard to keep up. Both of those factors will lead to Hazard having to rely on the passing game.

 

One other point is that Hazard typically enjoys a speed and athleticism advantage on a weekly basis. The tables get turned against Mayfield (like last year) and that is a tough adjustment to make. It is much like what Breathitt County suffered a few years ago against Central in the state finals.

Hey TP...I really appreciate the hospitality from both your family and westsider. I had hoped you were a good guy and not the person you sometimes tend to be on here. I would love to have met Snake, but by then his legs were already dangling from #9's butt ;)

 

You guys were every bit as advertised and it was certainly a classic football game that I will remember forever. The woulda/coulda/shoulda/what if's always come up after intense contests and are a total waste of time because the outcome never changes. I'm just glad it ended with the outcome of the game still hanging and hopefully proved we were also as advertised.

 

I would like for you to extend my Son's deepest apologies to the senior that was carted off the field. He felt/heard his ankle break and it is still bothering him really bad. Especially after reading he was a senior. My boy plays hard, but he's still a kid and feels just terrible. Also, I knew nothing about Coach Morris, but after he and the staff took my Son to the side to talk with him after the game...I will forever be grateful for what he did and said to my boy.

 

Lastly, you and Snake just need to just stop sandbagging about the Hazzard game. Same stuff different game! No way will their defense be as strong/athletic/fast off the line or secondary as you just faced. I will also guarantee their running game can't compete...the best match-up for a state championship game just took place :)

 

Good luck, Man!

 

Love this post. Class just like the Beechwood program. Your son has nothing to apologize about. Playing hard and clean is what the game is all about. Seth was going 100% and so was your son. I wish I could have met your son and told him personally how well he and the rest of the Beechwood team played.

Last season, Hazard's passing game accounted for about 54% of their total yardage. This year that was down to about 47%. With regards to play selection, in 2010, their run pass ratio was roughly 60/40 in favor of the run. This year it is more like 65/35 in favor of run. So, they do run the ball a little more than last year, but there isn't a drastic difference. They returned all of their top skill position players. The biggest difference is a new QB.

 

Blanton is the primary back, but they have some other guys who will get some touches and are solid runners. In the passing game, they return their top 3 receivers and all gained over 600 yards and accounted for 26 TD receptions in 2011.

 

This year's QB isn't as good a runner as last year's, but he is capable of picking up some yards with his legs. That would be one difference, IMO. Whitaker completed 58% of his passes for about 175 yards per game with 28 TD and 5 picks.

 

The biggest difference is that the offense isn't quite as explosive. Whitaker is a good QB, but Combs last season completed nearly 75% of his passes, threw for about 80 yards more per game, and threw 20 more TD passes against the same number of picks. (The stat comparison for both guys is taken through 14 games.) Consequently, the scoring average is down about a TD per game.

 

I agree with some others who point to Mayfield's defense. The two best defenses Hazard faced this year were most likely Breathitt County and Somerset. Breathitt allowed around 12 points per game and Somerset was a little more than that prior to giving up 48 last week. I suspect Mayfield's defense is better. In those two games Whitaker was 20/44 for 342 yards with 3 TD/2 Int and the running game produced 187 yards on 43 attempts. Take the QB yardage away and just the RB's had 28 carries for 165 in those two games. Hazard was shut out against Somerset. They did score 34 points against Breathitt County, but that number could be misleading with regards to their offense. They benefitted from a plethora of Bobcat mistakes that lead to 27 first quarter points. Their only other score was a kick return late in the fourth. The Bobcats really stymied their offense once they quit shooting themselves in the foot.

 

I focus on Whitaker because I believe Hazard will have to rely on their passing game meaning he will have to play well. Two reasons - I expect Mayfield to take away the run and I expect them to score some points which will force Hazard to keep up. Both of those factors will lead to Hazard having to rely on the passing game.

 

One other point is that Hazard typically enjoys a speed and athleticism advantage on a weekly basis. The tables get turned against Mayfield (like last year) and that is a tough adjustment to make. It is much like what Breathitt County suffered a few years ago against Central in the state finals.

 

Thank you very much for a well informed post.

Well said 5wide

Hey TP...I really appreciate the hospitality from both your family and westsider. I had hoped you were a good guy and not the person you sometimes tend to be on here. I would love to have met Snake, but by then his legs were already dangling from #9's butt ;)

 

You guys were every bit as advertised and it was certainly a classic football game that I will remember forever. The woulda/coulda/shoulda/what if's always come up after intense contests and are a total waste of time because the outcome never changes. I'm just glad it ended with the outcome of the game still hanging and hopefully proved we were also as advertised.

 

I would like for you to extend my Son's deepest apologies to the senior that was carted off the field. He felt/heard his ankle break and it is still bothering him really bad. Especially after reading he was a senior. My boy plays hard, but he's still a kid and feels just terrible. Also, I knew nothing about Coach Morris, but after he and the staff took my Son to the side to talk with him after the game...I will forever be grateful for what he did and said to my boy.

 

Lastly, you and Snake just need to just stop sandbagging about the Hazzard game. Same stuff different game! No way will their defense be as strong/athletic/fast off the line or secondary as you just faced. I will also guarantee their running game can't compete...the best match-up for a state championship game just took place :)

 

Good luck, Man!

final game is this weekend,you guys can only come in third.
final game is this weekend,you guys can only come in third.

I think Mayfield got beat the same way last year by LCA,And i pretty sure Hazard would beaten them too.

You can run your mouth when you win,Hazard will be back next year,I hope Mayfield will two.

 

Our Hazard buddy is back from last year. mean, glad you guys are back just as you predicted. Do you have another prediction for us? The last 2 quotes were made after the 2010 title but this is the only way I know of to bring them forward from another thread

Our Hazard buddy is back from last year. mean, glad you guys are back just as you predicted. Do you have another prediction for us? The last 2 quotes were made after the 2010 title but this is the only w

ay I know of to bring them forward from another thread

No,no prediction,just glad to get another chance to play Mayfield for the state finals.Hope both teams play their best and injury free.

I realize it's the state championship, but I hope the Cards can put the emotional win from last week behind them. I think the big/easier than expected win 2 years ago against Beechwood led to the slow start/lopsided loss to Lex Christian in the '09 championship.

 

Mayfield came out and played determined and focused in this game last year while Hazard really struggled in many facets. Obviously, part of that was attributed to Mayfield. However, it went from bad to worse very quickly before halftime. Hazard is likely in the same position Mayfield was in last year's game, out to prove they are better than they showed. I can't imagine Hazard, who can pass the ball with some success, won't be better prepared mentally this year. As 5wide mentioned in his synopsis, Hazard will bring the same mix of run and pass keeping Mayfield honest.

 

I went 24-14 in the Beechwood game.

 

Going Mayfield 35 -20 this week.

Well said 5wide

 

Thanks.

 

That's just my opinion as someone who is familiar with Hazard due to them being near my team and actually playing them this year. I suspect some Hazard fans could offer more. But, that's the way I see things.

Mayfield 38- Hazard 7. I wish both teams good luck and health, but Mayfield is just too good this year (as usual!!)! Have a safe trip Mayfield fans and good luck from Rocket Land.

Wouldn't be surprised to see Hazard score 28 to 35 points.....Hazard has athletic kids and a very good quarterback......upset may be in the making!!!!

Wouldn't be surprised to see Hazard score 28 to 35 points.....Hazard has athletic kids and a very good quarterback......upset may be in the making!!!!

 

I keep trying to think how to reply without hurting feelings and I just can't come up with anything. Good luck.

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