On 11/3/2024 at 4:47 PM, DragonFire said:

Saying that we already know the higher seed is going to win in over 70% of the games beyond a doubt is not the flex you think it is. And that's assuming that you are correct on all of these as truly in doubt.  A few local ones jump out at me immediately as "absolutely no chance" that you listed -

Barren County/Henderson County - Henderson County is going to win and win decisively. Beyond the entire lack of playoff success Barren County has shown, including getting throttled by Henderson County just two years ago, Henderson County beat Central Hardin by 31, a team Barren County lost to, resulting in them ending up in this game at all.

Madisonville/Bowling Green - Beyond what we really know of these teams (one being a state title contender and the other being Madisonville) - they have two common opponents in Owensboro and Apollo.  Bowling Green beat Owensboro by three touchdowns and Madisonville lost to the Red Devils.  Bowling Green put a running clock on Apollo, and Madisonville and Apollo were tied going into the fourth quarter in a game Madisonville won by a touchdown.  Don't be surprised if Bowling Green running clocks them.

Glasgow/Union County - Glasgow has the name and history, so this likely was a reputation choice, I assume.  This is one of the worst Glasgow teams I recall.  There aren't common opponents for me to point to, but I will note these two do have recent playoff history, and Union County beat them by four touchdowns just two years ago.  Union County's win over Greenwood is better than absolutely every one of Glasgow's, and they won it comfortably. 

I would speculate that two of these may go running clock, if not all three.

So much for absolutely no chance. Barren County gets the upset win over Henderson County.

BG wins easily but no running clock.

Union County easy win. If they got a running clock, it was late in the game.

On 11/6/2024 at 1:48 PM, Falcon Pride said:

Tagging on what AlBundy said:

No fourth place teams in playoffs however they play another fourth place team the first week of playoffs.

Gives each team an opportunity to go out with a win.

Two #4 seeds got wins tonight and there were a couple other 4 vs 1 seed games that were competitive. 

1 minute ago, Voice of Reason said:

So much for absolutely no chance. Barren County gets the upset win over Henderson County.

BG wins easily but no running clock.

Union County easy win. If they got a running clock, it was late in the game.

Yeah, I already took my L in the postgame thread for the Barren County game! But hey, it’s like Meat Loaf says…

 

On 11/7/2024 at 6:03 AM, BluegrassFootballFan said:

I always think back to 1997 when a thread like this pops up.

Class AA District 5 standings

Boyle County 10-0 (6-0)

Danville 9-1 (5-1)

Bourbon County 7-3 (4-2)

Lexington Catholic 7-3 (3-3)

 

The district swept round 1 with an average score of 39-10 across the 4 games, including 4 seed Lex Cath knocking off 1 seed Rockcastle Co 28-7.

Lex Cath then beat Danville (2) and Dudley Hilton's Bourbon shut-out district champ and unbeaten Boyle (1) 24-0 in round 2, setting up a (3) vs (4) regional final. Bourbon shut-out Lex Cath 20-0 that week, and went on to shut-out another 1 seed in (previously unbeaten 13-0) Lawrence County in the semi's for its 3rd straight playoff shut-out and a trip to the finals  where they beat another (1) seed in Owensboro Catholic to win it all.

One of the best playoff runs I've ever seen.

IIRC that was the game where Lex Cath threw a last second touchdown and won the game.  Sam Harp always said that he thought if Danville won that game they would've won the state championship.  Called it one of the most heartbreaking losses of his career.

I believe you are correct in your memory. My memory is vague on exactly how it ended,  but Lex Cath won that game 30-29.

These are the results from the games I had posted as possible upsets in round 1. Some of them were clearly long shots.

Results of these games are 11 for the lower seed and 16 for the higher seed, including two #4 seed wins. We almost had a 3rd #4 seed upset as Bethlehem lost by 1 point to #1 seed Russellville.

Were there any lower seed winners that are not listed here?

1A

#3 Louisville Holy Cross WON at #2 Caverna - 49-24

#3 Nicholas County LOST at #2 Eminence - 0-42

#3 Paintsville WON at #2 Middlesboro - 32-19

2A

#3 Caldwell County WON at #2 Fort Campbell - 51-22

#3 W.E.B. DuBois WON at #2 Metcalfe County - 38-30

#3 Walton-Verona LOST at #2 Breathitt County - 7-56

3A

#4 Glasgow LOST at #1 Union County - 15-45

#3 Franklin-Simpson WON at #2 Hancock County - 37-36

#3 McLean County LOST at #2 Adair County - 0-41

#3 Elizabethtown LOST at #2 Garrard County - 7-35

#3 Clay County LOST at #2 Lawrence County - 7-48

4A

#3 Warren East LOST at #2 John Hardin - 42-48

#4 Western Hills LOST at #1 DeSales - 0-27

#3 Spencer County WON at #2 Doss - 20-6

#3 Greenup County LOST at #2 Mason County - 21-59

#3 Taylor County LOST at #2 Letcher County Central - 0-37

#3 Whitley County LOST at #2 Wayne County - 35-42

5A

#3 Madisonville-North Hopkins LOST at #2 Bowling Green - 7-35

#3 North Bullitt WON at #2 Fairdale - 21-13

#3 Conner LOST at #2 Scott County - 40-47

#4 North Laurel WON at #1 Montgomery County - 20-17

#3 South Laurel LOST at #2 Madison Southern - 28-42

6A

#3 Barren County WON at #2 Henderson County - 21-14

#3 Oldham County LOST at #2 Fern Creek - 7-16

#3 Bullitt East LOST at #2 Ballard - 7-35

#4 Madison Central WON at #1 Tates Creek - 42-0

#3 George Rogers Clark WON at #2 Lafayette - 14-6